WON Tip WON Garliava 3-0 Kauno Zalgiris 2
G

Garliava

Home
W W W L D
4W 2D 4L ▲ Improving
VS
3-0
K
Kauno Zalgiris 2
Away
L L L L L
1W 0D 9L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 15th May 2026
1
Backing Garliava to win
Garliava 50%
Draw 30%
Kauno Zalgiris 2 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 75.8% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -41.8% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
0
Garliava
3
Draws
1
Kauno Zalgiris 2
4
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Garliava won 0 of the last 4 meetings (3 draws).
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Garliava
Metric
Kauno Zalgiris 2
1.3
Goals For / Game
0.7
1.4
Goals Against / Game
2
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
4-2-4
W — D — L
1-0-9
Win Rate
40%
10%
2.7
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
G0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 7.1%
0-2 3.7%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
G1
1-0 11.1%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 6.1%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
G2
2-0 9.2%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
G3
3-0 5.0%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 2.8%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
G4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
G5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(11.1%) 2-1(9.6%) 2-0(9.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip G=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Garliava Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Kauno Zalgiris 2 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Garliava
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
5.3
Kauno Zalgiris 2
Overall
1.0
Scoring
2.3
Defence
3.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 40%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
08.11.24IL
Garliava0
Kauno Zalgiris 24
21.06.24IL
Kauno Zalgiris 22
Garliava2
13.10.23IL
Garliava0
Kauno Zalgiris 20
29.05.23IL
Kauno Zalgiris 22
Garliava2
Recent Form
Garliava
09.05.26IL
BFA Vilnius1
Garliava2
W
02.05.26IL
Garliava3
Ekranas1
W
29.04.26CUP
AFK Vilnius0
Garliava3
W
24.04.26IL
Babrungas1
Garliava0
L
18.04.26IL
Garliava2
BE1 NFA2
D
04.04.26IL
Tauras Taurage2
Garliava0
L
21.03.26IL
Garliava1
Hegelmann Litauen 21
D
17.03.26IL
Garliava0
Neptunas3
W
14.03.26IL
Garliava2
Jonava0
W
27.05.25CUP
Garliava0
FK Panevezys3
L
Kauno Zalgiris 2
08.05.26IL
Ekranas1
Kauno Zalgiris 20
L
02.05.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
BE1 NFA1
L
24.04.26IL
Hegelmann Litauen 22
Kauno Zalgiris 20
L
19.04.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
FK Minija4
L
12.04.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
Zalgiris 21
L
04.04.26IL
Jonava3
Kauno Zalgiris 21
L
18.03.26IL
Atmosfera2
Kauno Zalgiris 21
L
13.03.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 21
Tauras Taurage2
L
09.11.25IL
Nevezis Kedainiai4
Kauno Zalgiris 23
L
31.10.25IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
Tauras Taurage1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Lithuania 1 Lyga fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.32 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Garliava vs Kauno Zalgiris 2?
Our selection is 1 — Garliava to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 34%.
What is Garliava's current form?
Garliava have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kauno Zalgiris 2 been performing recently?
Kauno Zalgiris 2 have recorded 1 wins, 0 draws and 9 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Garliava lead with 0 wins versus Kauno Zalgiris 2's 1, with 3 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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