LOST Tip LOST Gjilani 1-1 KF Llapi
G

Gjilani

Home
W W L W L
5W 2D 3L → Steady
VS
1-1
5:00 pm
N/A
K
KF Llapi
Away
L D L W L
2W 1D 7L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 23rd October 2026
1
Backing Gjilani to win
Implied Prob 70.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -20.4% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
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Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Gjilani to win
1.42
BTTS — No75% Gjilani Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Gjilani vs KF Llapi Competition: Kosovo Superliga Date: Friday, 23rd October 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: 1 (Gjilani to win) Odds: 1.42 Confidence: 50% Also: BTTS — No (75%) Also: Gjilani Clean Sheet (60%)
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Head to Head
Record
5
Gjilani
2
Draws
3
KF Llapi
10
Meetings
3.1
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Neutral Gjilani won 5 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Gjilani
Metric
KF Llapi
1.4
Goals For / Game
0.7
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.9
60%
Clean Sheets
30%
5-2-3
W — D — L
2-1-7
Win Rate
50%
20%
2.4
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
25%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
G0
0-0 9.1%
0-1 6.8%
0-2 2.6%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
G1
1-0 15.0%
1-1 11.2%
1-2 4.2%
1-3 1.1%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
G2
2-0 12.4%
2-1 9.3%
2-2 3.5%
2-3 0.9%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
G3
3-0 6.8%
3-1 5.1%
3-2 1.9%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
G4
4-0 2.8%
4-1 2.1%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
G5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(15.0%) 2-0(12.4%) 2-1(9.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip G=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
Gjilani
Overall
5.6 ▼
Scoring
4.7 ▼
Defence
7.3 ▼
KF Llapi
Overall
2.3 —
Scoring
2.3 —
Defence
3.7 —
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Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Home Win & BTTS No 44%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 17%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 27%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 13%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
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Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
23.08.26SL
KF Llapi0
Gjilani2
17.05.26SL
Gjilani1
KF Llapi2
18.03.26SL
KF Llapi2
Gjilani3
07.12.25SL
Gjilani3
KF Llapi0
28.09.25SL
KF Llapi4
Gjilani1
13.04.25SL
Gjilani2
KF Llapi3
08.02.25SL
KF Llapi0
Gjilani1
26.10.24SL
Gjilani2
KF Llapi1
10.08.24SL
KF Llapi1
Gjilani1
09.05.24SL
Gjilani1
KF Llapi1
Recent Form
Gjilani
18.10.26SL
Gjilani1
Feronikeli0
W
13.10.26SL
Gjilani3
Drenica0
W
10.10.26SL
Vushtrria1
Gjilani0
L
04.10.26CF
Gjilani3
Bashkimi0
W
18.09.26SL
Gjilani1
Prishtina2
L
13.09.26SL
Drita0
Gjilani0
D
09.09.26SL
Gjilani1
FC Ballkani0
W
06.09.26SL
Malisheva3
Gjilani1
L
29.08.26SL
Gjilani2
Dukagjini2
D
23.08.26SL
KF Llapi0
Gjilani2
W
KF Llapi
17.10.26SL
KF Llapi1
Drita2
L
14.10.26SL
Feronikeli0
KF Llapi0
D
09.10.26SL
KF Llapi0
FC Ballkani1
L
03.10.26CF
KF Llapi1
Shkendija0
W
20.09.26SL
Drenica4
KF Llapi0
L
14.09.26SL
KF Llapi0
Malisheva4
L
08.09.26SL
Vushtrria0
KF Llapi4
W
05.09.26SL
KF Llapi1
Dukagjini2
L
30.08.26SL
Prishtina4
KF Llapi0
L
23.08.26SL
KF Llapi0
Gjilani2
L
Gjilani (Home)
18.10.26SL
Gjilani1
Feronikeli0
W
13.10.26SL
Gjilani3
Drenica0
W
04.10.26CF
Gjilani3
Bashkimi0
W
18.09.26SL
Gjilani1
Prishtina2
L
09.09.26SL
Gjilani1
FC Ballkani0
W
29.08.26SL
Gjilani2
Dukagjini2
D
31.05.26SL
Gjilani3
Prishtina e Re2
W
17.05.26SL
Gjilani1
KF Llapi2
L
03.05.26SL
Gjilani1
Ferizaj1
D
19.04.26SL
Gjilani2
Dukagjini3
L
KF Llapi (Away)
14.10.26SL
Feronikeli0
KF Llapi0
D
20.09.26SL
Drenica4
KF Llapi0
L
08.09.26SL
Vushtrria0
KF Llapi4
W
30.08.26SL
Prishtina4
KF Llapi0
L
16.08.26SL
Drita5
KF Llapi3
L
06.06.26SL
Dinamo Ferizaj0
KF Llapi2
W
31.05.26SL
Ferizaj2
KF Llapi3
W
17.05.26SL
Gjilani1
KF Llapi2
W
03.05.26SL
FC Ballkani0
KF Llapi1
W
26.04.26SL
Drita3
KF Llapi0
L
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Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Kosovo Superliga match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into N/A. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.42, which our model rates near 50%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

 

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Gjilani vs KF Llapi?
Our selection is 1 — Gjilani to win, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Gjilani's current form?
Gjilani have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has KF Llapi been performing recently?
KF Llapi have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Gjilani lead with 5 wins versus KF Llapi's 3, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
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