Moderate Signal 62% Confidence
G

Gonio

Home
W L W W W
6W 1D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
4:00 pm
Kobuleti Football Center (Kobuleti)
I
Iveria Khashuri
Away 2W 4D 4L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 13th August 2026
1
Backing Gonio to win
Gonio 50%
Draw 30%
Iveria Khashuri 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 76.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -14.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Gonio to win
1.31
Over 1.5 Goals85% Gonio Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Gonio vs Iveria Khashuri Competition: Georgia Liga 3 Date: Thursday, 13th August 2026 KO: 4:00 pm Pick: 1 (Gonio to win) Odds: 1.31 Confidence: 62% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Also: Gonio Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Gonio
0
Draws
0
Iveria Khashuri
1
Meetings
1
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Gonio won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Gonio
Metric
Iveria Khashuri
2.2
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.9
Goals Against / Game
2
60%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-1-3
W — D — L
2-4-4
Win Rate
60%
20%
3.3
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
I0
I1
I2
I3
I4
I5
G0
0-0 3.9%
0-1 4.5%
0-2 2.6%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
G1
1-0 8.1%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 5.4%
1-3 2.1%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
G2
2-0 8.6%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 2.2%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
G3
3-0 6.0%
3-1 6.9%
3-2 4.0%
3-3 1.5%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
G4
4-0 3.1%
4-1 3.6%
4-2 2.1%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
G5
5-0 1.3%
5-1 1.5%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.8%) 2-0(8.6%) 1-0(8.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip G=Home goals ↓   I=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Gonio Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Iveria Khashuri Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Gonio
Overall
6.3
Scoring
7.3
Defence
7.0
Iveria Khashuri
Overall
3.2
Scoring
4.7
Defence
3.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 29%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 10%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 31%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 11%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
12.03.26LI3
Iveria Khashuri0
Gonio1
Recent Form
Gonio
06.08.26LI3
Iberia 20100
Gonio2
W
25.07.26CUP
Gonio1
Meshakhte Tkibuli2
L
26.06.26CUP
Dinamo Sokhumi0
Gonio3
W
21.06.26LI3
Khobi0
Gonio1
W
15.06.26LI3
Gonio4
Margveti 20060
W
28.05.26LI3
Gardabani0
Gonio6
W
21.05.26LI3
Gonio3
Betlemi0
W
14.05.26LI3
Merani Tbilisi1
Gonio1
D
07.05.26LI3
Gonio1
Didube2
L
03.05.26LI3
Orbi4
Gonio0
L
Iveria Khashuri
06.08.26LI3
Iveria Khashuri0
Iberia 1999 21
L
26.07.26CUP
Iveria Khashuri1
Torpedo Kutaisi3
L
26.06.26CUP
Iveria Khashuri5
Betlemi4
W
21.06.26LI3
Iveria Khashuri0
Loco. Tbilisi0
D
15.06.26LI3
Guria5
Iveria Khashuri2
L
28.05.26LI3
Iberia 20101
Iveria Khashuri1
D
20.05.26LI3
Iveria Khashuri1
Khobi4
L
14.05.26LI3
Margveti 20060
Iveria Khashuri2
W
07.05.26LI3
Iveria Khashuri1
Gardabani1
D
03.05.26LI3
Betlemi1
Iveria Khashuri1
D
Gonio (Home)
25.07.26CUP
Gonio1
Meshakhte Tkibuli2
L
15.06.26LI3
Gonio4
Margveti 20060
W
21.05.26LI3
Gonio3
Betlemi0
W
07.05.26LI3
Gonio1
Didube2
L
29.04.26LI3
Gonio1
WIT Georgia0
W
16.04.26LI3
Gonio2
Dinamo Tbilisi 20
W
08.04.26LI3
Gonio0
Guria2
L
25.03.26LI3
Gonio1
Loco. Tbilisi0
W
05.03.26LI3
Gonio3
Iberia 20101
W
29.11.25EL2
Gonio0
Rustavi4
L
Iveria Khashuri (Away)
15.06.26LI3
Guria5
Iveria Khashuri2
L
28.05.26LI3
Iberia 20101
Iveria Khashuri1
D
14.05.26LI3
Margveti 20060
Iveria Khashuri2
W
03.05.26LI3
Betlemi1
Iveria Khashuri1
D
24.04.26LI3
Didube0
Iveria Khashuri0
D
20.04.26LI3
Dinamo Tbilisi 22
Iveria Khashuri1
L
09.04.26LI3
WIT Georgia4
Iveria Khashuri2
L
05.03.26LI3
Iberia 1999 20
Iveria Khashuri0
D
31.05.05EL2
Metalurgi Rustavi3
Iveria Khashuri1
L
20.05.05EL2
FC Gareji Sagarejo3
Iveria Khashuri2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Georgia Liga 3 match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Kobuleti Football Center (Kobuleti). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on N/A. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.31, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 4:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Gonio vs Iveria Khashuri?
Our selection is 1 — Gonio to win, priced at approximately 1.31. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Gonio's current form?
Gonio have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Iveria Khashuri been performing recently?
Iveria Khashuri have recorded 2 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Gonio lead with 1 wins versus Iveria Khashuri's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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