WON Tip WON Grotta 1-3 Afturelding
G

Grotta

Home
W W L L W
5W 0D 5L ▼ Declining
VS
1-3
A
Afturelding
Away
W W D L W
6W 1D 3L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Monday, 18th May 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 73% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +3% Value detected
Kelly % 11.1% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.37
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Grotta vs Afturelding Competition: Iceland Division 1 Date: Monday, 18th May 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.37 Confidence: 76% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
2
Grotta
4
Draws
4
Afturelding
10
Meetings
3.9
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 60% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Grotta
Metric
Afturelding
1.4
Goals For / Game
2.5
1.5
Goals Against / Game
2.2
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
5-0-5
W — D — L
6-1-3
Win Rate
50%
60%
3.8
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
G0
0-0 2.2%
0-1 4.5%
0-2 4.5%
0-3 3.0%
0-4 1.5%
0-5 0.6%
G1
1-0 4.0%
1-1 8.1%
1-2 8.1%
1-3 5.4%
1-4 2.7%
1-5 1.1%
G2
2-0 3.6%
2-1 7.3%
2-2 7.3%
2-3 4.8%
2-4 2.4%
2-5 1.0%
G3
3-0 2.2%
3-1 4.4%
3-2 4.4%
3-3 2.9%
3-4 1.5%
3-5 0.6%
G4
4-0 1.0%
4-1 2.0%
4-2 2.0%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.7%
4-5 0.3%
G5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.5%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-1(8.1%) 1-2(8.1%) 2-1(7.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip G=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Grotta
Overall
5.0
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.0
Afturelding
Overall
6.3
Scoring
8.3
Defence
2.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 2%
Draw & BTTS No 2%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Away Win & BTTS No 27%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 30%
Home Win & Under 2.5 13%
Draw & Over 2.5 3%
Draw & Under 2.5 1%
Away Win & Over 2.5 37%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
06.02.26CUP
Afturelding2
Grotta0
18.07.24D1
Grotta1
Afturelding4
03.05.24D1
Afturelding1
Grotta1
02.08.23D1
Afturelding1
Grotta1
26.05.23D1
Grotta2
Afturelding3
25.02.23CUP
Grotta1
Afturelding1
12.08.22D1
Grotta4
Afturelding2
03.06.22D1
Afturelding2
Grotta2
15.09.21D1
Grotta8
Afturelding0
01.07.21D1
Afturelding2
Grotta1
Recent Form
Grotta
14.05.26CUP
Vestri0
Grotta4
W
09.05.26D1
Aegir0
Grotta1
W
01.05.26D1
Grotta1
Leiknir2
L
25.04.26D1
Kopavogur4
Grotta1
L
06.04.26CUP
Grotta1
Alftanes0
W
26.03.26CUP
Grotta2
Ulfarnir1
W
14.03.26CUP
Throttur Vogar0
Grotta2
W
14.02.26CUP
Thor Akureyri3
Grotta1
L
11.02.26CUP
Grotta1
Akranes3
L
06.02.26CUP
Afturelding2
Grotta0
L
Afturelding
13.05.26CUP
Afturelding5
Njardvik2
W
08.05.26D1
Leiknir0
Afturelding3
W
01.05.26D1
Afturelding0
Volsungur0
D
24.04.26D1
Afturelding4
IR Reykjavik7
L
03.04.26CUP
Afturelding6
Ymir1
W
29.03.26CUP
IR Reykjavik2
Afturelding3
W
25.02.26CUP
Afturelding0
Thor Akureyri5
L
21.02.26CUP
Valur4
Afturelding0
L
06.02.26CUP
Afturelding2
Grotta0
W
29.01.26CUP
Akranes1
Afturelding2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Iceland Division 1 fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is Over 2.5, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.37 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Grotta vs Afturelding?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.37. Tip confidence rating: 76%.
What is Grotta's current form?
Grotta have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Afturelding been performing recently?
Afturelding have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Grotta lead with 2 wins versus Afturelding's 4, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
⚠️
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