WON Tip WON Hapoel Tel Aviv 1-0 Hapoel Petah Tikva
H

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Home
D L L W W
3W 3D 4L → Steady
VS
1-0
H
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Away
L L L L L
3W 2D 5L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Tuesday, 12th May 2026
1
Backing Hapoel Tel Aviv to win
Hapoel Tel Aviv 50%
Draw 30%
Hapoel Petah Tikva 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 70.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -26.4% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Hapoel Tel Aviv to win
1.42
BTTS — No65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva Competition: Israel Ligat Ha'al Date: Tuesday, 12th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Hapoel Tel Aviv to win) Odds: 1.42 Confidence: 44% Also: BTTS — No (65%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5
Draws
0
Hapoel Petah Tikva
10
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Neutral Hapoel Tel Aviv won 5 of the last 10 meetings (5 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Metric
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.9
Goals For / Game
0.9
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.8
50%
Clean Sheets
30%
3-3-4
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
30%
30%
2.2
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
H0
0-0 11.1%
0-1 9.4%
0-2 4.0%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
H1
1-0 15.0%
1-1 12.7%
1-2 5.4%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
H2
2-0 10.1%
2-1 8.6%
2-2 3.7%
2-3 1.0%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
H3
3-0 4.5%
3-1 3.9%
3-2 1.6%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
H4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 1.3%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
H5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(15.0%) 2-0(10.1%) 2-1(8.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip H=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Hapoel Tel Aviv Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Hapoel Petah Tikva Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Overall
3.9
Scoring
3.0
Defence
7.3
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.0
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Home Win & BTTS No 23%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 19%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 14%
Home Win & Under 2.5 21%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 22%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
25.04.26LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
11.04.26LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
06.12.25LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv4
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
22.07.25TOT
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
Hapoel Tel Aviv2
11.04.25LL
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
06.01.25LL
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
29.08.24LL
Hapoel Tel Aviv2
Hapoel Petah Tikva2
13.04.24LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
04.03.24LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
23.12.23LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv4
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
Recent Form
Hapoel Tel Aviv
09.05.26LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
D
06.05.26LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
Beitar Jerusalem1
L
02.05.26LH
H. Beer Sheva2
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
L
29.04.26LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv4
Maccabi Haifa0
W
25.04.26LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
W
19.04.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv1
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
L
11.04.26LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
D
06.04.26LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv2
Maccabi Haifa0
W
21.02.26LH
Sakhnin0
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
D
13.02.26LH
Hapoel Tel Aviv3
Hapoel Jerusalem1
W
Hapoel Petah Tikva
09.05.26LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva2
H. Beer Sheva4
L
05.05.26LH
Maccabi Tel Aviv4
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
L
02.05.26LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
Maccabi Haifa2
L
28.04.26LH
Beitar Jerusalem3
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
L
25.04.26LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
Hapoel Tel Aviv1
L
18.04.26LH
H. Beer Sheva3
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
L
11.04.26LH
Hapoel Petah Tikva0
Hapoel Tel Aviv0
D
04.04.26LH
H. Beer Sheva1
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
D
26.03.26CF
SC Ashdod1
Hapoel Petah Tikva2
W
21.02.26LH
Maccabi Haifa0
Hapoel Petah Tikva1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Israel Ligat Ha’al fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.42 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva?
Our selection is 1 — Hapoel Tel Aviv to win, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 44%.
What is Hapoel Tel Aviv's current form?
Hapoel Tel Aviv have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Hapoel Petah Tikva been performing recently?
Hapoel Petah Tikva have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Hapoel Tel Aviv lead with 5 wins versus Hapoel Petah Tikva's 0, with 5 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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