Moderate Signal 58% Confidence
H

HB Torshavn

Home
D W D W W
6W 2D 2L → Steady
VS
3:30 pm
Gundadalur (Torshavn)
A
AB Argir
Away
D L L L W
3W 1D 6L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 19th September 2026
1
Backing HB Torshavn to win
Implied Prob 80.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -22.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — HB Torshavn to win
1.24
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
HB Torshavn vs AB Argir Competition: Faroe Islands Premier League Date: Saturday, 19th September 2026 KO: 3:30 pm Pick: 1 (HB Torshavn to win) Odds: 1.24 Confidence: 58% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
7
HB Torshavn
1
Draws
2
AB Argir
10
Meetings
3.9
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip HB Torshavn won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
HB Torshavn
Metric
AB Argir
2
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.8
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
6-2-2
W — D — L
3-1-6
Win Rate
60%
30%
3.1
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
H0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 5.4%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 1.3%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
H1
1-0 8.6%
1-1 10.3%
1-2 6.2%
1-3 2.5%
1-4 0.7%
1-5 0.2%
H2
2-0 8.1%
2-1 9.8%
2-2 5.9%
2-3 2.3%
2-4 0.7%
2-5 0.2%
H3
3-0 5.2%
3-1 6.2%
3-2 3.7%
3-3 1.5%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
H4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 2.9%
4-2 1.8%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
H5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.8%) 1-0(8.6%) 2-0(8.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip H=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
HB Torshavn
Overall
6.6
Scoring
6.7
Defence
6.3
AB Argir
Overall
3.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
4.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 16%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 31%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 16%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
14.06.26PL
AB Argir3
HB Torshavn1
03.05.26PL
HB Torshavn1
AB Argir1
27.08.23PL
AB Argir2
HB Torshavn4
06.08.23PL
HB Torshavn5
AB Argir0
08.04.23PL
HB Torshavn4
AB Argir0
04.09.22PL
AB Argir2
HB Torshavn1
07.08.22PL
HB Torshavn3
AB Argir0
18.05.22CUP
HB Torshavn2
AB Argir1
05.03.22PL
AB Argir1
HB Torshavn3
24.10.20PL
AB Argir2
HB Torshavn3
Recent Form
HB Torshavn
13.09.26PL
Skala Itrottarfelag2
HB Torshavn2
D
28.08.26PL
Vikingur1
HB Torshavn3
W
23.08.26PL
HB Torshavn0
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
D
16.08.26PL
HB Torshavn2
Toftir0
W
10.08.26PL
Klaksvik0
HB Torshavn2
W
03.08.26PL
HB Torshavn3
NSI Runavik1
W
30.07.26UECL
HB Torshavn0
Motherwell3
L
23.07.26UECL
Motherwell2
HB Torshavn0
L
05.07.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
HB Torshavn4
W
29.06.26PL
HB Torshavn4
Skala Itrottarfelag1
W
AB Argir
13.09.26PL
AB Argir1
Toftir1
D
30.08.26PL
NSI Runavik3
AB Argir1
L
23.08.26PL
Streymur2
AB Argir0
L
17.08.26PL
AB Argir3
Klaksvik4
L
02.08.26PL
AB Argir3
Skala Itrottarfelag2
W
28.07.26PL
B36 Torshavn1
AB Argir0
L
04.07.26PL
AB Argir1
Streymur2
L
29.06.26PL
Toftir0
AB Argir1
W
21.06.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur2
AB Argir0
L
14.06.26PL
AB Argir3
HB Torshavn1
W
HB Torshavn (Home)
23.08.26PL
HB Torshavn0
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
D
16.08.26PL
HB Torshavn2
Toftir0
W
03.08.26PL
HB Torshavn3
NSI Runavik1
W
30.07.26UECL
HB Torshavn0
Motherwell3
L
29.06.26PL
HB Torshavn4
Skala Itrottarfelag1
W
30.05.26PL
HB Torshavn0
Vikingur0
D
18.05.26PL
HB Torshavn3
Streymur4
L
14.05.26CUP
HB Torshavn2
Vikingur1
W
03.05.26PL
HB Torshavn1
AB Argir1
D
29.04.26CUP
HB Torshavn3
B36 Torshavn1
W
AB Argir (Away)
30.08.26PL
NSI Runavik3
AB Argir1
L
23.08.26PL
Streymur2
AB Argir0
L
28.07.26PL
B36 Torshavn1
AB Argir0
L
29.06.26PL
Toftir0
AB Argir1
W
21.06.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur2
AB Argir0
L
25.05.26PL
Klaksvik2
AB Argir1
L
10.05.26PL
Skala Itrottarfelag1
AB Argir0
L
03.05.26PL
HB Torshavn1
AB Argir1
D
16.04.26CUP
Vikingur5
AB Argir1
L
12.04.26PL
Vikingur4
AB Argir0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Faroe Islands Premier League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Gundadalur (Torshavn). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.24, which our model rates near 50. The fixture starts at 3:30 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for HB Torshavn vs AB Argir?
Our selection is 1 — HB Torshavn to win, priced at approximately 1.24. Tip confidence rating: 58%.
What is HB Torshavn's current form?
HB Torshavn have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has AB Argir been performing recently?
AB Argir have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
HB Torshavn lead with 7 wins versus AB Argir's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
⚠️
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