Strong Signal 67% Confidence
H

HJK W

Home
W L W W W
9W 0D 1L → Steady
VS
4:30 pm
Bolt Arena (Helsinki)
K
KUPS W
Away
L W L L L
5W 0D 5L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Monday, 17th August 2026
1
Backing HJK W to win
HJK W 50%
Draw 30%
KUPS W 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 68.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -1.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — HJK W to win
1.46
Over 1.5 Goals80% HJK W Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
HJK W vs KUPS W Competition: Finland W Kansallinen Liiga Date: Monday, 17th August 2026 KO: 4:30 pm Pick: 1 (HJK W to win) Odds: 1.46 Confidence: 67% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: HJK W Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
7
HJK W
1
Draws
2
KUPS W
10
Meetings
2.3
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip HJK W won 7 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
HJK W
Metric
KUPS W
2.3
Goals For / Game
1.7
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.6
60%
Clean Sheets
20%
9-0-1
W — D — L
5-0-5
Win Rate
90%
50%
3.1
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
H0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 3.0%
0-3 1.1%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
H1
1-0 8.8%
1-1 10.1%
1-2 5.8%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.2%
H2
2-0 8.6%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.7%
2-3 2.2%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
H3
3-0 5.6%
3-1 6.4%
3-2 3.7%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
H4
4-0 2.7%
4-1 3.1%
4-2 1.8%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
H5
5-0 1.1%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.9%) 1-0(8.8%) 2-0(8.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip H=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
HJK W Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
KUPS W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
HJK W
Overall
9.0
Scoring
7.7
Defence
8.0
KUPS W
Overall
5.0
Scoring
5.7
Defence
4.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Home Win & BTTS No 32%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 0%
Away Win & Over 2.5 20%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
08.07.26CUP
KuPS W0
HJK1
04.07.26KL
HJK W2
KuPS0
02.05.26KL
KuPS W2
HJK1
12.10.25KL
HJK W3
KuPS2
15.08.25KL
KuPS W1
HJK0
28.06.25KL
HJK W1
KuPS0
26.04.25KL
KuPS W1
HJK3
12.10.24KL
KuPS W0
HJK0
28.09.24KL
HJK W2
KuPS1
20.08.24CUP
HJK W3
KuPS0
Recent Form
HJK W
12.08.26KL
Gnistan W1
HJK W3
W
08.08.26CL
PSV W3
HJK W1
L
05.08.26CL
Racing Luxembourg W0
HJK W2
W
25.07.26KL
PK-35 Vantaa W0
HJK W2
W
19.07.26KL
HJK W4
HPS W0
W
12.07.26KL
Gnistan W0
HJK W1
W
08.07.26CUP
KuPS W0
HJK W1
W
04.07.26KL
HJK W2
KuPS W0
W
30.06.26CUP
PK-35 Vantaa W1
HJK W4
W
27.06.26KL
Ilves W1
HJK W3
W
KUPS W
08.08.26KL
HPS W3
KuPS W2
L
25.07.26KL
Gnistan W0
KuPS W1
W
18.07.26KL
KuPS W1
Aland Utd W3
L
12.07.26KL
KuPS W2
Ilves W4
L
08.07.26CUP
KuPS W0
HJK W1
L
04.07.26KL
HJK W2
KuPS W0
L
01.07.26CUP
Aland Utd W1
KuPS W2
W
27.06.26KL
KuPS W5
VIFK W1
W
17.06.26CUP
Gnistan W0
KuPS W2
W
12.06.26KL
PK-35 Vantaa W1
KuPS W2
W
HJK W (Home)
19.07.26KL
HJK W4
HPS W0
W
04.07.26KL
HJK W2
KuPS W0
W
29.05.26KL
HJK W4
VIFK W0
W
23.05.26KL
HJK W5
PK-35 Vantaa W0
W
09.05.26KL
HJK W5
Gnistan W0
W
25.04.26KL
HJK W2
Ilves W1
W
02.04.26KL
HJK W3
Aland Utd W2
W
12.10.25KL
HJK W3
KuPS W2
W
27.09.25KL
HJK W3
VIFK W0
W
21.09.25CUP
HJK W3
Aland Utd W1
W
KUPS W (Away)
08.08.26KL
HPS W3
KuPS W2
L
25.07.26KL
Gnistan W0
KuPS W1
W
04.07.26KL
HJK W2
KuPS W0
L
01.07.26CUP
Aland Utd W1
KuPS W2
W
17.06.26CUP
Gnistan W0
KuPS W2
W
12.06.26KL
PK-35 Vantaa W1
KuPS W2
W
29.05.26KL
HPS W3
KuPS W2
L
17.05.26KL
Aland Utd W1
KuPS W6
W
09.05.26KL
Ilves W2
KuPS W3
W
25.04.26KL
VIFK W1
KuPS W2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Finland W Kansallinen Liiga match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Bolt Arena (Helsinki). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.46, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 4:30 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for HJK W vs KUPS W?
Our selection is 1 — HJK W to win, priced at approximately 1.46. Tip confidence rating: 67%.
What is HJK W's current form?
HJK W have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has KUPS W been performing recently?
KUPS W have recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
HJK W lead with 7 wins versus KUPS W's 2, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. 24predictiontoday provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.

18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.