WON Tip WON KR Reykjavik 4-2 Hafnarfjordur
K

KR Reykjavik

Home
W W W W D
7W 1D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
4-2
H
Hafnarfjordur
Away
L L D W D
2W 3D 5L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Monday, 27th April 2026
1X
Backing KR Reykjavik to win or draw
Implied Prob 87% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +3% Value detected
Kelly % 23.3% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1X — KR Reykjavik to win or draw
1.15
Over 2.5 Goals75% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
KR Reykjavik vs Hafnarfjordur Competition: Iceland Besta deild karla Date: Monday, 27th April 2026 Pick: 1X (KR Reykjavik to win or draw) Odds: 1.15 Confidence: 90% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (75%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
5
KR Reykjavik
3
Draws
2
Hafnarfjordur
10
Meetings
2.8
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
KR Reykjavik
Metric
Hafnarfjordur
4
Goals For / Game
1.6
1.9
Goals Against / Game
1.6
10%
Clean Sheets
20%
7-1-2
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate
70%
20%
4.6
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
K0
0-0 1.1%
0-1 1.9%
0-2 1.6%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
K1
1-0 3.0%
1-1 5.2%
1-2 4.5%
1-3 2.6%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.4%
K2
2-0 4.1%
2-1 7.3%
2-2 6.3%
2-3 3.7%
2-4 1.6%
2-5 0.6%
K3
3-0 3.9%
3-1 6.8%
3-2 5.9%
3-3 3.5%
3-4 1.5%
3-5 0.5%
K4
4-0 2.7%
4-1 4.7%
4-2 4.1%
4-3 2.4%
4-4 1.1%
4-5 0.4%
K5
5-0 1.5%
5-1 2.7%
5-2 2.3%
5-3 1.4%
5-4 0.6%
5-5 0.2%
Top Scores 2-1(7.3%) 3-1(6.8%) 2-2(6.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip K=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
KR Reykjavik
Overall
7.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
3.7
Hafnarfjordur
Overall
2.9
Scoring
5.3
Defence
4.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 42%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 12%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 48%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
29.06.25BK
KR Reykjavik3
Hafnarfjordur2
23.04.25BK
Hafnarfjordur2
KR Reykjavik2
12.08.24BK
KR Reykjavik1
Hafnarfjordur0
20.05.24BK
Hafnarfjordur1
KR Reykjavik2
07.10.23BK
Hafnarfjordur3
KR Reykjavik1
18.07.23BK
KR Reykjavik1
Hafnarfjordur0
29.04.23BK
Hafnarfjordur3
KR Reykjavik0
28.08.22BK
KR Reykjavik0
Hafnarfjordur0
29.05.22BK
Hafnarfjordur2
KR Reykjavik3
08.08.21BK
KR Reykjavik1
Hafnarfjordur1
Recent Form
KR Reykjavik
23.04.26BK
Vestmannaeyjar2
KR Reykjavik6
W
17.04.26BK
KR Reykjavik5
Thor Akureyri2
W
12.04.26BK
KR Reykjavik3
Keflavik2
W
06.04.26CUP
KR Reykjavik4
Valur2
W
21.03.26CUP
Fylkir5
KR Reykjavik (4 - 4)4
L
14.03.26CUP
Stjarnan0
KR Reykjavik4
W
28.02.26CUP
KR Reykjavik5
Njardvik1
W
19.02.26CUP
Vikingur Reykjavik1
KR Reykjavik0
L
14.02.26CUP
KR Reykjavik3
IR Reykjavik3
D
07.02.26CUP
KR Reykjavik6
Grindavik1
W
Hafnarfjordur
23.04.26BK
Valur3
Hafnarfjordur0
L
17.04.26BK
Stjarnan3
Hafnarfjordur2
L
12.04.26BK
Vestmannaeyjar1
Hafnarfjordur1
D
04.04.26CUP
Thor Akureyri2
Hafnarfjordur4
W
07.03.26CF
Hafnarfjordur1
Moss1
D
03.03.26CUP
Leiknir2
Hafnarfjordur1
L
27.02.26CUP
Fylkir3
Hafnarfjordur0
L
19.02.26CUP
Breidablik1
Hafnarfjordur0
L
12.02.26CUP
Hafnarfjordur0
Vestmannaeyjar0
D
06.02.26CUP
Throttur0
Hafnarfjordur7
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Iceland Besta deild karla fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1X, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.15 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for KR Reykjavik vs Hafnarfjordur?
Our selection is 1X — KR Reykjavik to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.15. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is KR Reykjavik's current form?
KR Reykjavik have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Hafnarfjordur been performing recently?
Hafnarfjordur have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
KR Reykjavik lead with 5 wins versus Hafnarfjordur's 2, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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