WON Tip WON Legia II 3-0 Plock II
L

Legia II

Home
W D W W W
8W 1D 1L ▼ Declining
VS
3-0
P
Plock II
Away
W L W D W
6W 3D 1L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 15th April 2026
1
Backing Legia II to win
Legia II 50%
Draw 30%
Plock II 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 73.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -5.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Legia II to win
1.36
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Legia II vs Plock II Competition: Poland III Liga Date: Wednesday, 15th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Legia II to win) Odds: 1.36 Confidence: 68% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Legia II
0
Draws
0
Plock II
4
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
75%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Legia II won 4 of the last 4 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Legia II
Metric
Plock II
1.9
Goals For / Game
1.7
0.9
Goals Against / Game
1.5
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
8-1-1
W — D — L
6-3-1
Win Rate
80%
60%
3
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
L0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 6.5%
0-2 4.2%
0-3 1.8%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
L1
1-0 8.5%
1-1 11.0%
1-2 7.2%
1-3 3.1%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
L2
2-0 7.2%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 6.1%
2-3 2.6%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
L3
3-0 4.1%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 3.4%
3-3 1.5%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
L4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 2.3%
4-2 1.5%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
L5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.4%) 1-0(8.5%) 2-0(7.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip L=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Legia II Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Plock II Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Legia II
Overall
8.3
Scoring
6.3
Defence
7.0
Plock II
Overall
6.9
Scoring
5.7
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 15%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 26%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
17.09.25III Liga
Plock II1
Legia II2
11.05.25III Liga
Plock II0
Legia II3
30.10.24III Liga
Legia II3
Plock II2
27.01.22Club Friendly
Legia II2
Plock II0
Recent Form
Legia II
12.04.26III Liga
Olimpia Elblag1
Legia II2
W
04.04.26III Liga
Legia II1
Warta Sieradz1
D
22.03.26III Liga
Jagiellonia II0
Legia II1
W
14.03.26III Liga
Legia II4
Wasilkow1
W
07.03.26III Liga
Legia II2
GKS Belchatow0
W
01.03.26III Liga
Swit Mazowiecki0
Legia II1
W
21.02.26Club Friendly
Legia II3
Skra1
W
14.02.26Club Friendly
Legia II2
Zawisza1
W
07.02.26Club Friendly
Warta Poznan3
Legia II1
L
24.01.26Club Friendly
Legia II2
Cracovia II1
W
Plock II
11.04.26III Liga
Zabki0
Plock II1
W
03.04.26III Liga
Plock II0
Jagiellonia II4
L
25.03.26III Liga
Biala Piska1
Plock II2
W
21.03.26III Liga
Plock II2
Suwalki2
D
14.03.26III Liga
LKS Lomza1
Plock II2
W
07.03.26III Liga
Plock II2
Mlawa1
W
28.02.26III Liga
Plock II0
Bron Radom0
D
31.01.26Club Friendly
Elana Torun2
Plock II2
D
22.11.25III Liga
Plock II2
Troszyn1
W
15.11.25III Liga
GKS Belchatow3
Plock II4
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Poland III Liga fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.36 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Legia II vs Plock II?
Our selection is 1 — Legia II to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Legia II's current form?
Legia II have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Plock II been performing recently?
Plock II have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Legia II lead with 4 wins versus Plock II's 0, with 0 draws across 4 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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