WON Tip WON Levadia 2-1 Parnu JK Vaprus
L

Levadia

Home
D D W W L
4W 4D 2L → Steady
VS
2-1
P
Parnu JK Vaprus
Away
L L L W W
4W 0D 6L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 8th April 2026
1
Backing Levadia to win
Levadia 50%
Draw 30%
Parnu JK Vaprus 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 81.3% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -31.3% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Levadia to win
1.23
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Levadia vs Parnu JK Vaprus Competition: Estonia Meistriliiga Date: Wednesday, 8th April 2026 Pick: 1 (Levadia to win) Odds: 1.23 Confidence: 50% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Head to Head
Record
6
Levadia
3
Draws
1
Parnu JK Vaprus
10
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Levadia won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Levadia
Metric
Parnu JK Vaprus
1.9
Goals For / Game
2.4
1.5
Goals Against / Game
2.4
20%
Clean Sheets
10%
4-4-2
W — D — L
4-0-6
Win Rate
40%
40%
4.1
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
L0
0-0 1.7%
0-1 3.2%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 2.1%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.4%
L1
1-0 3.6%
1-1 7.0%
1-2 6.8%
1-3 4.4%
1-4 2.2%
1-5 0.8%
L2
2-0 3.8%
2-1 7.5%
2-2 7.3%
2-3 4.7%
2-4 2.3%
2-5 0.9%
L3
3-0 2.8%
3-1 5.4%
3-2 5.2%
3-3 3.4%
3-4 1.7%
3-5 0.6%
L4
4-0 1.5%
4-1 2.9%
4-2 2.8%
4-3 1.8%
4-4 0.9%
4-5 0.4%
L5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 1.2%
5-3 0.8%
5-4 0.4%
5-5 0.2%
Top Scores 2-1(7.5%) 3-1(5.4%) 3-2(5.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip L=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Levadia Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Parnu JK Vaprus Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Levadia
Overall
5.2
Scoring
6.3
Defence
5.0
Parnu JK Vaprus
Overall
4.0
Scoring
8.0
Defence
2.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 28%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 14%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 28%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
24.01.26
Friendly: FCI Levadia3
Pärnu JK Vaprus2
26.10.25
Meistriliiga: Pärnu JK Vaprus1
FCI Levadia3
22.08.25
Meistriliiga: FCI Levadia1
Pärnu JK Vaprus3
28.05.25
Meistriliiga: FCI Levadia2
Pärnu JK Vaprus2
15.03.25
Meistriliiga: Pärnu JK Vaprus1
FCI Levadia2
22.09.24
Meistriliiga: FCI Levadia3
Pärnu JK Vaprus1
10.08.24
Meistriliiga: Pärnu JK Vaprus1
FCI Levadia4
19.05.24
Meistriliiga: Pärnu JK Vaprus0
FCI Levadia2
20.04.24
Meistriliiga: FCI Levadia1
Pärnu JK Vaprus1
01.11.23
Meistriliiga: FCI Levadia0
Pärnu JK Vaprus0
Recent Form
Levadia
04.04.26
Meistriliiga: FCI Levadia1
FC Nõmme United1
D
22.03.26
Meistriliiga: FCI Levadia2
Paide Linnameeskond2
D
15.03.26
Meistriliiga: Harju JK Laagri1
FCI Levadia3
W
08.03.26
Meistriliiga: FCI Levadia2
FC Kuressaare0
W
14.02.26
Friendly: FC Flora1
FCI Levadia0
L
08.02.26
Friendly: FCI Levadia4
JK Tammeka Tartu2
W
31.01.26
Friendly: FCI Levadia0
JK Narva Trans0
D
24.01.26
Friendly: FCI Levadia3
Pärnu JK Vaprus2
W
18.01.26
Friendly: FCI Levadia2
FC Nõmme United4
L
08.11.25
Meistriliiga: Harju JK Laagri2
FCI Levadia2
D
Parnu JK Vaprus
04.04.26
Meistriliiga: Pärnu JK Vaprus0
Harju JK Laagri2
L
21.03.26
Meistriliiga: JK Narva Trans2
Pärnu JK Vaprus1
L
14.03.26
Meistriliiga: FC Nõmme United7
Pärnu JK Vaprus1
L
10.03.26
Cup Estonia: Pärnu JK Vaprus2
Tartu JK Welco1
W
07.03.26
Meistriliiga: Pärnu JK Vaprus3
Paide Linnameeskond2
W
15.02.26
Friendly: Pärnu JK Vaprus0
JK Narva Trans2
L
08.02.26
Friendly: JK Tallinna Kalev0
Pärnu JK Vaprus6
W
04.02.26
Friendly: Pärnu JK Vaprus0
FK Metta3
L
31.01.26
Friendly: Pärnu JK Vaprus9
FC Kuressaare2
W
24.01.26
Friendly: FCI Levadia3
Pärnu JK Vaprus2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 8th April 2026, Levadia host Parnu JK Vaprus in Estonia Meistriliiga. We recommend Levadia to win as the standout selection.

Levadia arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Parnu JK Vaprus are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 0D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Levadia, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Parnu JK Vaprus's 1, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: levadia to win at odds of 1.23 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Estonia Meistriliiga fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.23 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Levadia vs Parnu JK Vaprus?
Our selection is 1 — Levadia to win, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Levadia's current form?
Levadia have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Parnu JK Vaprus been performing recently?
Parnu JK Vaprus have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Levadia lead with 6 wins versus Parnu JK Vaprus's 1, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
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