Moderate Signal 64% Confidence
L

Levski Sofia

Home
D W W W W
7W 3D 0L → Steady
VS
5:00 pm
Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov (Sofia)
S
Septemvri Sofia
Away
L D L W L
6W 2D 2L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 1st August 2026
1
Backing Levski Sofia to win
Levski Sofia 50%
Draw 30%
Septemvri Sofia 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 82% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -18% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Levski Sofia to win
1.22
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia Competition: Bulgaria EFBET League Date: Saturday, 1st August 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: 1 (Levski Sofia to win) Odds: 1.22 Confidence: 64% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
8
Levski Sofia
2
Draws
0
Septemvri Sofia
10
Meetings
3.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Levski Sofia won 8 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Levski Sofia
Metric
Septemvri Sofia
2.8
Goals For / Game
1.6
0.6
Goals Against / Game
0.9
50%
Clean Sheets
30%
7-3-0
W — D — L
6-2-2
Win Rate
70%
60%
3
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
L0
0-0 5.2%
0-1 5.8%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 1.2%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
L1
1-0 9.7%
1-1 10.7%
1-2 5.9%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
L2
2-0 9.0%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
L3
3-0 5.5%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 3.3%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
L4
4-0 2.6%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
L5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.9%) 1-0(9.7%) 2-0(9.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip L=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Levski Sofia Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Septemvri Sofia Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Levski Sofia
Overall
7.9
Scoring
9.3
Defence
8.0
Septemvri Sofia
Overall
6.6
Scoring
5.3
Defence
7.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 21%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
30.11.251L
Levski Sofia7
Septemvri Sofia0
27.07.251L
Septemvri Sofia1
Levski Sofia2
21.04.251L
Septemvri Sofia0
Levski Sofia1
09.11.241L
Levski Sofia2
Septemvri Sofia3
29.06.24CF
Levski Sofia5
Septemvri Sofia0
04.05.231L
Levski Sofia2
Septemvri Sofia0
07.02.23CF
Septemvri Sofia1
Levski Sofia4
16.10.221L
Septemvri Sofia0
Levski Sofia0
18.06.22CF
Levski Sofia1
Septemvri Sofia1
30.03.22CF
Levski Sofia3
Septemvri Sofia2
Recent Form
Levski Sofia
29.07.26CL
Univ. Craiova2
Levski Sofia2
D
25.07.261L
Lok. Sofia1
Levski Sofia2
W
22.07.26CL
Levski Sofia1
Univ. Craiova0
W
17.07.261L
Levski Sofia2
Dunav Ruse1
W
14.07.26CL
Levski Sofia4
Borac Banja Luka0
W
07.07.26CL
Borac Banja Luka1
Levski Sofia1
D
30.06.26CF
Levski Sofia5
Radnik0
W
27.06.26CF
Levski Sofia1
Botev Vratsa1
D
23.06.26CF
Levski Sofia6
Etar0
W
19.06.26CF
Levski Sofia4
Akademik Svishtov0
W
Septemvri Sofia
26.07.261L
Lok. Plovdiv2
Septemvri Sofia1
L
18.07.261L
Septemvri Sofia1
Arda1
D
10.07.26CF
Ludogorets1
Septemvri Sofia0
L
07.07.26CF
Septemvri Sofia2
Hebar1
W
04.07.26CF
Septemvri Sofia2
Slavia Sofia3
L
01.07.26CF
Septemvri Sofia2
Vihren0
W
27.06.26CF
Septemvri Sofia3
Marek0
W
28.05.261L
Septemvri Sofia2
Yantra Gabrovo1
W
22.05.261L
Septemvri Sofia1
Dobrudzha1
D
18.05.261L
Beroe0
Septemvri Sofia1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 1st August 2026, Levski Sofia host Septemvri Sofia at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov (Sofia) in Bulgaria EFBET League. We recommend Levski Sofia to win as the standout selection.

Levski Sofia arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Septemvri Sofia are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 2D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Levski Sofia, who lead the head-to-head with 8 wins to Septemvri Sofia's 0, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: levski sofia to win at odds of 1.22 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Bulgaria EFBET League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov (Sofia). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.22, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia?
Our selection is 1 — Levski Sofia to win, priced at approximately 1.22. Tip confidence rating: 64%.
What is Levski Sofia's current form?
Levski Sofia have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Septemvri Sofia been performing recently?
Septemvri Sofia have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Levski Sofia lead with 8 wins versus Septemvri Sofia's 0, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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