WON Tip WON Linfield 3-1 Dungannon
L

Linfield

Home
L L L W D
3W 2D 5L → Steady
VS
3-1
D
Dungannon
Away
W W L L L
3W 0D 7L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Tuesday, 12th May 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 70.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +5.6% Value detected
Kelly % 18.9% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.42
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Linfield vs Dungannon Competition: NIFL Premiership Date: Tuesday, 12th May 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.42 Confidence: 76% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
8
Linfield
0
Draws
2
Dungannon
10
Meetings
3.2
Avg Goals
40%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 70% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Linfield
Metric
Dungannon
1
Goals For / Game
1.1
1.5
Goals Against / Game
2.6
10%
Clean Sheets
0%
3-2-5
W — D — L
3-0-7
Win Rate
30%
30%
3.1
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
L0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 5.9%
0-2 3.8%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
L1
1-0 8.1%
1-1 10.5%
1-2 6.9%
1-3 3.0%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
L2
2-0 7.3%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
L3
3-0 4.4%
3-1 5.7%
3-2 3.7%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
L4
4-0 2.0%
4-1 2.6%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
L5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(10.5%) 2-1(9.5%) 1-0(8.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip L=Home goals ↓   D=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Linfield
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.3
Defence
5.0
Dungannon
Overall
3.0
Scoring
3.7
Defence
1.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 19%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 26%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 6%
Away Win & Over 2.5 26%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
07.04.26NIFL
Dungannon1
Linfield3
17.02.26NIFL
Dungannon1
Linfield4
10.02.26NIFL
Linfield6
Dungannon0
10.08.25NIFL
Linfield3
Dungannon0
04.07.25CHA
Linfield0
Dungannon1
12.04.25NIFL
Linfield2
Dungannon0
24.03.25NIFL
Dungannon0
Linfield3
17.12.24NIFL
Dungannon0
Linfield1
17.08.24NIFL
Linfield3
Dungannon1
27.01.24NIFL
Linfield1
Dungannon2
Recent Form
Linfield
25.04.26NIFL
Linfield1
Cliftonville2
L
18.04.26NIFL
Linfield0
Coleraine3
L
11.04.26NIFL
Linfield0
Larne2
L
07.04.26NIFL
Dungannon1
Linfield3
W
28.03.26NIFL
Glentoran1
Linfield1
D
20.03.26NIFL
Carrick Rangers2
Linfield0
L
15.03.26LC
Glentoran0
Linfield1
W
10.03.26NIFL
Linfield3
Portadown1
W
01.03.26NIFL
Cliftonville2
Linfield0
L
24.02.26NIFL
Larne1
Linfield1
D
Dungannon
09.05.26NIFL
Cliftonville1
Dungannon2
W
06.05.26NIFL
Dungannon3
Carrick Rangers1
W
02.05.26CUP
Dungannon2
Coleraine3
L
25.04.26NIFL
Larne8
Dungannon0
L
18.04.26NIFL
Cliftonville1
Dungannon0
L
11.04.26NIFL
Glentoran5
Dungannon0
L
07.04.26NIFL
Dungannon1
Linfield3
L
03.04.26CUP
Cliftonville1
Dungannon2
W
28.03.26NIFL
Dungannon1
Coleraine2
L
21.03.26NIFL
Dungannon0
Bangor FC1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming NIFL Premiership fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is Over 2.5, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.42 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Linfield vs Dungannon?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.42. Tip confidence rating: 76%.
What is Linfield's current form?
Linfield have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Dungannon been performing recently?
Dungannon have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Linfield lead with 8 wins versus Dungannon's 2, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
⚠️
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