WON Tip WON Linfield 3-1 Portadown

Linfield

Home

L D W W W

3W 1D 1L ▲ Improving

3-1

Portadown

Away

D L L W W

2W 1D 2L ▲ Improving

Linfield 50%

Draw 30%

Portadown 20%

H Fair Odds 2

D Fair Odds 3.33

A Fair Odds 5

Implied Prob 81.3% Bookie's implied odds

Our Edge -25.3% Overpriced

Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %

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Supporting Bets

Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Linfield to win

1.23

Over 1.5 Goals80%

📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder

Linfield vs Portadown Competition: NIFL Premiership Date: Tuesday, 10th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Linfield to win) Odds: 1.23 Confidence: 56% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)

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Head to Head

Record

Linfield

Draws

Portadown

Meetings

3.2

Avg Goals

60%

BTTS

80%

Over 2.5

Supports Tip Linfield won 3 of the last 5 meetings (1 draws).

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Stats Duel

Comparison

Linfield

Metric

Portadown

1.8

Goals For / Game

0.8

Goals Against / Game

1.4

40%

Clean Sheets

20%

3-1-1

W — D — L

2-1-2

Win Rate

60%

40%

2.4

Avg Goals

80%

Over 1.5

40%

Over 2.5

40%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 9.1%

0-1 7.3%

0-2 2.9%

0-3 0.8%

0-4 0.2%

0-5 0.0%

1-0 14.5%

1-1 11.6%

1-2 4.6%

1-3 1.2%

1-4 0.3%

1-5 0.0%

2-0 11.6%

2-1 9.3%

2-2 3.7%

2-3 1.0%

2-4 0.2%

2-5 0.0%

3-0 6.2%

3-1 5.0%

3-2 2.0%

3-3 0.5%

3-4 0.1%

3-5 0.0%

4-0 2.5%

4-1 2.0%

4-2 0.8%

4-3 0.2%

4-4 0.0%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.8%

5-1 0.6%

5-2 0.3%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 1-0(14.5%) 2-0(11.6%) 2-1(9.3%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip L=Home goals ↓ P=Away →

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Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

Linfield Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Portadown Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

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Team Ratings

Grades

Linfield

Overall

6.6 —

Scoring

6.0 —

Defence

7.3 —

Portadown

Overall

4.6 —

Scoring

2.7 —

Defence

5.3 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%

Home Win & BTTS No 30%

Draw & BTTS Yes 7%

Draw & BTTS No 10%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%

Away Win & BTTS No 20%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 20%

Home Win & Under 2.5 30%

Draw & Over 2.5 7%

Draw & Under 2.5 10%

Away Win & Over 2.5 13%

Away Win & Under 2.5 20%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

⚽ NIFL (17.10.25): Portadown2

Linfield0

⚽ NIFL (06.09.25): Linfield3

Portadown0

⚽ NIFL (18.01.25): Portadown1

Linfield3

⚽ NIFL (30.11.24): Linfield2

Portadown1

⚽ NIFL (30.08.24): Portadown2

Linfield2

Recent Form

Linfield

⚽ NIFL (01.03.26): Cliftonville2

Linfield0

⚽ NIFL (24.02.26): Larne1

Linfield1

⚽ NIFL (21.02.26): Linfield1

Glentoran0

⚽ NIFL (17.02.26): Dungannon1

Linfield4

⚽ NIFL (14.02.26): Glenavon0

Linfield3

Portadown

⚽ NIFL (07.03.26): Ballymena1

Portadown1

⚽ NIFL (04.03.26): Portadown0

Cliftonville2

⚽ NIFL (28.02.26): Glenavon3

Portadown0

⚽ NIFL (21.02.26): Portadown1

Dungannon0

⚽ NIFL (14.02.26): Portadown2

Larne1

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Match Analysis

Writeup

On Tuesday, 10th March 2026, Linfield host Portadown in NIFL Premiership. We recommend Linfield to win as the standout selection.

Linfield arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Portadown are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 2W 1D 2L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Linfield, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Portadown's 1, with 1 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: linfield to win at odds of 1.23 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Linfield vs Portadown?

Our selection is 1 — Linfield to win, priced at approximately 1.23. Tip confidence rating: 56%.

What is Linfield's current form?

Linfield have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.

How has Portadown been performing recently?

Portadown have recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Linfield lead with 3 wins versus Portadown's 1, with 1 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

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