LOST Tip LOST Man City 2-2 Nottingham

Man City

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W W W W W

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2-2

Nottingham

Away

L L L W D

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Man City 60%

Draw 30%

Nottingham 10%

H Fair Odds 1.67

D Fair Odds 3.33

A Fair Odds 10

Implied Prob 69.4% Bookie's implied odds

Our Edge -27.4% Overpriced

Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %

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Head to Head

Record

Man City

Draws

Nottingham

Meetings

2.2

Avg Goals

20%

BTTS

40%

Over 2.5

Against Tip Man City won 0 of the last 5 meetings (5 draws).

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Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

Man City Win

60%

1.67

Draw

30%

3.33

Nottingham Win

Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

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Potential Profit

Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

27.12.25

: NOT1

MCI - PL2

27.04.25

: NOT0

MCI - FAC2

08.03.25

: NOT1

MCI - PL0

04.12.24

: MCI3

NOT - PL0

28.04.24

: NOT0

MCI - PL2

Recent Form

Man City

28.02.26

: LEE0

MCI - PL1

21.02.26

: MCI2

NEW - PL1

14.02.26

: MCI2

SAL - FAC0

11.02.26

: MCI3

FUL - PL0

08.02.26

: LIV1

MCI - PL2

Nottingham

01.03.26

: BHA2

NOT - PL1

26.02.26

: NOT1

FEN - EL2

22.02.26

: NOT0

LIV - PL1

19.02.26

: FEN0

NOT - EL3

11.02.26

: NOT0

WOL - PL0

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Match Analysis

Writeup

On Wednesday, 4th March 2026, Man City host Nottingham in Premier League. We recommend Man City to win as the standout selection.

Historical meetings favour Man City, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Nottingham's 0, with 5 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 20% of those meetings.

Our verdict: man city to win at odds of 1.44 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Man City vs Nottingham?

Our selection is 1 — Man City to win, priced at approximately 1.44. Tip confidence rating: 42%.

What is Man City's current form?

Form guide: W/W/W/W/W

How has Nottingham been performing recently?

Form guide: L/L/L/W/D

What does the head-to-head record show?

Man City lead with 0 wins versus Nottingham's 0, with 5 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Insufficient data to project goals accurately.

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