WON Tip WON Marica 0-0 Bonsucesso
M

Marica

Home
L W W W D
6W 1D 3L ▲ Improving
VS
0-0
B
Bonsucesso
Away
W L L D W
3W 2D 5L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 10th June 2026
1X
Backing Marica to win or draw
Implied Prob 90.1% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -0.1% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1X — Marica to win or draw
1.11
Under 2.5 Goals65% BTTS — No65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Marica vs Bonsucesso Competition: Brazil Carioca 2 Date: Wednesday, 10th June 2026 Pick: 1X (Marica to win or draw) Odds: 1.11 Confidence: 90% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: BTTS — No (65%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Marica
0
Draws
0
Bonsucesso
1
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Marica
Metric
Bonsucesso
1
Goals For / Game
0.9
1
Goals Against / Game
0.9
50%
Clean Sheets
30%
6-1-3
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
60%
30%
1.9
Avg Goals
50%
Over 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
M0
0-0 15.0%
0-1 14.2%
0-2 6.8%
0-3 2.1%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
M1
1-0 14.2%
1-1 13.5%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 2.0%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
M2
2-0 6.8%
2-1 6.4%
2-2 3.1%
2-3 1.0%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
M3
3-0 2.1%
3-1 2.0%
3-2 1.0%
3-3 0.3%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
M4
4-0 0.5%
4-1 0.5%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
M5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-0(15.0%) 1-0(14.2%) 1-1(13.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip M=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Marica
Overall
6.3
Scoring
3.3
Defence
6.7
Bonsucesso
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.0
Defence
7.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 37%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 19%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 20%
Home Win & Under 2.5 37%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 19%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
18.11.20CAR2
Marica2
Bonsucesso0
Recent Form
Marica
07.06.26SD
Velo Clube3
Marica1
L
03.06.26CAR2
CEAC/Araruama0
Marica1
W
30.05.26SD
Marica1
Nova Iguacu0
W
27.05.26CAR2
Marica2
Olaria1
W
23.05.26SD
Sampaio Correa FE1
Marica1
D
20.05.26CAR2
America RJ0
Marica1
W
16.05.26SD
Marica1
Piracicaba2
L
13.05.26CAR2
Marica1
Sao Goncalo0
W
09.05.26SD
Marica0
Noroeste3
L
06.05.26CAR2
Marica1
Cabofriense0
W
Bonsucesso
30.05.26CAR2
Bonsucesso4
Perolas Negras1
W
23.05.26CAR2
Americano2
Bonsucesso0
L
16.05.26CAR2
Bonsucesso0
Audax RJ1
L
09.05.26CAR2
Serrano FC0
Bonsucesso0
D
02.05.26CAR2
Bonsucesso2
CEAC/Araruama1
W
29.04.26CAR2
Cabofriense1
Bonsucesso0
L
06.12.25CAR2
Bonsucesso0
Serrano FC0
D
30.11.25CAR2
Serrano FC2
Bonsucesso1
L
22.11.25CAR2
Bonsucesso2
Duque de Caxias0
W
15.11.25CAR2
Duque de Caxias1
Bonsucesso0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 10th June 2026, Marica host Bonsucesso in Brazil Carioca 2. We recommend Marica to win or draw as the standout selection.

Marica arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Bonsucesso are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Marica, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Bonsucesso's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: marica to win or draw at odds of 1.11 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Brazil Carioca 2 fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1X, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.11 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Marica vs Bonsucesso?
Our selection is 1X — Marica to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.11. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Marica's current form?
Marica have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Bonsucesso been performing recently?
Bonsucesso have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Marica lead with 1 wins versus Bonsucesso's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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