Strong Signal 71% Confidence
N

Narva

Home
L L W L D
4W 2D 4L ▲ Improving
VS
3:30 pm
Narva Kalev-Fama staadion (Narva)
F
Flora
Away
W W L L D
4W 0D 6L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Tuesday, 8th September 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 66.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +4.3% Value detected
Kelly % 13% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.50
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Narva vs Flora Date: Tuesday, 8th September 2026 KO: 3:30 pm Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.50 Confidence: 71% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Narva
3
Draws
7
Flora
10
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 70% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Narva
Metric
Flora
1.7
Goals For / Game
1.2
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.9
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
4-2-4
W — D — L
4-0-6
Win Rate
40%
40%
3.1
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
N0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 5.9%
0-2 3.8%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
N1
1-0 8.1%
1-1 10.5%
1-2 6.9%
1-3 3.0%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
N2
2-0 7.3%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
N3
3-0 4.4%
3-1 5.7%
3-2 3.7%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
N4
4-0 2.0%
4-1 2.6%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
N5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(10.5%) 2-1(9.5%) 1-0(8.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip N=Home goals ↓   F=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Narva
Overall
4.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
5.3
Flora
Overall
4.0
Scoring
4.0
Defence
3.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Away Win & BTTS No 23%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 26%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 27%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
16.05.26ML
Narva0
Flora3
05.05.26CUP
Flora1
Narva0
22.04.26ML
Flora6
Narva0
21.10.25ML
Flora4
Narva0
02.08.25ML
Narva1
Flora1
18.06.25ML
Narva1
Flora2
01.03.25ML
Flora2
Narva2
17.09.24ML
Narva1
Flora1
03.08.24ML
Flora3
Narva1
18.05.24ML
Narva1
Flora3
Recent Form
Narva
05.09.26ML
Kuressaare3
Narva1
L
30.08.26ML
Narva0
Tammeka2
L
26.08.26CUP
Narva2
Kalju0
W
21.08.26ML
Levadia4
Narva0
L
16.08.26ML
Narva1
Paide1
D
11.08.26CUP
Narva8
Marjamaa Kompanii0
W
08.08.26ML
Narva0
Kalju2
L
31.07.26ML
Nomme Utd1
Narva2
W
22.07.26CUP
Narva0
Flora U21 (4-3)0
18.07.26ML
Narva3
Parnu JK Vaprus1
W
Flora
05.09.26ML
Flora2
Kalju1
W
02.09.26ML
Flora3
Tammeka2
W
30.08.26ML
Flora1
Paide2
L
26.08.26ML
Tammeka3
Flora1
L
23.08.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Flora2
W
16.08.26ML
Flora2
Kuressaare3
L
13.08.26UECL
Flora0
Inter Escaldes4
L
06.08.26UECL
Inter Escaldes2
Flora0
L
02.08.26ML
Flora1
Harju JK Laagri0
W
30.07.26UECL
TNS1
Flora (2-4)0
Narva (Home)
30.08.26ML
Narva0
Tammeka2
L
26.08.26CUP
Narva2
Kalju0
W
16.08.26ML
Narva1
Paide1
D
11.08.26CUP
Narva8
Marjamaa Kompanii0
W
08.08.26ML
Narva0
Kalju2
L
22.07.26CUP
Narva0
Flora U21 (4-3)0
18.07.26ML
Narva3
Parnu JK Vaprus1
W
04.07.26ML
Narva1
Levadia3
L
13.06.26ML
Narva1
Nomme Utd2
L
10.06.26CUP
Narva10
Vana Hea Puur0
W
Flora (Away)
26.08.26ML
Tammeka3
Flora1
L
23.08.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Flora2
W
06.08.26UECL
Inter Escaldes2
Flora0
L
30.07.26UECL
TNS1
Flora (2-4)0
14.07.26CL
Iberia 19992
Flora2
D
02.07.26ML
Kuressaare0
Flora3
W
28.06.26ML
Levadia1
Flora2
W
16.06.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus1
Flora2
W
29.05.26ML
Nomme Utd0
Flora4
W
23.05.26CUP
Paide1
Flora5
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Unknown League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Narva Kalev-Fama staadion (Narva). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward Over 2.5 at @1.50, which our model rates near around 8 in 10. The fixture starts at 3:30 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Narva vs Flora?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.50. Tip confidence rating: 71%.
What is Narva's current form?
Narva have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Flora been performing recently?
Flora have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Narva lead with 0 wins versus Flora's 7, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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