WON Tip WON Neptunas 2-1 Kauno Zalgiris 2
N

Neptunas

Home
W W W W L
7W 0D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
2-1
K
Kauno Zalgiris 2
Away
L W W L L
3W 0D 7L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 18th June 2026
1
Backing Neptunas to win
Neptunas 50%
Draw 30%
Kauno Zalgiris 2 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 78.1% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -19.1% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Neptunas to win
1.28
BTTS — No65%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Neptunas vs Kauno Zalgiris 2 Competition: Lithuania 1 Lyga Date: Thursday, 18th June 2026 Pick: 1 (Neptunas to win) Odds: 1.28 Confidence: 59% Also: BTTS — No (65%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Neptunas
1
Draws
2
Kauno Zalgiris 2
8
Meetings
3.9
Avg Goals
63%
BTTS
88%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Neptunas won 5 of the last 8 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Neptunas
Metric
Kauno Zalgiris 2
1.7
Goals For / Game
0.5
1.3
Goals Against / Game
1.6
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
7-0-3
W — D — L
3-0-7
Win Rate
70%
30%
2.6
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
35%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
N0
0-0 7.8%
0-1 7.0%
0-2 3.2%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
N1
1-0 12.9%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 5.2%
1-3 1.6%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
N2
2-0 10.6%
2-1 9.6%
2-2 4.3%
2-3 1.3%
2-4 0.3%
2-5 0.1%
N3
3-0 5.9%
3-1 5.3%
3-2 2.4%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
N4
4-0 2.4%
4-1 2.2%
4-2 1.0%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
N5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 0.7%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(12.9%) 2-0(10.6%) 2-1(9.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip N=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Neptunas Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Kauno Zalgiris 2 Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Neptunas
Overall
7.0
Scoring
5.7
Defence
5.7
Kauno Zalgiris 2
Overall
3.0
Scoring
1.7
Defence
4.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 46%
Draw & BTTS Yes 0%
Draw & BTTS No 0%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 20%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 35%
Home Win & Under 2.5 35%
Draw & Over 2.5 0%
Draw & Under 2.5 0%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 15%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
24.10.25IL
Neptunas3
Kauno Zalgiris 21
17.06.25IL
Kauno Zalgiris 21
Neptunas3
18.08.24IL
Kauno Zalgiris 22
Neptunas2
22.03.24IL
Neptunas2
Kauno Zalgiris 21
04.11.23IL
Kauno Zalgiris 25
Neptunas1
23.06.23IL
Neptunas5
Kauno Zalgiris 20
02.10.21IL
Kauno Zalgiris 23
Neptunas0
20.06.21IL
Neptunas2
Kauno Zalgiris 20
Recent Form
Neptunas
10.06.26IL
Neptunas3
Transinvest 20
W
05.06.26IL
Ekranas1
Neptunas2
W
30.05.26IL
Neptunas1
BE1 NFA0
W
22.05.26IL
Hegelmann Litauen 22
Neptunas3
W
16.05.26IL
Neptunas1
FK Minija3
L
08.05.26IL
Jonava0
Neptunas1
W
02.05.26IL
Neptunas2
Zalgiris 21
W
25.04.26IL
Atmosfera1
Neptunas3
W
22.04.26CUP
Neptunas0
Dziugas Telsiai2
L
17.04.26IL
Neptunas1
BFA Vilnius3
L
Kauno Zalgiris 2
12.06.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
Dainava Alytus2
L
30.05.26IL
Transinvest 20
Kauno Zalgiris 21
W
24.05.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 22
Siauliai 20
W
15.05.26IL
Garliava3
Kauno Zalgiris 20
L
08.05.26IL
Ekranas1
Kauno Zalgiris 20
L
02.05.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
BE1 NFA1
L
24.04.26IL
Hegelmann Litauen 22
Kauno Zalgiris 20
L
19.04.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
FK Minija4
L
12.04.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
Zalgiris 21
L
04.04.26IL
Jonava3
Kauno Zalgiris 21
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 18th June 2026, Neptunas host Kauno Zalgiris 2 in Lithuania 1 Lyga. We recommend Neptunas to win as the standout selection.

Neptunas arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Kauno Zalgiris 2 are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 0D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Neptunas, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Kauno Zalgiris 2's 2, with 1 draws from 8 encounters. Both teams have scored in 63% of those meetings.

Our verdict: neptunas to win at odds of 1.28 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Lithuania 1 Lyga fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.28 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Neptunas vs Kauno Zalgiris 2?
Our selection is 1 — Neptunas to win, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Neptunas's current form?
Neptunas have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kauno Zalgiris 2 been performing recently?
Kauno Zalgiris 2 have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Neptunas lead with 5 wins versus Kauno Zalgiris 2's 2, with 1 draws across 8 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 63%.
⚠️
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