Strong Signal 72% Confidence
N

Noah

Home
W W L D W
7W 2D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
—
4:00 pm
—
Abovyan City Stadium (Abovyan)
S
Shirak Gyumri
Away
W W L D L
4W 1D 5L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 7th November 2026
1
Backing Noah to win
Implied Prob 78.1% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -6.1% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
⚡
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Noah to win
1.28
Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Noah vs Shirak Gyumri Competition: Armenia Premier League Date: Saturday, 7th November 2026 KO: 4:00 pm Pick: 1 (Noah to win) Odds: 1.28 Confidence: 72% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
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Head to Head
Record
9
Noah
0
Draws
1
Shirak Gyumri
10
Meetings
3.2
Avg Goals
20%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Noah won 9 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Noah
Metric
Shirak Gyumri
2.8
Goals For / Game
1.7
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.2
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
7-2-1
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate
70%
40%
3.5
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
N0
0-0 3.2%
0-1 4.6%
0-2 3.3%
0-3 1.6%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
N1
1-0 6.4%
1-1 9.2%
1-2 6.7%
1-3 3.2%
1-4 1.2%
1-5 0.3%
N2
2-0 6.4%
2-1 9.2%
2-2 6.7%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.3%
N3
3-0 4.2%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 4.5%
3-3 2.2%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.2%
N4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 3.1%
4-2 2.2%
4-3 1.1%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
N5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(9.2%) 1-0(6.4%) 2-0(6.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip N=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Noah
Overall
7.6 ▲
Scoring
9.3 ▲
Defence
6.0 ▲
Shirak Gyumri
Overall
4.3 —
Scoring
5.7 —
Defence
6.0 —
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 25%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 34%
Home Win & Under 2.5 22%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 19%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
09.08.26PL
Shirak Gyumri3
Noah4
22.03.26PL
Noah3
Shirak Gyumri0
16.03.26PL
Shirak Gyumri0
Noah2
03.08.25PL
Noah4
Shirak Gyumri0
29.03.25PL
Shirak Gyumri1
Noah2
02.03.25PL
Noah4
Shirak Gyumri0
11.08.24PL
Shirak Gyumri0
Noah5
27.04.24PL
Shirak Gyumri1
Noah0
26.02.24PL
Noah1
Shirak Gyumri0
26.10.23PL
Shirak Gyumri0
Noah2
Recent Form
Noah
01.11.26PL
Syunik1
Noah3
W
29.10.26CUP
Noah4
Syunik3
W
26.10.26PL
Ararat-Armenia2
Noah1
L
18.10.26PL
Noah1
Pyunik Yerevan1
D
11.10.26PL
Sardarapat1
Noah5
W
02.10.26CF
Noah2
Dinamo Batumi2
D
18.09.26PL
Noah2
Van0
W
12.09.26PL
Urartu0
Noah3
W
04.09.26PL
Noah3
FC Gandzasar2
W
30.08.26PL
Noah4
Ararat0
W
Shirak Gyumri
31.10.26PL
Shirak Gyumri2
BKMA1
W
28.10.26CUP
Lernayin Artsakh1
Shirak Gyumri7
W
24.10.26PL
Shirak Gyumri0
Alashkert1
L
17.10.26PL
Ararat1
Shirak Gyumri1
D
12.10.26PL
Syunik2
Shirak Gyumri0
L
20.09.26PL
Shirak Gyumri1
Ararat-Armenia3
L
13.09.26PL
Pyunik Yerevan2
Shirak Gyumri0
L
06.09.26PL
Shirak Gyumri2
Sardarapat0
W
29.08.26PL
Van0
Shirak Gyumri4
W
22.08.26PL
Shirak Gyumri0
Urartu1
L
Noah (Home)
29.10.26CUP
Noah4
Syunik3
W
18.10.26PL
Noah1
Pyunik Yerevan1
D
02.10.26CF
Noah2
Dinamo Batumi2
D
18.09.26PL
Noah2
Van0
W
04.09.26PL
Noah3
FC Gandzasar2
W
30.08.26PL
Noah4
Ararat0
W
17.08.26PL
Noah1
Alashkert0
W
06.08.26UECL
Noah2
Sion2
D
02.08.26PL
Noah3
Syunik0
W
30.07.26UECL
Noah2
Zimbru Chisinau1
W
Shirak Gyumri (Away)
28.10.26CUP
Lernayin Artsakh1
Shirak Gyumri7
W
17.10.26PL
Ararat1
Shirak Gyumri1
D
12.10.26PL
Syunik2
Shirak Gyumri0
L
13.09.26PL
Pyunik Yerevan2
Shirak Gyumri0
L
29.08.26PL
Van0
Shirak Gyumri4
W
14.08.26PL
FC Gandzasar0
Shirak Gyumri1
W
01.08.26PL
BKMA0
Shirak Gyumri0
D
04.07.26CF
BKMA2
Shirak Gyumri3
W
26.05.26PL
Alashkert2
Shirak Gyumri0
L
08.05.26PL
Van1
Shirak Gyumri0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Armenia Premier League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Abovyan City Stadium (Abovyan). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.28, which our model rates near 63%. The fixture starts at 4:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Noah vs Shirak Gyumri?
Our selection is 1 — Noah to win, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 72%.
What is Noah's current form?
Noah have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Shirak Gyumri been performing recently?
Shirak Gyumri have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Noah lead with 9 wins versus Shirak Gyumri's 1, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
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