Weak Signal 41% Confidence
N

Nof Hagalil

Home
W W D D L
3W 3D 4L ▲ Improving
VS
—
5:55 pm
—
N/A
T
Tzeirey Tamra
Away
W L L L L
3W 0D 7L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 30th September 2026
1
Backing Nof Hagalil to win
Implied Prob 79.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -38.4% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
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Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Nof Hagalil to win
1.26
Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Nof Hagalil vs Tzeirey Tamra Competition: Israel Liga Alef North Date: Wednesday, 30th September 2026 KO: 5:55 pm Pick: 1 (Nof Hagalil to win) Odds: 1.26 Confidence: 41% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
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Head to Head
Record
Neutral No head-to-head data found.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Nof Hagalil
Metric
Tzeirey Tamra
1.3
Goals For / Game
1.3
1.7
Goals Against / Game
2.3
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
3-3-4
W — D — L
3-0-7
Win Rate
30%
30%
3.3
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
N0
0-0 3.7%
0-1 5.5%
0-2 4.2%
0-3 2.1%
0-4 0.8%
0-5 0.2%
N1
1-0 6.6%
1-1 10.0%
1-2 7.5%
1-3 3.7%
1-4 1.4%
1-5 0.4%
N2
2-0 6.0%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 6.7%
2-3 3.4%
2-4 1.3%
2-5 0.4%
N3
3-0 3.6%
3-1 5.4%
3-2 4.0%
3-3 2.0%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.2%
N4
4-0 1.6%
4-1 2.4%
4-2 1.8%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
N5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.7%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.0%) 1-0(6.6%) 2-0(6.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip N=Home goals ↓   T=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
Nof Hagalil
Overall
3.9 ▼
Scoring
4.3 ▼
Defence
4.3 ▼
Tzeirey Tamra
Overall
3.0 ▲
Scoring
4.3 ▲
Defence
2.3 ▲
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Home Win & BTTS No 16%
Draw & BTTS Yes 12%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 24%
Away Win & BTTS No 16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 24%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 24%
Away Win & Under 2.5 16%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form
Nof Hagalil
24.09.26LAN
H. Migdal HaEmek2
Nof Hagalil3
W
09.09.26LAN
Nof Hagalil1
Hapoel Tirat Karmel0
W
05.09.26LAN
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm2
Nof Hagalil2
D
25.05.26LL
Nof Hagalil2
H. Akko2
D
19.05.26LL
Nof Hagalil0
Ironi Modiin2
L
15.05.26LL
Hapoel Afula2
Nof Hagalil1
L
11.05.26LL
MS Kafr Qasim1
Nof Hagalil1
D
04.05.26LL
Maccabi Jaffa2
Nof Hagalil0
L
30.04.26LL
Nof Hagalil2
Hapoel Hadera0
W
24.04.26LL
H. Raanana4
Nof Hagalil1
L
Tzeirey Tamra
23.09.26LAN
Tzeirey Tamra1
Beit Shean0
W
18.09.26LAN
Tzeirey Tamra1
Hapoel Tirat Karmel4
L
09.09.26LAN
Tzeirey Tamra1
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm2
L
04.09.26LAN
Ironi Nesher6
Tzeirey Tamra1
L
27.02.26LAN
Tzeirey Tamra0
H. Migdal HaEmek2
L
22.02.26LAN
Araba0
Tzeirey Tamra3
W
13.02.26LAN
Tzeirey Tamra1
MS Tira3
L
06.02.26LAN
Hapoel Tirat Karmel0
Tzeirey Tamra2
W
30.01.26LAN
Tzeirey Tamra2
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm4
L
24.01.26LAN
Hapoel Bnei Musmus2
Tzeirey Tamra1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Israel Liga Alef North match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into N/A. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.26, which our model rates near 49%. The fixture starts at 5:55 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Nof Hagalil vs Tzeirey Tamra?
Our selection is 1 — Nof Hagalil to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 41%.
What is Nof Hagalil's current form?
Nof Hagalil have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Tzeirey Tamra been performing recently?
Tzeirey Tamra have recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
No recent head-to-head data available.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game.
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