LOST Tip LOST Nordsjaelland W 2-2 Koge W
N

Nordsjaelland W

Home
D W W W W
7W 2D 1L ▼ Declining
VS
2-2
1:00 pm
N/A
K
Koge W
Away
W W L W W
7W 1D 2L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Sunday, 4th October 2026
Over 1.5
Backing over 1.5 goals
Implied Prob 88.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -3.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
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Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals
1.13
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Nordsjaelland W vs Koge W Competition: Denmark A Liga Women Date: Sunday, 4th October 2026 KO: 1:00 pm Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.13 Confidence: 85% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
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Head to Head
Record
3
Nordsjaelland W
3
Draws
4
Koge W
10
Meetings
4.3
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 1.5 in 90% of H2H.
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Nordsjaelland W
Metric
Koge W
3.3
Goals For / Game
2.5
1.1
Goals Against / Game
1.2
20%
Clean Sheets
30%
7-2-1
W — D — L
7-1-2
Win Rate
70%
70%
4.1
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
N0
0-0 1.7%
0-1 3.1%
0-2 2.8%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.8%
0-5 0.3%
N1
1-0 3.9%
1-1 7.1%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 3.8%
1-4 1.7%
1-5 0.6%
N2
2-0 4.4%
2-1 7.9%
2-2 7.1%
2-3 4.3%
2-4 1.9%
2-5 0.7%
N3
3-0 3.3%
3-1 6.0%
3-2 5.4%
3-3 3.2%
3-4 1.5%
3-5 0.5%
N4
4-0 1.9%
4-1 3.4%
4-2 3.0%
4-3 1.8%
4-4 0.8%
4-5 0.3%
N5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 1.5%
5-2 1.4%
5-3 0.8%
5-4 0.4%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(7.9%) 2-2(7.1%) 1-1(7.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip N=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
Nordsjaelland W
Overall
7.6 ▼
Scoring
10.0 ▼
Defence
6.3 ▼
Koge W
Overall
7.3 ▼
Scoring
8.3 ▼
Defence
6.0 ▼
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 16%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Away Win & BTTS No 16%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 27%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 27%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
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Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
05.09.26AL
Koge W4
Nordsjaelland6
16.05.26CUP
Nordsjaelland W1
Koge4
03.05.26AL
Nordsjaelland W1
Koge1
14.03.26AL
Koge W3
Nordsjaelland3
15.11.25AL
Koge W2
Nordsjaelland2
29.09.25AL
Nordsjaelland W2
Koge3
07.06.25AL
Nordsjaelland W0
Koge1
27.04.25AL
Koge W3
Nordsjaelland2
05.10.24AL
Nordsjaelland W2
Koge0
18.08.24AL
Koge W1
Nordsjaelland2
Recent Form
Nordsjaelland W
26.09.26AL
Fortuna Hjorring W1
Nordsjaelland W1
D
22.09.26AL
Aarhus W0
Nordsjaelland W2
W
15.09.26AL
Nordsjaelland W4
Midtjylland W1
W
05.09.26AL
Koge W4
Nordsjaelland W6
W
01.09.26AL
Nordsjaelland W4
KoldingQ W0
W
23.08.26AL
Nordsjaelland W9
FC Copenhagen W1
W
15.08.26AL
ASA Aarhus W1
Nordsjaelland W3
W
01.08.26AL
Brondby W1
Nordsjaelland W1
D
26.07.26AL
Nordsjaelland W0
Odense Q W1
L
19.07.26CF
Feyenoord W1
Nordsjaelland W3
W
Koge W
01.10.26CL
Koge W5
Servette Geneve FC W1
W
26.09.26AL
Koge W4
KoldingQ W1
W
22.09.26CL
Arsenal W1
Koge W0
L
19.09.26AL
Koge W4
Midtjylland W0
W
12.09.26AL
Fortuna Hjorring W1
Koge W2
W
05.09.26AL
Koge W4
Nordsjaelland W6
L
02.09.26CL
Koge W1
PSV W1
D
29.08.26AL
Aarhus W0
Koge W2
W
26.08.26CL
PSV W0
Koge W1
W
19.08.26AL
Brondby W1
Koge W2
W
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Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Denmark A Liga Women match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into N/A. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward Over 1.5 at @1.13, which our model rates near 82%. The fixture starts at 1:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

 

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Nordsjaelland W vs Koge W?
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.13. Tip confidence rating: 85%.
What is Nordsjaelland W's current form?
Nordsjaelland W have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Koge W been performing recently?
Koge W have recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Nordsjaelland W lead with 3 wins versus Koge W's 4, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
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