Moderate Signal 63% Confidence
N

NSI Runavik

Home
W W D W D
5W 3D 2L → Steady
VS
—
3:00 pm
—
Við Løkin (Runavík)
0
07 Vestur Sorvagur
Away
W D L D D
3W 3D 4L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Sunday, 18th October 2026
1
Backing NSI Runavik to win
Implied Prob 82.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -19.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
⚡
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — NSI Runavik to win
1.21
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
NSI Runavik vs 07 Vestur Sorvagur Competition: Faroe Islands Premier League Date: Sunday, 18th October 2026 KO: 3:00 pm Pick: 1 (NSI Runavik to win) Odds: 1.21 Confidence: 63% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
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Head to Head
Record
8
NSI Runavik
1
Draws
1
07 Vestur Sorvagur
10
Meetings
3.9
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip NSI Runavik won 8 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
NSI Runavik
Metric
07 Vestur Sorvagur
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.4
1.5
Goals Against / Game
1.5
10%
Clean Sheets
30%
5-3-2
W — D — L
3-3-4
Win Rate
50%
30%
3.3
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
00
01
02
03
04
05
N0
0-0 3.9%
0-1 5.6%
0-2 4.1%
0-3 2.0%
0-4 0.7%
0-5 0.2%
N1
1-0 7.0%
1-1 10.1%
1-2 7.3%
1-3 3.6%
1-4 1.3%
1-5 0.4%
N2
2-0 6.3%
2-1 9.1%
2-2 6.6%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.3%
N3
3-0 3.8%
3-1 5.5%
3-2 4.0%
3-3 1.9%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
N4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 1.8%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
N5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.1%) 1-0(7.0%) 2-0(6.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip N=Home goals ↓   0=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
NSI Runavik
Overall
5.9 ▼
Scoring
7.0 ▼
Defence
5.0 ▼
07 Vestur Sorvagur
Overall
3.9 ▲
Scoring
4.7 ▲
Defence
5.0 ▲
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 19%
Draw & BTTS No 8%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 14%
Draw & Over 2.5 19%
Draw & Under 2.5 8%
Away Win & Over 2.5 20%
Away Win & Under 2.5 8%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
17.05.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
NSI Runavik6
30.04.26CUP
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
NSI Runavik4
12.04.26PL
NSI Runavik2
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
28.09.25PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
NSI Runavik5
10.08.25PL
NSI Runavik1
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
03.04.25PL
NSI Runavik4
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
16.08.24PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur3
NSI Runavik0
05.07.24PL
NSI Runavik4
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
13.05.24PL
NSI Runavik4
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
17.09.22PL
NSI Runavik1
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
Recent Form
NSI Runavik
11.10.26PL
Skala Itrottarfelag1
NSI Runavik2
W
18.09.26PL
B36 Torshavn1
NSI Runavik2
W
13.09.26PL
NSI Runavik1
Vikingur1
D
30.08.26PL
NSI Runavik3
AB Argir1
W
23.08.26PL
Klaksvik2
NSI Runavik2
D
16.08.26PL
NSI Runavik4
Streymur2
W
13.08.26UECL
NSI Runavik2
Lugano2
D
10.08.26PL
NSI Runavik4
Skala Itrottarfelag0
W
06.08.26UECL
Lugano2
NSI Runavik0
L
03.08.26PL
HB Torshavn3
NSI Runavik1
L
07 Vestur Sorvagur
10.10.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur3
Streymur0
W
19.09.26PL
Vikingur3
07 Vestur Sorvagur3
D
13.09.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
Klaksvik1
L
30.08.26PL
Skala Itrottarfelag1
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
D
23.08.26PL
HB Torshavn0
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
D
16.08.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
B36 Torshavn2
L
07.08.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur3
Streymur2
W
02.08.26PL
Toftir2
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
L
05.07.26PL
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
HB Torshavn4
L
28.06.26PL
Klaksvik0
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
W
NSI Runavik (Home)
13.09.26PL
NSI Runavik1
Vikingur1
D
30.08.26PL
NSI Runavik3
AB Argir1
W
16.08.26PL
NSI Runavik4
Streymur2
W
13.08.26UECL
NSI Runavik2
Lugano2
D
10.08.26PL
NSI Runavik4
Skala Itrottarfelag0
W
23.07.26UECL
NSI Runavik0
Koper2
L
09.07.26UECL
NSI Runavik1
Hamrun1
D
03.07.26PL
NSI Runavik0
Klaksvik0
D
24.06.26CUP
NSI Runavik4
Klaksvik (2-3)2
20.06.26PL
NSI Runavik1
Toftir0
W
07 Vestur Sorvagur (Away)
19.09.26PL
Vikingur3
07 Vestur Sorvagur3
D
30.08.26PL
Skala Itrottarfelag1
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
D
23.08.26PL
HB Torshavn0
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
D
02.08.26PL
Toftir2
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
L
28.06.26PL
Klaksvik0
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
W
29.05.26PL
Skala Itrottarfelag2
07 Vestur Sorvagur1
L
25.05.26PL
B36 Torshavn1
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
L
04.05.26PL
Vikingur0
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
D
26.04.26PL
Streymur0
07 Vestur Sorvagur2
W
12.04.26PL
NSI Runavik2
07 Vestur Sorvagur0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Faroe Islands Premier League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Við Løkin (Runavík). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.21, which our model rates near 63. The fixture starts at 3:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for NSI Runavik vs 07 Vestur Sorvagur?
Our selection is 1 — NSI Runavik to win, priced at approximately 1.21. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is NSI Runavik's current form?
NSI Runavik have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has 07 Vestur Sorvagur been performing recently?
07 Vestur Sorvagur have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
NSI Runavik lead with 8 wins versus 07 Vestur Sorvagur's 1, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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