WON Tip WON Olimpia Asuncion 3-2 Recoleta
O

Olimpia Asuncion

Home
L W D L L
4W 2D 4L ▲ Improving
VS
3-2
R
Recoleta
Away
L D W D L
3W 4D 3L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 15th May 2026
1
Backing Olimpia Asuncion to win
Olimpia Asuncion 50%
Draw 30%
Recoleta 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 73.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -26.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Olimpia Asuncion to win
1.36
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Olimpia Asuncion vs Recoleta Competition: Paraguay Copa de Primera Date: Friday, 15th May 2026 Pick: 1 (Olimpia Asuncion to win) Odds: 1.36 Confidence: 47% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Olimpia Asuncion
3
Draws
1
Recoleta
8
Meetings
2
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
38%
Over 2.5
Neutral Olimpia Asuncion won 4 of the last 8 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Olimpia Asuncion
Metric
Recoleta
1.2
Goals For / Game
1.8
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.3
40%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-2-4
W — D — L
3-4-3
Win Rate
40%
30%
2.8
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
O0
0-0 6.4%
0-1 9.6%
0-2 7.2%
0-3 3.6%
0-4 1.4%
0-5 0.4%
O1
1-0 8.0%
1-1 12.0%
1-2 9.0%
1-3 4.5%
1-4 1.7%
1-5 0.5%
O2
2-0 5.0%
2-1 7.5%
2-2 5.6%
2-3 2.8%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
O3
3-0 2.1%
3-1 3.1%
3-2 2.3%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.4%
3-5 0.1%
O4
4-0 0.7%
4-1 1.0%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
O5
5-0 0.2%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(8.0%) 2-1(7.5%) 2-0(5.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip O=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Olimpia Asuncion Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Recoleta Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Olimpia Asuncion
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.0
Defence
6.0
Recoleta
Overall
4.2
Scoring
6.0
Defence
5.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 22%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 17%
Draw & BTTS No 14%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 17%
Draw & Under 2.5 14%
Away Win & Over 2.5 17%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
14.03.26PD
Recoleta0
Olimpia Asuncion1
10.10.25PD
Recoleta1
Olimpia Asuncion0
31.07.25PD
Olimpia Asuncion1
Recoleta0
01.06.25PD
Olimpia Asuncion0
Recoleta0
30.03.25PD
Recoleta1
Olimpia Asuncion1
11.10.02PD
Recoleta1
Olimpia Asuncion2
09.08.02PD
Olimpia Asuncion3
Recoleta1
22.03.02PD
Olimpia Asuncion2
Recoleta2
Recent Form
Olimpia Asuncion
10.05.26PD
San Lorenzo1
Olimpia Asuncion0
L
07.05.26COP
Barracas Central1
Olimpia Asuncion2
W
03.05.26PD
Olimpia Asuncion1
Ameliano1
D
30.04.26COP
Vasco3
Olimpia Asuncion0
L
26.04.26PD
Libertad Asuncion3
Olimpia Asuncion2
L
19.04.26PD
Olimpia Asuncion3
Cerro Porteno0
W
16.04.26COP
Olimpia Asuncion0
Barracas Central0
D
12.04.26PD
Rubio Nu0
Olimpia Asuncion2
W
09.04.26COP
A. Italiano0
Olimpia Asuncion2
W
04.04.26PD
Olimpia Asuncion3
Nacional Asuncion0
W
Recoleta
11.05.26PD
Ameliano3
Recoleta2
L
06.05.26COP
Recoleta1
Santos1
D
03.05.26PD
Recoleta2
Cerro Porteno1
W
29.04.26COP
Recoleta0
Dep. Cuenca0
D
24.04.26PD
Nacional Asuncion2
Recoleta1
L
19.04.26PD
Recoleta5
2 de Mayo0
W
15.04.26COP
Santos1
Recoleta1
D
11.04.26PD
Sp. Luqueno2
Recoleta1
L
08.04.26COP
Recoleta1
San Lorenzo1
D
05.04.26PD
Recoleta4
San Lorenzo2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Paraguay Copa de Primera fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.36 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Olimpia Asuncion vs Recoleta?
Our selection is 1 — Olimpia Asuncion to win, priced at approximately 1.36. Tip confidence rating: 47%.
What is Olimpia Asuncion's current form?
Olimpia Asuncion have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Recoleta been performing recently?
Recoleta have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Olimpia Asuncion lead with 4 wins versus Recoleta's 1, with 3 draws across 8 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
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