Moderate Signal 51% Confidence
O

Ordabasy

Home
L W W W W
8W 1D 1L ▼ Declining
VS
4:00 pm
Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov (Šymkent)
A
Altai
Away
W W L D L
3W 3D 3L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 15th July 2026
1
Backing Ordabasy to win
Ordabasy 50%
Draw 30%
Altai 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 72.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -21.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Ordabasy to win
1.38
Ordabasy Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Ordabasy vs Altai Competition: Kazakhstan Cup Date: Wednesday, 15th July 2026 KO: 4:00 pm Pick: 1 (Ordabasy to win) Odds: 1.38 Confidence: 51% Also: Ordabasy Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
0
Ordabasy
1
Draws
0
Altai
1
Meetings
0
Avg Goals
0%
BTTS
0%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Ordabasy won 0 of the last 1 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Ordabasy
Metric
Altai
1.7
Goals For / Game
1
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.2
60%
Clean Sheets
33%
8-1-1
W — D — L
3-3-3
Win Rate
80%
33%
2.3
Avg Goals
58%
Over 1.5
42%
Over 2.5
42%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
O0
0-0 10.5%
0-1 8.4%
0-2 3.4%
0-3 0.9%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
O1
1-0 15.3%
1-1 12.2%
1-2 4.9%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.0%
O2
2-0 11.1%
2-1 8.9%
2-2 3.6%
2-3 1.0%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
O3
3-0 5.4%
3-1 4.3%
3-2 1.7%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
O4
4-0 1.9%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
O5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(15.3%) 2-0(11.1%) 2-1(8.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip O=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Ordabasy Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Altai Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Ordabasy
Overall
8.3
Scoring
5.7
Defence
8.0
Altai
Overall
4.3
Scoring
3.3
Defence
5.9
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 25%
Home Win & BTTS No 35%
Draw & BTTS Yes 7%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 10%
Away Win & BTTS No 14%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 25%
Home Win & Under 2.5 35%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
10.05.26PL
Altai0
Ordabasy0
Recent Form
Ordabasy
11.07.26PL
Kaspij Aktau3
Ordabasy2
L
05.07.26PL
Ordabasy1
Ulytau0
W
28.06.26PL
Ulytau0
Ordabasy1
W
20.06.26PL
Ordabasy2
Kaspij Aktau0
W
14.06.26PL
Yelimay Semey1
Ordabasy3
W
28.05.26PL
Ordabasy2
Kairat Almaty1
W
23.05.26PL
Tobol0
Ordabasy3
W
17.05.26PL
Ordabasy2
Zhetysu Taldykorgan1
W
13.05.26CUP
Ordabasy1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan0
W
10.05.26PL
Altai0
Ordabasy0
D
Altai
11.07.26PL
Zhetysu Taldykorgan0
Altai1
W
04.07.26PL
Altai1
Tobol0
W
28.06.26PL
Tobol3
Altai1
L
20.06.26PL
Altai3
Zhetysu Taldykorgan3
D
14.06.26PL
Aktobe2
Altai0
L
27.05.26PL
Altai1
FC Astana1
D
22.05.26PL
Altai0
Okzhetpes1
L
17.05.26PL
Kyzylzhar1
Altai2
W
10.05.26PL
Altai0
Ordabasy0
D
Ordabasy (Home)
05.07.26PL
Ordabasy1
Ulytau0
W
20.06.26PL
Ordabasy2
Kaspij Aktau0
W
28.05.26PL
Ordabasy2
Kairat Almaty1
W
17.05.26PL
Ordabasy2
Zhetysu Taldykorgan1
W
13.05.26CUP
Ordabasy1
Zhetysu Taldykorgan0
W
03.05.26PL
Ordabasy2
Aktobe0
W
30.04.26CUP
Ordabasy3
Kaspij Aktau0
W
18.04.26PL
Ordabasy2
Okzhetpes1
W
04.04.26PL
Ordabasy1
Atyrau1
D
20.03.26PL
Ordabasy2
Kaisar Kyzylorda0
W
Altai (Away)
11.07.26PL
Zhetysu Taldykorgan0
Altai1
W
28.06.26PL
Tobol3
Altai1
L
14.06.26PL
Aktobe2
Altai0
L
17.05.26PL
Kyzylzhar1
Altai2
W
03.05.26PL
Atyrau1
Altai0
L
19.04.26PL
Kaisar Kyzylorda1
Altai1
D
09.04.26CUP
Jelaev Nan0
Altai2
W
04.04.26PL
Ertis Pavlodar1
Altai0
L
16.03.26PL
Yelimay Semey1
Altai1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Wednesday, 15th July 2026, Ordabasy host Altai at Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov (Šymkent) in Kazakhstan Cup. We recommend Ordabasy to win as the standout selection.

Ordabasy arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Altai are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 3D 3L across 9 matches.

Historical meetings favour Ordabasy, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Altai's 0, with 1 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: ordabasy to win at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Kazakhstan Cup match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Stadion Kazhymukan Munaitpasov (Šymkent). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.38, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 4:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Ordabasy vs Altai?
Our selection is 1 — Ordabasy to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 51%.
What is Ordabasy's current form?
Ordabasy have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Altai been performing recently?
Altai have recorded 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 9 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Ordabasy lead with 0 wins versus Altai's 0, with 1 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
⚠️
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