WON Tip WON Persija Jakarta 5-1 Arema FC
P

Persija Jakarta

Home
L W W W W
7W 1D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
5-1
1:00 pm
Bung Karno Stadium (Jakarta)
A
Arema FC
Away
L D D D W
4W 3D 3L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Wednesday, 21st October 2026
1
Backing Persija Jakarta to win
Implied Prob 79.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -22.4% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
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Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Persija Jakarta to win
1.26
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Persija Jakarta vs Arema FC Competition: Indonesia Super League Date: Wednesday, 21st October 2026 KO: 1:00 pm Pick: 1 (Persija Jakarta to win) Odds: 1.26 Confidence: 57% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
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Head to Head
Record
5
Persija Jakarta
2
Draws
3
Arema FC
10
Meetings
3.4
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Neutral Persija Jakarta won 5 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Persija Jakarta
Metric
Arema FC
2.4
Goals For / Game
1.8
1
Goals Against / Game
1.4
40%
Clean Sheets
30%
7-1-2
W — D — L
4-3-3
Win Rate
70%
40%
3.3
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
P0
0-0 3.7%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 3.6%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.6%
0-5 0.2%
P1
1-0 7.0%
1-1 9.8%
1-2 6.9%
1-3 3.2%
1-4 1.1%
1-5 0.3%
P2
2-0 6.7%
2-1 9.3%
2-2 6.5%
2-3 3.0%
2-4 1.1%
2-5 0.3%
P3
3-0 4.2%
3-1 5.9%
3-2 4.1%
3-3 1.9%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
P4
4-0 2.0%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 2.0%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
P5
5-0 0.8%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.8%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.3%) 1-0(7.0%) 2-0(6.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip P=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Persija Jakarta
Overall
7.3 ▼
Scoring
8.0 ▼
Defence
6.7 ▼
Arema FC
Overall
4.9 ▲
Scoring
6.0 ▲
Defence
5.3 ▲
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 19%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 38%
Home Win & Under 2.5 16%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 22%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
06.08.26PRE
Persija Jakarta3
Arema FC1
08.02.26SL
Persija Jakarta0
Arema FC2
08.11.25SL
Arema FC1
Persija Jakarta2
26.07.25CF
Persija Jakarta3
Arema FC0
09.03.25SL
Persija Jakarta1
Arema FC3
26.10.24SL
Arema FC1
Persija Jakarta2
24.07.24PRE
Persija Jakarta2
Arema FC2
26.02.24SL
Arema FC3
Persija Jakarta2
20.08.23SL
Persija Jakarta2
Arema FC2
12.02.23SL
Persija Jakarta2
Arema FC0
Recent Form
Persija Jakarta
17.10.26SL
Persita3
Persija Jakarta2
L
10.10.26SL
PSIM Yogyakarta0
Persija Jakarta4
W
19.09.26SL
Persija Jakarta1
Java United0
W
12.09.26SL
Persija Jakarta2
Persib Bandung1
W
05.09.26SL
Borneo0
Persija Jakarta1
W
29.08.26CF
Persija Jakarta4
Brisbane Roar0
W
06.08.26PRE
Persija Jakarta3
Arema FC1
W
04.08.26PRE
Persib Bandung2
Persija Jakarta1
L
01.08.26PRE
Persija Jakarta4
PSMS Medan1
W
29.07.26PRE
Port MTI FC2
Persija Jakarta2
D
Arema FC
17.10.26SL
Garudayaksa3
Arema FC1
L
10.10.26SL
Arema FC2
FC Bhayangkara2
D
18.09.26SL
Arema FC1
Persik Kediri1
D
13.09.26SL
PSM Makassar3
Arema FC3
D
04.09.26SL
Arema FC4
Isenmulang Kalteng0
W
22.08.26CF
RANS Nusantara0
Arema FC2
W
06.08.26PRE
Persija Jakarta3
Arema FC1
L
04.08.26PRE
Persebaya1
Arema FC0
L
31.07.26PRE
Arema FC2
DPMM0
W
28.07.26PRE
Tampines1
Arema FC2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Indonesia Super League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Bung Karno Stadium (Jakarta). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.26, which our model rates near 51%. The fixture starts at 1:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

 

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Persija Jakarta vs Arema FC?
Our selection is 1 — Persija Jakarta to win, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is Persija Jakarta's current form?
Persija Jakarta have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Arema FC been performing recently?
Arema FC have recorded 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Persija Jakarta lead with 5 wins versus Arema FC's 3, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
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