Moderate Signal 54% Confidence
P

Polissya Zhytomyr

Home
W W W W L
6W 1D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
1:30 pm
Tsentralnyi Stadion (Zhytomyr)
K
Kryvbas
Away
W D L W D
4W 2D 4L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 18th September 2026
1
Backing Polissya Zhytomyr to win
Implied Prob 69% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -15% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Polissya Zhytomyr to win
1.45
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals90%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Polissya Zhytomyr vs Kryvbas Competition: Ukraine Premier League Date: Friday, 18th September 2026 KO: 1:30 pm Pick: 1 (Polissya Zhytomyr to win) Odds: 1.45 Confidence: 54% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Polissya Zhytomyr
2
Draws
2
Kryvbas
8
Meetings
2.3
Avg Goals
63%
BTTS
38%
Over 2.5
Neutral Polissya Zhytomyr won 4 of the last 8 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Polissya Zhytomyr
Metric
Kryvbas
2
Goals For / Game
1.7
1.2
Goals Against / Game
1.6
30%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-1-3
W — D — L
4-2-4
Win Rate
60%
40%
3.3
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
P0
0-0 3.9%
0-1 5.6%
0-2 4.1%
0-3 2.0%
0-4 0.7%
0-5 0.2%
P1
1-0 7.0%
1-1 10.1%
1-2 7.3%
1-3 3.6%
1-4 1.3%
1-5 0.4%
P2
2-0 6.3%
2-1 9.1%
2-2 6.6%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.2%
2-5 0.3%
P3
3-0 3.8%
3-1 5.5%
3-2 4.0%
3-3 1.9%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
P4
4-0 1.7%
4-1 2.5%
4-2 1.8%
4-3 0.9%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
P5
5-0 0.6%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.1%) 1-0(7.0%) 2-0(6.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip P=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Polissya Zhytomyr
Overall
6.3
Scoring
6.7
Defence
6.0
Kryvbas
Overall
4.6
Scoring
5.7
Defence
4.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 18%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Away Win & BTTS No 12%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 34%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 23%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
14.03.26PL
Polissya Zhytomyr2
Kryvbas0
14.09.25PL
Kryvbas0
Polissya Zhytomyr1
25.05.25PL
Polissya Zhytomyr1
Kryvbas1
30.11.24PL
Kryvbas3
Polissya Zhytomyr1
30.10.24CUP
Polissya Zhytomyr2
Kryvbas1
13.05.24PL
Kryvbas0
Polissya Zhytomyr1
06.11.23PL
Polissya Zhytomyr1
Kryvbas1
23.10.21PER
Polissya Zhytomyr1
Kryvbas2
Recent Form
Polissya Zhytomyr
13.09.26PL
Polissya Zhytomyr1
Livyi Bereg0
W
09.09.26CUP
Polissya Zhytomyr2
Kudrivka0
W
04.09.26PL
Polissya Zhytomyr5
Kudrivka1
W
29.08.26PL
Shakhtar Donetsk0
Polissya Zhytomyr2
W
17.08.26PL
Polissya Zhytomyr1
FK Zorya Luhansk2
L
10.08.26PL
Polissya Zhytomyr3
FC Kharkiv1
W
02.08.26PL
Ch. Odesa1
Polissya Zhytomyr2
W
29.07.26UECL
FC Copenhagen2
Polissya Zhytomyr1
L
23.07.26UECL
Polissya Zhytomyr3
FC Copenhagen3
D
14.07.26CF
Plzen2
Polissya Zhytomyr0
L
Kryvbas
08.09.26CUP
Olympia Savyntsi0
Kryvbas2
W
05.09.26PL
Kryvbas2
Kolos Kovalivka2
D
30.08.26PL
Ch. Odesa1
Kryvbas0
L
22.08.26CUP
Rokyta0
Kryvbas3
W
15.08.26PL
Kryvbas1
Livyi Bereg1
D
09.08.26PL
FK Zorya Luhansk1
Kryvbas3
W
01.08.26PL
Kryvbas1
Karpaty Lviv4
L
14.07.26CF
Kryvbas2
Gent1
W
11.07.26CF
Waregem2
Kryvbas1
L
07.07.26CF
Kryvbas2
Lommel SK4
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Ukraine Premier League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 4 wins, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Tsentralnyi Stadion (Zhytomyr). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.45, which our model rates near 52%. The fixture starts at 1:30 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Polissya Zhytomyr vs Kryvbas?
Our selection is 1 — Polissya Zhytomyr to win, priced at approximately 1.45. Tip confidence rating: 54%.
What is Polissya Zhytomyr's current form?
Polissya Zhytomyr have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Kryvbas been performing recently?
Kryvbas have recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Polissya Zhytomyr lead with 4 wins versus Kryvbas's 2, with 2 draws across 8 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 63%.
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