Moderate Signal 53% Confidence
P

Preston Lions

Home
W D W W W
7W 1D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
11:30 am
Genis Steel Stadium (Melbourne)
B
Bentleigh Greens
Away
W L L L L
1W 2D 7L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 24th July 2026
1
Backing Preston Lions to win
Preston Lions 50%
Draw 30%
Bentleigh Greens 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 76.9% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -23.9% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
2
Preston Lions
2
Draws
1
Bentleigh Greens
5
Meetings
3.4
Avg Goals
80%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Preston Lions won 2 of the last 5 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Preston Lions
Metric
Bentleigh Greens
1.3
Goals For / Game
0.7
0.7
Goals Against / Game
3
50%
Clean Sheets
10%
7-1-2
W — D — L
1-2-7
Win Rate
70%
10%
2.9
Avg Goals
60%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
P0
0-0 5.8%
0-1 4.1%
0-2 1.4%
0-3 0.3%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
P1
1-0 12.4%
1-1 8.7%
1-2 3.1%
1-3 0.7%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
P2
2-0 13.4%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 3.3%
2-3 0.8%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
P3
3-0 9.6%
3-1 6.7%
3-2 2.4%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
P4
4-0 5.2%
4-1 3.6%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
P5
5-0 2.2%
5-1 1.6%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-0(13.4%) 1-0(12.4%) 3-0(9.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip P=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Preston Lions Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Bentleigh Greens Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Preston Lions
Overall
7.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
7.7
Bentleigh Greens
Overall
1.6
Scoring
2.3
Defence
0.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 30%
Home Win & BTTS No 44%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Away Win & BTTS No 6%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 41%
Home Win & Under 2.5 33%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 5%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
17.04.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens1
Preston Lions1
21.06.24VPL
Preston Lions2
Bentleigh Greens1
15.03.24VPL
Bentleigh Greens3
Preston Lions2
10.07.05VIC
Preston Lions5
Bentleigh Greens2
03.04.05VIC
Bentleigh Greens0
Preston Lions0
Recent Form
Preston Lions
21.07.26CUP
Preston Lions3
Newcastle Jets2
W
18.07.26VIC
South Melbourne0
Preston Lions0
D
10.07.26VIC
Preston Lions2
Hume City1
W
04.07.26VIC
Avondale FC2
Preston Lions3
W
27.06.26VIC
George Cross0
Preston Lions2
W
20.06.26VIC
Heidelberg Utd0
Preston Lions1
W
31.05.26VIC
St Albans0
Preston Lions1
W
24.05.26VIC
Preston Lions0
Oakleigh Cannons1
L
16.05.26VIC
Altona Magic1
Preston Lions0
L
08.05.26VIC
Preston Lions1
Dandenong City0
W
Bentleigh Greens
17.07.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens2
Dandenong City1
W
11.07.26VIC
Dandenong Thunder2
Bentleigh Greens1
L
03.07.26VIC
Green Gully3
Bentleigh Greens0
L
26.06.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens0
Altona Magic1
L
19.06.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens1
South Melbourne5
L
05.06.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens1
Hume City5
L
30.05.26VIC
Avondale FC4
Bentleigh Greens0
L
22.05.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens0
George Cross0
D
15.05.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens2
Heidelberg Utd2
D
08.05.26VIC
Bentleigh Greens0
Melbourne City U217
L
Preston Lions (Home)
21.07.26CUP
Preston Lions3
Newcastle Jets2
W
10.07.26VIC
Preston Lions2
Hume City1
W
24.05.26VIC
Preston Lions0
Oakleigh Cannons1
L
08.05.26VIC
Preston Lions1
Dandenong City0
W
11.04.26VIC
Preston Lions0
South Melbourne3
L
20.03.26VIC
Preston Lions2
Avondale FC1
W
13.03.26VIC
Preston Lions1
George Cross1
D
08.03.26VIC
Preston Lions0
Heidelberg Utd1
L
20.02.26VIC
Preston Lions3
St Albans0
W
09.11.25ACH
Preston Lions0
Canberra Croatia0
D
Bentleigh Greens (Away)
11.07.26VIC
Dandenong Thunder2
Bentleigh Greens1
L
03.07.26VIC
Green Gully3
Bentleigh Greens0
L
30.05.26VIC
Avondale FC4
Bentleigh Greens0
L
24.04.26VIC
Oakleigh Cannons4
Bentleigh Greens0
L
11.04.26VIC
Dandenong City3
Bentleigh Greens0
L
14.03.26VIC
Altona Magic0
Bentleigh Greens2
W
07.03.26VIC
South Melbourne1
Bentleigh Greens0
L
28.02.26VIC
Hume City1
Bentleigh Greens0
L
14.02.26VIC
George Cross0
Bentleigh Greens0
D
16.08.25VPL
North Sunshine Eagles1
Bentleigh Greens2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 24th July 2026, Preston Lions host Bentleigh Greens at Genis Steel Stadium (Melbourne) in Australia NPL Victoria. We recommend Preston Lions to win as the standout selection.

Preston Lions arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Bentleigh Greens are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Preston Lions, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Bentleigh Greens's 1, with 2 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 80% of those meetings.

Our verdict: preston lions to win at odds of 1.30 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Australia NPL Victoria match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Genis Steel Stadium (Melbourne). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 win, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.30, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 11:30 am.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Preston Lions vs Bentleigh Greens?
Our selection is 1 — Preston Lions to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Preston Lions's current form?
Preston Lions have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Bentleigh Greens been performing recently?
Bentleigh Greens have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Preston Lions lead with 2 wins versus Bentleigh Greens's 1, with 2 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 80%.
⚠️
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