Moderate Signal 54% Confidence
P

PSIS Semarang

Home
W W D W D
4W 3D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
—
1:00 pm
—
Jatidiri Stadium (Semarang)
P
Persiraja Aceh
Away
L L L L D
2W 3D 5L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 9th October 2026
1
Backing PSIS Semarang to win
Implied Prob 74.1% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -20.1% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
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Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — PSIS Semarang to win
1.35
Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
PSIS Semarang vs Persiraja Aceh Competition: Indonesia Championship Date: Friday, 9th October 2026 KO: 1:00 pm Pick: 1 (PSIS Semarang to win) Odds: 1.35 Confidence: 54% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
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Head to Head
Record
2
PSIS Semarang
0
Draws
0
Persiraja Aceh
2
Meetings
2.5
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip PSIS Semarang won 2 of the last 2 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
PSIS Semarang
Metric
Persiraja Aceh
1.4
Goals For / Game
1.4
1.4
Goals Against / Game
1.6
30%
Clean Sheets
10%
4-3-3
W — D — L
2-3-5
Win Rate
40%
20%
2.9
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
P0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 7.7%
0-2 5.4%
0-3 2.5%
0-4 0.9%
0-5 0.3%
P1
1-0 8.3%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 8.1%
1-3 3.8%
1-4 1.3%
1-5 0.4%
P2
2-0 6.2%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 6.1%
2-3 2.8%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.3%
P3
3-0 3.1%
3-1 4.3%
3-2 3.0%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
P4
4-0 1.2%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 1.1%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
P5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.3%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(8.7%) 1-0(8.3%) 2-0(6.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip P=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
PSIS Semarang
Overall
4.9 ▼
Scoring
4.7 ▼
Defence
5.3 ▼
Persiraja Aceh
Overall
2.9 ▲
Scoring
4.7 ▲
Defence
4.7 ▲
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 29%
Home Win & BTTS No 15%
Draw & BTTS Yes 21%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 26%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 20%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 9%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
12.01.22SL
Persiraja Aceh0
PSIS Semarang1
18.09.21SL
PSIS Semarang3
Persiraja Aceh1
Recent Form
PSIS Semarang
03.10.26CHA
PSIS Semarang1
Bekasi City0
W
27.09.26CHA
Persiku Kudus0
PSIS Semarang3
W
20.09.26CHA
Semen Padang1
PSIS Semarang1
D
11.09.26CHA
PSIS Semarang2
PSPS Riau1
W
19.07.26CF
Persebaya2
PSIS Semarang2
D
03.05.26CHA
PSS Sleman3
PSIS Semarang0
L
25.04.26CHA
PSIS Semarang1
Tornado Pekanbaru0
W
18.04.26CHA
Persipura Jayapura3
PSIS Semarang1
L
11.04.26CHA
Persiku Kudus3
PSIS Semarang3
D
05.04.26CHA
PSIS Semarang0
Barito Putera1
L
Persiraja Aceh
02.10.26CHA
Persiraja Aceh1
Sumsel United2
L
26.09.26CHA
Persikad Depok2
Persiraja Aceh1
L
19.09.26CHA
PSPS Riau2
Persiraja Aceh1
L
13.09.26CHA
Persiraja Aceh0
Semen Padang1
L
02.05.26CHA
Persiraja Aceh1
PSMS Medan1
D
26.04.26CHA
Persekat1
Persiraja Aceh1
D
19.04.26CHA
Persiraja Aceh2
Garudayaksa2
D
12.04.26CHA
Isenmulang Kalteng4
Persiraja Aceh3
L
04.04.26CHA
Persiraja Aceh2
Sumsel United0
W
28.03.26CHA
Persiraja Aceh2
Sriwijaya1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Indonesia Championship match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 3 wins, 2 draws from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Jatidiri Stadium (Semarang). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.35, which our model rates near close to 47. The fixture starts at 1:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for PSIS Semarang vs Persiraja Aceh?
Our selection is 1 — PSIS Semarang to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 54%.
What is PSIS Semarang's current form?
PSIS Semarang have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Persiraja Aceh been performing recently?
Persiraja Aceh have recorded 2 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
PSIS Semarang lead with 2 wins versus Persiraja Aceh's 0, with 0 draws across 2 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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