WON Tip WON Raja Casablanca 1-0 Difaa El Jadidi
R

Raja Casablanca

Home
L W W W D
5W 3D 2L → Steady
VS
1-0
D
Difaa El Jadidi
Away
W W D L W
6W 3D 1L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Sunday, 3rd May 2026
1
Backing Raja Casablanca to win
Raja Casablanca 50%
Draw 30%
Difaa El Jadidi 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 82% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -27% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Raja Casablanca to win
1.22
Under 2.5 Goals70% Difaa El Jadidi Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Raja Casablanca vs Difaa El Jadidi Competition: Morocco Botola Pro Date: Sunday, 3rd May 2026 Pick: 1 (Raja Casablanca to win) Odds: 1.22 Confidence: 55% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Difaa El Jadidi Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
7
Raja Casablanca
2
Draws
1
Difaa El Jadidi
10
Meetings
2.4
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
30%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Raja Casablanca won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Raja Casablanca
Metric
Difaa El Jadidi
1.5
Goals For / Game
1
0.6
Goals Against / Game
0.5
50%
Clean Sheets
60%
5-3-2
W — D — L
6-3-1
Win Rate
50%
60%
1.8
Avg Goals
55%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
D0
D1
D2
D3
D4
D5
R0
0-0 16.5%
0-1 13.2%
0-2 5.3%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
R1
1-0 16.5%
1-1 13.2%
1-2 5.3%
1-3 1.4%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
R2
2-0 8.3%
2-1 6.6%
2-2 2.6%
2-3 0.7%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
R3
3-0 2.8%
3-1 2.2%
3-2 0.9%
3-3 0.2%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
R4
4-0 0.7%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.1%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
R5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(16.5%) 2-0(8.3%) 2-1(6.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip R=Home goals ↓   D=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Raja Casablanca Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Difaa El Jadidi Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Raja Casablanca
Overall
5.9
Scoring
5.0
Defence
8.0
Difaa El Jadidi
Overall
6.9
Scoring
3.3
Defence
8.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 26%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 11%
Home Win & Under 2.5 25%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 13%
Away Win & Under 2.5 30%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
28.09.25BOT
Difaa El Jadidi0
Raja Casablanca2
08.05.25BOT
Raja Casablanca3
Difaa El Jadidi2
25.12.24BOT
Difaa El Jadidi2
Raja Casablanca0
23.06.23BOT
Raja Casablanca3
Difaa El Jadidi2
24.01.23BOT
Difaa El Jadidi0
Raja Casablanca0
06.05.22BOT
Raja Casablanca2
Difaa El Jadidi0
30.10.21BOT
Difaa El Jadidi0
Raja Casablanca2
24.06.21BOT
Raja Casablanca2
Difaa El Jadidi0
28.02.21BOT
Difaa El Jadidi0
Raja Casablanca0
20.09.20BOT
Raja Casablanca3
Difaa El Jadidi1
Recent Form
Raja Casablanca
30.04.26BOT
FAR Rabat2
Raja Casablanca1
L
26.04.26BOT
Raja Casablanca4
FUS Rabat1
W
07.03.26BOT
Raja Casablanca2
Olympique de Safi0
W
01.03.26BOT
Hassania Agadir0
Raja Casablanca1
W
25.02.26BOT
Berkane1
Raja Casablanca1
D
22.02.26BOT
Raja Casablanca2
IR Tanger0
W
13.02.26BOT
Raja Casablanca0
Yacoub El Mansour0
D
08.02.26BOT
COD Meknes1
Raja Casablanca0
L
01.02.26BOT
Raja Casablanca3
Renaissance Zemamra0
W
25.01.26BOT
Union Touarga1
Raja Casablanca1
D
Difaa El Jadidi
30.04.26BOT
Difaa El Jadidi2
Renaissance Zemamra1
W
25.04.26BOT
COD Meknes0
Difaa El Jadidi1
W
06.04.26BOT
Wydad AC1
Difaa El Jadidi1
D
08.03.26BOT
Berkane2
Difaa El Jadidi1
L
28.02.26BOT
Difaa El Jadidi2
Yacoub El Mansour1
W
21.02.26BOT
Kawkab Marrakech0
Difaa El Jadidi0
D
14.02.26BOT
Difaa El Jadidi1
Union Touarga0
W
31.01.26BOT
Difaa El Jadidi0
Maghreb Fez0
D
24.01.26BOT
Dcheira0
Difaa El Jadidi1
W
09.11.25BOT
Difaa El Jadidi1
FUS Rabat0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Sunday, 3rd May 2026, Raja Casablanca host Difaa El Jadidi in Morocco Botola Pro. We recommend Raja Casablanca to win as the standout selection.

Raja Casablanca arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Difaa El Jadidi are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 3D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Raja Casablanca, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to Difaa El Jadidi's 1, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 30% of those meetings.

Our verdict: raja casablanca to win at odds of 1.22 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Morocco Botola Pro fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.22 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Raja Casablanca vs Difaa El Jadidi?
Our selection is 1 — Raja Casablanca to win, priced at approximately 1.22. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is Raja Casablanca's current form?
Raja Casablanca have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Difaa El Jadidi been performing recently?
Difaa El Jadidi have recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Raja Casablanca lead with 7 wins versus Difaa El Jadidi's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
⚠️
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