WON Tip WON Real Madrid 4-1 Elche

Real Madrid

Home

W W L W L

3W 0D 2L ▼ Declining

4-1

Elche

Away

L D L D L

0W 2D 3L → Steady

Real Madrid 50%

Draw 30%

Elche 20%

H Fair Odds 2

D Fair Odds 3.33

A Fair Odds 5

Implied Prob 74.1% Bookie's implied odds

Our Edge -18.1% Overpriced

Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %

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Supporting Bets

Extras

Primary Selection

1 — Real Madrid to win

1.35

Over 2.5 Goals80% Over 1.5 Goals80% BTTS — Yes70%

📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder

Real Madrid vs Elche Competition: La Liga Date: Saturday, 14th March 2026 Pick: 1 (Real Madrid to win) Odds: 1.35 Confidence: 56% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (80%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)

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Head to Head

Record

Real Madrid

Draws

Elche

Meetings

3.6

Avg Goals

60%

BTTS

100%

Over 2.5

Supports Tip Real Madrid won 3 of the last 5 meetings (2 draws).

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Stats Duel

Comparison

Real Madrid

Metric

Elche

1.6

Goals For / Game

Goals Against / Game

1.8

20%

Clean Sheets

20%

3-0-2

W — D — L

0-2-3

Win Rate

60%

2.7

Avg Goals

80%

Over 1.5

80%

Over 2.5

70%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 6.7%

0-1 6.7%

0-2 3.4%

0-3 1.1%

0-4 0.3%

0-5 0.1%

1-0 11.4%

1-1 11.4%

1-2 5.7%

1-3 1.9%

1-4 0.5%

1-5 0.1%

2-0 9.7%

2-1 9.7%

2-2 4.9%

2-3 1.6%

2-4 0.4%

2-5 0.1%

3-0 5.5%

3-1 5.5%

3-2 2.8%

3-3 0.9%

3-4 0.2%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 2.3%

4-1 2.3%

4-2 1.2%

4-3 0.4%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.8%

5-1 0.8%

5-2 0.4%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 1-0(11.4%) 2-0(9.7%) 2-1(9.7%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip R=Home goals ↓ E=Away →

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Market Odds Intelligence

Value Finder

Real Madrid Win

50%

Draw

30%

3.33

Elche Win

20%

Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.

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Team Ratings

Grades

Real Madrid

Overall

6.0 —

Scoring

5.3 —

Defence

6.7 —

Elche

Overall

1.2 —

Scoring

3.3 —

Defence

4.0 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 53%

Home Win & BTTS No 23%

Draw & BTTS Yes 18%

Draw & BTTS No 8%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%

Away Win & BTTS No 0%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 60%

Home Win & Under 2.5 15%

Draw & Over 2.5 20%

Draw & Under 2.5 5%

Away Win & Over 2.5 0%

Away Win & Under 2.5 0%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

⚽ LL (Nov 23, 2025): Elche2

Real Madrid2

⚽ LL (Feb 15, 2023): Real Madrid4

Elche0

⚽ LL (Oct 19, 2022): Elche0

Real Madrid3

⚽ LL (Jan 23, 2022): Real Madrid2

Elche2

⚽ CDR (Jan 20, 2022): Elche1

Real Madrid2

Recent Form

Real Madrid

⚽ CL (Mar 11, 2026): Real Madrid3

Manchester City0

⚽ LL (Mar 06, 2026): Celta Vigo1

Real Madrid2

⚽ LL (Mar 02, 2026): Real Madrid0

Getafe1

⚽ CL (Feb 25, 2026): Real Madrid2

Benfica1

⚽ LL (Feb 21, 2026): Osasuna2

Real Madrid1

Elche

⚽ LL (Mar 8, 2026): Villarreal2

Elche1

⚽ LL (Mar 1, 2026): Elche2

Espanyol2

⚽ LL (Feb 20, 2026): Ath Bilbao2

Elche1

⚽ LL (Feb 13, 2026): Elche0

Osasuna0

⚽ LL (Feb 7, 2026): Real Sociedad3

Elche1

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Match Analysis

Writeup

On Saturday, 14th March 2026, Real Madrid host Elche in La Liga. We recommend Real Madrid to win as the standout selection.

Real Madrid arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Elche are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 2D 3L across 5 matches.

Historical meetings favour Real Madrid, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to Elche's 0, with 2 draws from 5 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: real madrid to win at odds of 1.35 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for Real Madrid vs Elche?

Our selection is 1 — Real Madrid to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 56%.

What is Real Madrid's current form?

Real Madrid have won 3, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.

How has Elche been performing recently?

Elche have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

Real Madrid lead with 3 wins versus Elche's 0, with 2 draws across 5 meetings.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.

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