Moderate Signal 45% Confidence
R

Rovaniemi

Home
D L W D W
4W 4D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
4:30 pm
Harjun Stadion (Jyväskylä)
K
KuPS Akatemia
Away
L D D L D
1W 4D 5L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Tuesday, 11th August 2026
1
Backing Rovaniemi to win
Rovaniemi 50%
Draw 30%
KuPS Akatemia 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 75.8% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -30.8% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Rovaniemi to win
1.32
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Rovaniemi vs KuPS Akatemia Competition: Finland Ykkonen Date: Tuesday, 11th August 2026 KO: 4:30 pm Pick: 1 (Rovaniemi to win) Odds: 1.32 Confidence: 45% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
Head to Head
Record
3
Rovaniemi
3
Draws
1
KuPS Akatemia
7
Meetings
2.1
Avg Goals
57%
BTTS
29%
Over 2.5
Neutral Rovaniemi won 3 of the last 7 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Rovaniemi
Metric
KuPS Akatemia
2.1
Goals For / Game
2
1.6
Goals Against / Game
2.5
30%
Clean Sheets
0%
4-4-2
W — D — L
1-4-5
Win Rate
40%
10%
4.1
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
R0
0-0 1.7%
0-1 3.0%
0-2 2.7%
0-3 1.6%
0-4 0.7%
0-5 0.3%
R1
1-0 3.8%
1-1 6.9%
1-2 6.2%
1-3 3.7%
1-4 1.7%
1-5 0.6%
R2
2-0 4.4%
2-1 7.9%
2-2 7.1%
2-3 4.3%
2-4 1.9%
2-5 0.7%
R3
3-0 3.4%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 5.4%
3-3 3.3%
3-4 1.5%
3-5 0.5%
R4
4-0 1.9%
4-1 3.5%
4-2 3.1%
4-3 1.9%
4-4 0.9%
4-5 0.3%
R5
5-0 0.9%
5-1 1.6%
5-2 1.4%
5-3 0.9%
5-4 0.4%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(7.9%) 3-1(6.1%) 3-2(5.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip R=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Rovaniemi Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
KuPS Akatemia Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Rovaniemi
Overall
5.2
Scoring
7.0
Defence
4.7
KuPS Akatemia
Overall
2.2
Scoring
6.7
Defence
1.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 31%
Home Win & BTTS No 13%
Draw & BTTS Yes 31%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 8%
Away Win & BTTS No 4%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 31%
Home Win & Under 2.5 13%
Draw & Over 2.5 31%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 8%
Away Win & Under 2.5 4%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
24.05.26YKK
KuPS Akatemia0
Rovaniemi1
23.08.25YKK
Rovaniemi0
KuPS Akatemia3
15.06.25YKK
KuPS Akatemia1
Rovaniemi1
10.08.24YKK
KuPS Akatemia1
Rovaniemi2
26.05.24YKK
Rovaniemi1
KuPS Akatemia1
08.10.23KAK
Rovaniemi2
KuPS Akatemia0
22.07.23KAK
KuPS Akatemia1
Rovaniemi1
Recent Form
Rovaniemi
05.08.26YKK
Rovaniemi2
Jazz Pori2
D
01.08.26YKK
TPV6
Rovaniemi3
L
25.07.26YKK
Rovaniemi4
JJK Jyvaskyla0
W
20.07.26YKK
KPV Kokkola1
Rovaniemi1
D
10.07.26YKK
Inter Turku 20
Rovaniemi2
W
05.07.26YKK
Rovaniemi4
Keski-Uusimaa3
W
27.06.26YKK
Rovaniemi2
SalPa2
D
13.06.26YKK
VJS0
Rovaniemi2
W
06.06.26YKK
Rovaniemi0
Tampere Utd1
L
02.06.26YKK
Rovaniemi1
OLS Oulu1
D
KuPS Akatemia
07.08.26YKK
KuPS Akatemia0
Inter Turku 21
L
30.07.26YKK
Jazz Pori2
KuPS Akatemia2
D
26.07.26YKK
KuPS Akatemia2
VJS2
D
18.07.26YKK
TPV3
KuPS Akatemia1
L
11.07.26YKK
JJK Jyvaskyla4
KuPS Akatemia4
D
04.07.26YKK
KuPS Akatemia2
Tampere Utd3
L
28.06.26YKK
OLS Oulu2
KuPS Akatemia2
D
12.06.26YKK
SalPa4
KuPS Akatemia3
L
05.06.26YKK
KuPS Akatemia4
KPV Kokkola1
W
29.05.26YKK
Keski-Uusimaa3
KuPS Akatemia0
L
Rovaniemi (Home)
05.08.26YKK
Rovaniemi2
Jazz Pori2
D
25.07.26YKK
Rovaniemi4
JJK Jyvaskyla0
W
05.07.26YKK
Rovaniemi4
Keski-Uusimaa3
W
27.06.26YKK
Rovaniemi2
SalPa2
D
06.06.26YKK
Rovaniemi0
Tampere Utd1
L
02.06.26YKK
Rovaniemi1
OLS Oulu1
D
13.05.26CUP
Rovaniemi0
HJK4
L
09.05.26YKK
Rovaniemi1
TPV0
W
25.04.26YKK
Rovaniemi7
KPV Kokkola0
W
11.04.26YKK
Rovaniemi3
Inter Turku 22
W
KuPS Akatemia (Away)
05.08.26YKK
Rovaniemi2
Jazz Pori2
D
25.07.26YKK
Rovaniemi4
JJK Jyvaskyla0
W
05.07.26YKK
Rovaniemi4
Keski-Uusimaa3
W
27.06.26YKK
Rovaniemi2
SalPa2
D
06.06.26YKK
Rovaniemi0
Tampere Utd1
L
02.06.26YKK
Rovaniemi1
OLS Oulu1
D
13.05.26CUP
Rovaniemi0
HJK4
L
09.05.26YKK
Rovaniemi1
TPV0
W
25.04.26YKK
Rovaniemi7
KPV Kokkola0
W
11.04.26YKK
Rovaniemi3
Inter Turku 22
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Finland Ykkonen match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Harjun Stadion (Jyväskylä). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 3 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.32, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 4:30 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Rovaniemi vs KuPS Akatemia?
Our selection is 1 — Rovaniemi to win, priced at approximately 1.32. Tip confidence rating: 45%.
What is Rovaniemi's current form?
Rovaniemi have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has KuPS Akatemia been performing recently?
KuPS Akatemia have recorded 1 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Rovaniemi lead with 3 wins versus KuPS Akatemia's 1, with 3 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 57%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. 24predictiontoday provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.

18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.