Moderate Signal 63% Confidence
S

San Lorenzo W

Home
W W W D W
8W 1D 1L ▼ Declining
VS
7:00 pm
Ciudad Deportiva de San Lorenzo de Almagro (Bajo Flores) (Buenos Aires)
S
San Luis W
Away
L W D D D
3W 5D 2L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Monday, 13th July 2026
1
Backing San Lorenzo W to win
San Lorenzo W 50%
Draw 30%
San Luis W 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 75.2% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -12.2% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — San Lorenzo W to win
1.33
San Lorenzo W Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
San Lorenzo W vs San Luis W Competition: Argentina Primera Women Date: Monday, 13th July 2026 KO: 7:00 pm Pick: 1 (San Lorenzo W to win) Odds: 1.33 Confidence: 63% Also: San Lorenzo W Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
2
San Lorenzo W
1
Draws
0
San Luis W
3
Meetings
2.7
Avg Goals
33%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip San Lorenzo W won 2 of the last 3 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
San Lorenzo W
Metric
San Luis W
2.1
Goals For / Game
1.3
0.4
Goals Against / Game
0.8
60%
Clean Sheets
40%
8-1-1
W — D — L
3-5-2
Win Rate
80%
30%
2.3
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
40%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
S0
0-0 10.0%
0-1 8.5%
0-2 3.6%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 14.5%
1-1 12.4%
1-2 5.3%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
S2
2-0 10.5%
2-1 9.0%
2-2 3.8%
2-3 1.1%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
S3
3-0 5.1%
3-1 4.3%
3-2 1.8%
3-3 0.5%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 1.9%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.5%
5-1 0.5%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(14.5%) 2-0(10.5%) 2-1(9.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
San Lorenzo W Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
San Luis W Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
San Lorenzo W
Overall
8.3
Scoring
7.0
Defence
8.7
San Luis W
Overall
4.5
Scoring
4.3
Defence
7.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 34%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 9%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 34%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
13.05.25PA
San Lorenzo W4
San Luis0
30.09.24PA
San Lorenzo W3
San Luis1
11.05.24PA
San Luis W0
San Lorenzo0
Recent Form
San Lorenzo W
08.07.26PA
Union de Santa Fe W1
San Lorenzo W2
W
04.07.26PA
San Lorenzo W2
Independiente W0
W
29.06.26PA
Huracan W0
San Lorenzo W1
W
19.06.26PA
San Lorenzo W0
Belgrano W0
D
14.06.26PA
River Plate W0
San Lorenzo W1
W
22.05.26PA
San Lorenzo W3
Banfield W0
W
17.05.26PA
Gimnasia L.P. W1
San Lorenzo W4
W
08.05.26PA
San Lorenzo W5
Newells Old Boys W0
W
03.05.26PA
Racing Club W1
San Lorenzo W0
L
24.04.26PA
San Lorenzo W3
Social Atletico Television W1
W
San Luis W
08.07.26PA
San Luis W1
Talleres Cordoba W2
L
04.07.26PA
Ferro W0
San Luis W2
W
28.06.26PA
San Luis W0
Boca Juniors W0
D
20.06.26PA
Lanus W1
San Luis W1
D
14.06.26PA
Social Atletico Television W2
San Luis W2
D
23.05.26PA
San Luis W3
Union de Santa Fe W0
W
15.05.26PA
Independiente W1
San Luis W0
L
10.05.26PA
San Luis W1
Huracan W1
D
03.05.26PA
Belgrano W0
San Luis W2
W
26.04.26PA
San Luis W1
River Plate W1
D
San Lorenzo W (Home)
04.07.26PA
San Lorenzo W2
Independiente W0
W
19.06.26PA
San Lorenzo W0
Belgrano W0
D
22.05.26PA
San Lorenzo W3
Banfield W0
W
08.05.26PA
San Lorenzo W5
Newells Old Boys W0
W
24.04.26PA
San Lorenzo W3
Social Atletico Television W1
W
27.03.26PA
San Lorenzo W3
Talleres Cordoba W0
W
13.03.26PA
San Lorenzo W1
Boca Juniors W1
D
14.11.25PA
San Lorenzo W0
Racing Club W1
L
10.10.25COP
San Lorenzo W0
Colo-Colo W1
L
06.10.25COP
San Lorenzo W1
Olimpia Asuncion W0
W
San Luis W (Away)
04.07.26PA
Ferro W0
San Luis W2
W
20.06.26PA
Lanus W1
San Luis W1
D
14.06.26PA
Social Atletico Television W2
San Luis W2
D
15.05.26PA
Independiente W1
San Luis W0
L
03.05.26PA
Belgrano W0
San Luis W2
W
30.03.26PA
Banfield W2
San Luis W0
L
15.03.26PA
Newells Old Boys W0
San Luis W0
D
23.09.25PA
Platense W0
San Luis W0
D
13.09.25PA
Huracan W0
San Luis W1
W
30.08.25PA
Social Atletico Television W3
San Luis W1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 13th July 2026, San Lorenzo W host San Luis W at Ciudad Deportiva de San Lorenzo de Almagro (Bajo Flores) (Buenos Aires) in Argentina Primera Women. We recommend San Lorenzo W to win as the standout selection.

San Lorenzo W arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

San Luis W are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 5D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour San Lorenzo W, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to San Luis W's 0, with 1 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 33% of those meetings.

Our verdict: san lorenzo w to win at odds of 1.33 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Argentina Primera Women match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Ciudad Deportiva de San Lorenzo de Almagro (Bajo Flores) (Buenos Aires). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.33, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 7:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for San Lorenzo W vs San Luis W?
Our selection is 1 — San Lorenzo W to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is San Lorenzo W's current form?
San Lorenzo W have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has San Luis W been performing recently?
San Luis W have recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
San Lorenzo W lead with 2 wins versus San Luis W's 0, with 1 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 33%.
⚠️
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