Moderate Signal 50% Confidence
S

Shandong Taishan B

Home
W W W W W
6W 1D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
12:00 pm
Zoucheng Sports Center (Zoucheng)
C
Changchun Xidu
Away
L W D D L
1W 5D 4L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 25th July 2026
1
Backing Shandong Taishan B to win
Shandong Taishan B 50%
Draw 30%
Changchun Xidu 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 72.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -22.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Shandong Taishan B to win
1.38
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Shandong Taishan B vs Changchun Xidu Competition: China League Two Date: Saturday, 25th July 2026 KO: 12:00 pm Pick: 1 (Shandong Taishan B to win) Odds: 1.38 Confidence: 50% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: BTTS — No (70%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Shandong Taishan B
1
Draws
1
Changchun Xidu
3
Meetings
3
Avg Goals
67%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Shandong Taishan B won 1 of the last 3 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Shandong Taishan B
Metric
Changchun Xidu
1.2
Goals For / Game
0.3
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.1
40%
Clean Sheets
40%
6-1-3
W — D — L
1-5-4
Win Rate
60%
10%
1.7
Avg Goals
50%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
30%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
S0
0-0 18.3%
0-1 10.1%
0-2 2.8%
0-3 0.5%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
S1
1-0 21.0%
1-1 11.6%
1-2 3.2%
1-3 0.6%
1-4 0.1%
1-5 0.0%
S2
2-0 12.1%
2-1 6.6%
2-2 1.8%
2-3 0.3%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
S3
3-0 4.6%
3-1 2.6%
3-2 0.7%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 1.3%
4-1 0.7%
4-2 0.2%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(21.0%) 2-0(12.1%) 2-1(6.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   C=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Shandong Taishan B Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Changchun Xidu Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Shandong Taishan B
Overall
6.3
Scoring
4.0
Defence
7.3
Changchun Xidu
Overall
2.5
Scoring
1.0
Defence
6.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 42%
Draw & BTTS Yes 9%
Draw & BTTS No 21%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 3%
Away Win & BTTS No 7%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 42%
Draw & Over 2.5 9%
Draw & Under 2.5 21%
Away Win & Over 2.5 3%
Away Win & Under 2.5 7%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
05.05.26L2
Changchun Xidu1
Shandong Taishan B1
02.07.25L2
Shandong Taishan B4
Changchun Xidu1
27.04.25L2
Changchun Xidu2
Shandong Taishan B0
Recent Form
Shandong Taishan B
18.07.26L2
Shanghai Second1
Shandong Taishan B2
W
12.07.26L2
Qingdao Red Lions0
Shandong Taishan B1
W
04.07.26L2
Shandong Taishan B3
Lanzhou Longyuan1
W
28.06.26L2
Shandong Taishan B1
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai0
W
24.06.26L2
Beijing Technology1
Shandong Taishan B3
W
20.06.26L2
Taian Tiankuang0
Shandong Taishan B1
W
13.06.26L2
Shandong Taishan B0
Nantong Haimen0
D
27.05.26L2
Dalian Yingbo B2
Shandong Taishan B0
L
22.05.26L2
Shandong Taishan B0
Shanghai Port B1
L
09.05.26L2
Dalian Kewei2
Shandong Taishan B1
L
Changchun Xidu
18.07.26L2
Changchun Xidu0
Shanghai Port B2
L
05.07.26L2
Taian Tiankuang0
Changchun Xidu1
W
27.06.26L2
Changchun Xidu0
Nantong Haimen0
D
23.06.26L2
Changchun Xidu0
Lanzhou Longyuan0
D
13.06.26L2
Dalian Kewei3
Changchun Xidu0
L
07.06.26L2
Changchun Xidu1
Qingdao Red Lions1
D
27.05.26L2
Changchun Xidu0
Beijing Technology0
D
23.05.26L2
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai3
Changchun Xidu0
L
10.05.26L2
Changchun Xidu0
Shanghai Second1
L
05.05.26L2
Changchun Xidu1
Shandong Taishan B1
D
Shandong Taishan B (Home)
04.07.26L2
Shandong Taishan B3
Lanzhou Longyuan1
W
28.06.26L2
Shandong Taishan B1
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai0
W
13.06.26L2
Shandong Taishan B0
Nantong Haimen0
D
22.05.26L2
Shandong Taishan B0
Shanghai Port B1
L
29.04.26L2
Shandong Taishan B2
Shanghai Second1
W
24.04.26L2
Shandong Taishan B1
Qingdao Red Lions0
W
05.04.26L2
Shandong Taishan B4
Beijing Technology1
W
21.03.26L2
Shandong Taishan B1
Taian Tiankuang3
L
26.10.25L2
Shandong Taishan B5
Shenzhen0
W
05.10.25L2
Shandong Taishan B0
Guangxi Hengchen0
D
Changchun Xidu (Away)
05.07.26L2
Taian Tiankuang0
Changchun Xidu1
W
13.06.26L2
Dalian Kewei3
Changchun Xidu0
L
23.05.26L2
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai3
Changchun Xidu0
L
30.04.26L2
Shanghai Port B2
Changchun Xidu1
L
24.04.26L2
Dalian Yingbo B2
Changchun Xidu2
D
18.04.26FAC
Shanghai Zetian4
Changchun Xidu2
L
10.04.26L2
Nantong Haimen4
Changchun Xidu0
L
05.04.26L2
Lanzhou Longyuan0
Changchun Xidu0
D
22.03.26L2
Qingdao Red Lions1
Changchun Xidu1
D
26.10.25L2
Chengdu Rongcheng B4
Changchun Xidu2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 25th July 2026, Shandong Taishan B host Changchun Xidu at Zoucheng Sports Center (Zoucheng) in China League Two. We recommend Shandong Taishan B to win as the standout selection.

Shandong Taishan B arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Changchun Xidu are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 5D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Shandong Taishan B, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Changchun Xidu's 1, with 1 draws from 3 encounters. Both teams have scored in 67% of those meetings.

Our verdict: shandong taishan b to win at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this China League Two match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 5 wins from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Zoucheng Sports Center (Zoucheng). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.38, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. The fixture starts at 12:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Shandong Taishan B vs Changchun Xidu?
Our selection is 1 — Shandong Taishan B to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 50%.
What is Shandong Taishan B's current form?
Shandong Taishan B have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Changchun Xidu been performing recently?
Changchun Xidu have recorded 1 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Shandong Taishan B lead with 1 wins versus Changchun Xidu's 1, with 1 draws across 3 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 67%.
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