WON Tip WON St Etienne W 0-3 Paris FC W
S

St Etienne W

Home
L L L W L
1W 2D 7L ▼ Declining
VS
0-3
P
Paris FC W
Away
W W W L L
6W 0D 4L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 21st March 2026
2
Backing Paris FC W to win
St Etienne W 20%
Draw 30%
Paris FC W 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 74.1% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -14.1% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — Paris FC W to win
1.35
Under 2.5 Goals70% BTTS — No95% Paris FC W Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
St Etienne W vs Paris FC W Competition: Premiere Ligue Women Date: Saturday, 21st March 2026 Pick: 2 (Paris FC W to win) Odds: 1.35 Confidence: 60% Also: Under 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: BTTS — No (95%) Also: Paris FC W Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
0
St Etienne W
2
Draws
7
Paris FC W
9
Meetings
3.7
Avg Goals
56%
BTTS
67%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Paris FC W won 7 of 9 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
St Etienne W
Metric
Paris FC W
0
Goals For / Game
1.6
0
Goals Against / Game
1.1
0%
Clean Sheets
60%
1-2-7
W — D — L
6-0-4
Win Rate
10%
60%
1.4
Avg Goals
40%
Over 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
5%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
P0
P1
P2
P3
P4
P5
S0
0-0 25.9%
0-1 20.7%
0-2 8.3%
0-3 2.2%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
S1
1-0 14.3%
1-1 11.4%
1-2 4.6%
1-3 1.2%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
S2
2-0 3.9%
2-1 3.1%
2-2 1.3%
2-3 0.3%
2-4 0.1%
2-5 0.0%
S3
3-0 0.7%
3-1 0.6%
3-2 0.2%
3-3 0.1%
3-4 0.0%
3-5 0.0%
S4
4-0 0.1%
4-1 0.1%
4-2 0.0%
4-3 0.0%
4-4 0.0%
4-5 0.0%
S5
5-0 0.0%
5-1 0.0%
5-2 0.0%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(20.7%) 0-2(8.3%) 1-2(4.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip S=Home goals ↓   P=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
St Etienne W Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Paris FC W Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
St Etienne W
Overall
1.6
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
Paris FC W
Overall
6.0
Scoring
5.3
Defence
6.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 1%
Home Win & BTTS No 12%
Draw & BTTS Yes 1%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 4%
Away Win & BTTS No 70%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 4%
Home Win & Under 2.5 9%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 22%
Away Win & Under 2.5 52%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
26.09.25
PL: Paris FC W2
Saint-Étienne0
14.02.25
PL: Paris FC W4
Saint-Étienne0
05.10.24
PL: Saint-Étienne W1
Paris FC0
17.08.24
CF: Saint-Étienne W1
Paris FC2
19.04.24
PL: Paris FC W0
Saint-Étienne1
11.11.23
PL: Saint-Étienne W1
Paris FC6
01.09.23
CF: Paris FC W6
Saint-Étienne2
05.02.22
PL: Paris FC W2
Saint-Étienne1
02.10.21
PL: Saint-Étienne W1
Paris FC3
Recent Form
St Etienne W
11.03.26
PL: Dijon W2
Saint-Étienne W0
L
21.02.26
PL: Saint-Étienne W0
Strasbourg W2
L
08.02.26
PL: Lyon W4
Saint-Étienne W0
L
31.01.26
PL: Saint-Étienne W1
Le Havre W1
D
17.01.26
PL: Saint-Étienne W0
Nantes W1
L
14.01.26
PL: Marseille W0
Saint-Étienne W1
W
10.01.26
COU: Saint-Étienne W0
Lyon W6
L
20.12.25
PL: Saint-Étienne W0
Dijon W1
L
13.12.25
PL: Fleury 91 W0
Saint-Étienne W0
D
05.12.25
PL: Lens W1
Saint-Étienne W0
L
Paris FC W
15.03.26
COU: Caen W0
Paris FC W2
W
11.03.26
PL: Paris FC W3
Strasbourg W0
W
22.02.26
PL: Le Havre W0
Paris FC W4
W
18.02.26
CL: Real Madrid W2
Paris FC W0
L
14.02.26
CLF: PSG W3
Paris FC W0
L
11.02.26
CL: Paris FC W2
Real Madrid W3
L
07.02.26
PL: Paris FC W0
PSG W3
L
04.02.26
CLF: Paris FC W1
Lens W0
W
30.01.26
PL: Marseille W0
Paris FC W3
W
25.01.26
COU: Saint-Malo W0
Paris FC W1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Saturday, 21st March 2026, St Etienne W host Paris FC W in Premiere Ligue Women. We recommend Paris FC W to win as the standout selection.

St Etienne W arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Paris FC W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 0D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour St Etienne W, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Paris FC W's 7, with 2 draws from 9 encounters. Both teams have scored in 56% of those meetings.

Our verdict: paris fc w to win at odds of 1.35 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Premiere Ligue Women fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 2, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.35 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for St Etienne W vs Paris FC W?
Our selection is 2 — Paris FC W to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is St Etienne W's current form?
St Etienne W have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.
How has Paris FC W been performing recently?
Paris FC W have recorded 6 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
St Etienne W lead with 0 wins versus Paris FC W's 7, with 2 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 56%.
⚠️
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