LOST Tip LOST Thor/KA W 2-0 Throttur W
T

Thor/KA W

Home
D L L L L
1W 3D 6L ▲ Improving
VS
2-0
7:00 pm
Thorsvollur (Akureyri)
T
Throttur W
Away
W D W L W
6W 1D 3L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Monday, 22nd June 2026
2
Backing Throttur W to win
Thor/KA W 20%
Draw 30%
Throttur W 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 71.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -18.4% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
4
Thor/KA W
1
Draws
5
Throttur W
10
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Neutral Throttur W won 5 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Thor/KA W
Metric
Throttur W
1.6
Goals For / Game
1.5
2.5
Goals Against / Game
0.9
10%
Clean Sheets
40%
1-3-6
W — D — L
6-1-3
Win Rate
10%
60%
3.3
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
T0
0-0 3.9%
0-1 7.8%
0-2 7.8%
0-3 5.2%
0-4 2.6%
0-5 1.0%
T1
1-0 4.9%
1-1 9.7%
1-2 9.7%
1-3 6.5%
1-4 3.2%
1-5 1.3%
T2
2-0 3.0%
2-1 6.1%
2-2 6.1%
2-3 4.0%
2-4 2.0%
2-5 0.8%
T3
3-0 1.3%
3-1 2.5%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 1.7%
3-4 0.8%
3-5 0.3%
T4
4-0 0.4%
4-1 0.8%
4-2 0.8%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
T5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.2%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-2(9.7%) 0-1(7.8%) 0-2(7.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip T=Home goals ↓   T=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Thor/KA W Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
Throttur W Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Thor/KA W
Overall
1.9
Scoring
5.3
Defence
1.7
Throttur W
Overall
6.3
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 7%
Home Win & BTTS No 4%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 9%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 40%
Away Win & BTTS No 27%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 7%
Home Win & Under 2.5 4%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 9%
Away Win & Over 2.5 40%
Away Win & Under 2.5 27%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
14.02.26CUP
Throttur W3
Thor/KA1
12.09.25BD
Thor/KA W0
Throttur1
07.06.25BD
Throttur W2
Thor/KA0
15.02.25CUP
Throttur W2
Thor/KA1
29.09.24BD
Throttur W0
Thor/KA0
07.07.24BD
Throttur W2
Thor/KA4
02.05.24BD
Thor/KA W2
Throttur1
02.03.24CUP
Thor/KA W6
Throttur2
17.09.23BD
Throttur W0
Thor/KA2
29.07.23BD
Thor/KA W0
Throttur4
Recent Form
Thor/KA W
13.06.26BD
Valur W0
Thor/KA W0
D
30.05.26BD
Thor/KA W4
Vikingur Reykjavik W6
L
25.05.26BD
Fram W3
Thor/KA W2
L
20.05.26BD
Thor/KA W1
Breidablik W3
L
15.05.26CUP
Thor/KA W1
Stjarnan W4
L
10.05.26BD
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W2
Thor/KA W0
L
06.05.26BD
Thor/KA W2
Stjarnan W2
D
30.04.26BD
Grindavik/Njardvik W2
Thor/KA W1
L
25.04.26BD
Thor/KA W1
Hafnarfjordur W1
D
10.03.26CUP
Thor/KA W4
Hafnarfjordur W2
W
Throttur W
18.06.26CUP
Throttur W1
Vikingur Reykjavik W0
W
13.06.26BD
Throttur W0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W0
D
29.05.26BD
Valur W0
Throttur W1
W
25.05.26BD
Throttur W0
Stjarnan W1
L
20.05.26BD
Vikingur Reykjavik W1
Throttur W4
W
16.05.26CUP
Throttur W3
Breidablik W2
W
11.05.26BD
Throttur W1
Grindavik/Njardvik W2
L
05.05.26BD
Fram W0
Throttur W3
W
30.04.26BD
Throttur W2
Hafnarfjordur W1
W
24.04.26BD
Breidablik W2
Throttur W0
L
Thor/KA W (Home)
30.05.26BD
Thor/KA W4
Vikingur Reykjavik W6
L
20.05.26BD
Thor/KA W1
Breidablik W3
L
15.05.26CUP
Thor/KA W1
Stjarnan W4
L
06.05.26BD
Thor/KA W2
Stjarnan W2
D
25.04.26BD
Thor/KA W1
Hafnarfjordur W1
D
10.03.26CUP
Thor/KA W4
Hafnarfjordur W2
W
21.02.26CUP
Thor/KA W1
Grindavik/Njardvik W0
W
09.10.25BD
Thor/KA W1
Fram W1
D
25.09.25BD
Thor/KA W3
Tindastoll W0
W
12.09.25BD
Thor/KA W0
Throttur W1
L
Throttur W (Away)
29.05.26BD
Valur W0
Throttur W1
W
20.05.26BD
Vikingur Reykjavik W1
Throttur W4
W
05.05.26BD
Fram W0
Throttur W3
W
24.04.26BD
Breidablik W2
Throttur W0
L
14.03.26CUP
FHL W0
Throttur W10
W
27.02.26CUP
Stjarnan W5
Throttur W0
L
11.10.25BD
Stjarnan W0
Throttur W1
W
05.10.25BD
Hafnarfjordur W4
Throttur W0
L
12.09.25BD
Thor/KA W0
Throttur W1
W
28.08.25BD
Hafnarfjordur W3
Throttur W0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 22nd June 2026, Thor/KA W host Throttur W at Thorsvollur (Akureyri) in Iceland Besta deild Women. We recommend Throttur W to win as the standout selection.

Thor/KA W arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Throttur W are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 1D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Thor/KA W, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Throttur W's 5, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: throttur w to win at odds of 1.40 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Iceland Besta deild Women match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 1 draw, 4 losses from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into Thorsvollur (Akureyri). The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 2 at @1.40, which our model rates near 20,30,50%. The fixture starts at 7:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

 

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Thor/KA W vs Throttur W?
Our selection is 2 — Throttur W to win, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Thor/KA W's current form?
Thor/KA W have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has Throttur W been performing recently?
Throttur W have recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Thor/KA W lead with 4 wins versus Throttur W's 5, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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