WON Tip WON Vikingur Reykjavik 5-0 Hafnarfjordur
V

Vikingur Reykjavik

Home
W W W W W
9W 1D 0L ▼ Declining
VS
5-0
H
Hafnarfjordur
Away
L L D L L
1W 3D 6L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 22nd May 2026
1
Backing Vikingur Reykjavik to win
Vikingur Reykjavik 60%
Draw 20%
Hafnarfjordur 20%
H Fair Odds 1.67
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 87% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -10% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Vikingur Reykjavik to win
1.15
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals100% Vikingur Reykjavik Clean Sheet60%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Hafnarfjordur Competition: Iceland Besta deild karla Date: Friday, 22nd May 2026 Pick: 1 (Vikingur Reykjavik to win) Odds: 1.15 Confidence: 77% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (100%) Also: Vikingur Reykjavik Clean Sheet (60%)
Head to Head
Record
9
Vikingur Reykjavik
1
Draws
0
Hafnarfjordur
10
Meetings
3.4
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Vikingur Reykjavik won 9 of the last 10 meetings (1 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Vikingur Reykjavik
Metric
Hafnarfjordur
3.1
Goals For / Game
1.7
0.6
Goals Against / Game
2.8
60%
Clean Sheets
0%
9-1-0
W — D — L
1-3-6
Win Rate
90%
10%
4.1
Avg Goals
100%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
H0
H1
H2
H3
H4
H5
V0
0-0 1.7%
0-1 1.9%
0-2 1.1%
0-3 0.4%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
V1
1-0 4.9%
1-1 5.6%
1-2 3.2%
1-3 1.2%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
V2
2-0 7.2%
2-1 8.3%
2-2 4.8%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
V3
3-0 7.1%
3-1 8.2%
3-2 4.7%
3-3 1.8%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
V4
4-0 5.2%
4-1 6.0%
4-2 3.5%
4-3 1.3%
4-4 0.4%
4-5 0.1%
V5
5-0 3.1%
5-1 3.6%
5-2 2.0%
5-3 0.8%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 2-1(8.3%) 3-1(8.2%) 2-0(7.2%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip V=Home goals ↓   H=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Vikingur Reykjavik Win
60%
1.67
Draw
20%
5
Hafnarfjordur Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Vikingur Reykjavik
Overall
9.3
Scoring
10.0
Defence
8.0
Hafnarfjordur
Overall
1.9
Scoring
5.7
Defence
0.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 45%
Home Win & BTTS No 30%
Draw & BTTS Yes 10%
Draw & BTTS No 7%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 5%
Away Win & BTTS No 3%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 53%
Home Win & Under 2.5 23%
Draw & Over 2.5 12%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 2%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
05.10.25BK
Vikingur Reykjavik2
Hafnarfjordur0
03.08.25BK
Hafnarfjordur2
Vikingur Reykjavik2
11.05.25BK
Vikingur Reykjavik3
Hafnarfjordur1
25.09.24BK
Vikingur Reykjavik3
Hafnarfjordur0
05.08.24BK
Hafnarfjordur2
Vikingur Reykjavik3
12.05.24BK
Vikingur Reykjavik2
Hafnarfjordur0
28.09.23BK
Vikingur Reykjavik2
Hafnarfjordur1
08.08.23BK
Hafnarfjordur1
Vikingur Reykjavik3
14.05.23BK
Vikingur Reykjavik2
Hafnarfjordur0
01.10.22CUP
Hafnarfjordur2
Vikingur Reykjavik (aet)3
Recent Form
Vikingur Reykjavik
17.05.26BK
Vestmannaeyjar0
Vikingur Reykjavik2
W
13.05.26CUP
Kopavogur0
Vikingur Reykjavik2
W
08.05.26BK
Vikingur Reykjavik6
Thor Akureyri0
W
03.05.26BK
Keflavik1
Vikingur Reykjavik3
W
27.04.26BK
Vikingur Reykjavik4
Akranes0
W
23.04.26BK
Vikingur Reykjavik3
Stjarnan2
W
17.04.26BK
KA Akureyri0
Vikingur Reykjavik2
W
10.04.26BK
Vikingur Reykjavik1
Breidablik1
D
04.04.26CUP
Fram2
Vikingur Reykjavik4
W
29.03.26SC
Vikingur Reykjavik4
Vestri0
W
Hafnarfjordur
17.05.26BK
Hafnarfjordur1
KA Akureyri2
L
14.05.26CUP
Fylkir5
Hafnarfjordur0
L
08.05.26BK
Breidablik3
Hafnarfjordur3
D
03.05.26BK
Hafnarfjordur3
Fram4
L
27.04.26BK
KR Reykjavik4
Hafnarfjordur2
L
23.04.26BK
Valur3
Hafnarfjordur0
L
17.04.26BK
Stjarnan3
Hafnarfjordur2
L
12.04.26BK
Vestmannaeyjar1
Hafnarfjordur1
D
04.04.26CUP
Thor Akureyri2
Hafnarfjordur4
W
07.03.26CF
Hafnarfjordur1
Moss1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 22nd May 2026, Vikingur Reykjavik host Hafnarfjordur in Iceland Besta deild karla. We recommend Vikingur Reykjavik to win as the standout selection.

Vikingur Reykjavik arrive in strong form, having recorded 9 wins, 1 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Hafnarfjordur are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 3D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Vikingur Reykjavik, who lead the head-to-head with 9 wins to Hafnarfjordur's 0, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: vikingur reykjavik to win at odds of 1.15 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Iceland Besta deild karla fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.15 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Vikingur Reykjavik vs Hafnarfjordur?
Our selection is 1 — Vikingur Reykjavik to win, priced at approximately 1.15. Tip confidence rating: 77%.
What is Vikingur Reykjavik's current form?
Vikingur Reykjavik have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Hafnarfjordur been performing recently?
Hafnarfjordur have recorded 1 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Vikingur Reykjavik lead with 9 wins versus Hafnarfjordur's 0, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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