Strong Signal 68% Confidence
V

Villa

Home
W W W W D
6W 2D 1L ▼ Declining
VS
—
7:00 pm
—
N/A
K
Killarney Celtic
Away
L L D L D
0W 2D 8L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 14th November 2026
1
Backing Villa to win
Implied Prob 75.2% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -7.2% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
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Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Villa to win
1.33
Over 2.5 Goals84% Over 1.5 Goals95% BTTS — Yes74%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Villa vs Killarney Celtic Competition: Ireland National League Date: Saturday, 14th November 2026 KO: 7:00 pm Pick: 1 (Villa to win) Odds: 1.33 Confidence: 68% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (84%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (95%) Also: BTTS — Yes (74%)
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Head to Head
Record
1
Villa
0
Draws
0
Killarney Celtic
1
Meetings
6
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Villa won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Villa
Metric
Killarney Celtic
3.4
Goals For / Game
1.2
1.2
Goals Against / Game
2.8
33%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-2-1
W — D — L
0-2-8
Win Rate
67%
0%
4.3
Avg Goals
95%
Over 1.5
84%
Over 2.5
74%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
K0
K1
K2
K3
K4
K5
V0
0-0 1.4%
0-1 1.6%
0-2 1.0%
0-3 0.4%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
V1
1-0 4.2%
1-1 5.1%
1-2 3.0%
1-3 1.2%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
V2
2-0 6.5%
2-1 7.8%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.9%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
V3
3-0 6.7%
3-1 8.1%
3-2 4.9%
3-3 1.9%
3-4 0.6%
3-5 0.1%
V4
4-0 5.2%
4-1 6.3%
4-2 3.8%
4-3 1.5%
4-4 0.5%
4-5 0.1%
V5
5-0 3.2%
5-1 3.9%
5-2 2.3%
5-3 0.9%
5-4 0.3%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 3-1(8.1%) 2-1(7.8%) 3-0(6.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip V=Home goals ↓   K=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Villa
Overall
7.3 ▼
Scoring
10.0 ▼
Defence
5.9 ▼
Killarney Celtic
Overall
0.6 ▲
Scoring
4.0 ▲
Defence
0.7 ▲
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 56%
Home Win & BTTS No 20%
Draw & BTTS Yes 18%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 64%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 20%
Draw & Under 2.5 4%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
24.10.26NL
Killarney Celtic2
Villa4
Recent Form
Villa
24.10.26NL
Killarney Celtic2
Villa4
W
10.10.26NL
University College Cork0
Villa5
W
06.10.26NL
Villa4
CK United0
W
26.09.26NL
Villa5
Newbridge Town0
W
19.09.26NL
CK United3
Villa3
D
12.09.26NL
Villa3
University College Cork2
W
05.09.26NL
Newbridge Town1
Villa5
W
19.05.24FAI
Pike Rovers1
Villa (4-2)1
29.07.22FAI
Maynooth Univ.2
Villa1
L
Killarney Celtic
24.10.26NL
Killarney Celtic2
Villa4
L
17.10.26NL
University College Cork4
Killarney Celtic1
L
10.10.26NL
Killarney Celtic1
Newbridge Town1
D
03.10.26NL
CK United3
Killarney Celtic1
L
19.09.26NL
Newbridge Town2
Killarney Celtic2
D
12.09.26NL
Killarney Celtic2
CK United3
L
05.09.26NL
Killarney Celtic1
University College Cork2
L
06.01.26CF
Killarney Celtic2
Kerry5
L
12.08.17FAI
Cobh Wanderers3
Killarney Celtic0
L
29.04.17FAI
Killarney Celtic1
Boyle Celtic0
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Ireland National League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into N/A. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 2 draws, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.33, which our model rates near 58%. The fixture starts at 7:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Villa vs Killarney Celtic?
Our selection is 1 — Villa to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 68%.
What is Villa's current form?
Villa have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 9 matches.
How has Killarney Celtic been performing recently?
Killarney Celtic have recorded 0 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Villa lead with 1 wins versus Killarney Celtic's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 4.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
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