Moderate Signal 55% Confidence
V

Villa

Home
D W W L L
2W 2D 1L → Steady
VS
—
5:00 pm
—
N/A
N
Newbridge Town
Away
D L L W L
1W 1D 2L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Saturday, 26th September 2026
1
Backing Villa to win
Implied Prob 78.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -23.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
⚔
Head to Head
Record
1
Villa
0
Draws
0
Newbridge Town
1
Meetings
6
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Villa won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Villa
Metric
Newbridge Town
2.6
Goals For / Game
0.3
1.8
Goals Against / Game
1.3
0%
Clean Sheets
0%
2-2-1
W — D — L
1-1-2
Win Rate
40%
25%
3.1
Avg Goals
67%
Over 1.5
56%
Over 2.5
63%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
V0
0-0 5.0%
0-1 5.2%
0-2 2.7%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.3%
0-5 0.1%
V1
1-0 9.7%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 5.4%
1-3 1.9%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
V2
2-0 9.5%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
V3
3-0 6.2%
3-1 6.5%
3-2 3.4%
3-3 1.2%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
V4
4-0 3.0%
4-1 3.2%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.6%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
V5
5-0 1.2%
5-1 1.2%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.9%) 1-0(9.7%) 2-0(9.5%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip V=Home goals ↓   N=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Villa
Overall
5.2 ▼
Scoring
8.7 ▼
Defence
4.0 ▼
Newbridge Town
Overall
3.3 ▼
Scoring
0.8 ▼
Defence
5.8 ▼
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 23%
Draw & BTTS No 11%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 17%
Away Win & BTTS No 8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 18%
Draw & Over 2.5 19%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 14%
Away Win & Under 2.5 11%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
05.09.26NL
Newbridge Town1
Villa5
Recent Form
Villa
19.09.26NL
CK United3
Villa3
D
12.09.26NL
Villa3
University College Cork2
W
05.09.26NL
Newbridge Town1
Villa5
W
19.05.24FAI
Pike Rovers1
Villa (4-2)1
29.07.22FAI
Maynooth Univ.2
Villa1
L
Newbridge Town
19.09.26NL
CK United3
Villa3
D
12.09.26NL
Villa3
University College Cork2
W
05.09.26NL
Newbridge Town1
Villa5
W
19.05.24FAI
Pike Rovers1
Villa (4-2)1
29.07.22FAI
Maynooth Univ.2
Villa1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Ireland National League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into N/A. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.27, which our model rates near 49%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

❓
Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Villa vs Newbridge Town?
Our selection is 1 — Villa to win, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 55%.
What is Villa's current form?
Villa have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 matches.
How has Newbridge Town been performing recently?
Newbridge Town have recorded 1 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from 4 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Villa lead with 1 wins versus Newbridge Town's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. 24predictiontoday provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.

18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.