WON Tip WON Wurzburger Kickers 4-1 Burghausen
W

Wurzburger Kickers

Home
W D W W W
7W 3D 0L → Steady
VS
4-1
B
Burghausen
Away
L W L L D
3W 4D 3L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 1st May 2026
1
Backing Wurzburger Kickers to win
Wurzburger Kickers 50%
Draw 30%
Burghausen 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 74.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -13.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
6
Wurzburger Kickers
2
Draws
1
Burghausen
9
Meetings
2.2
Avg Goals
22%
BTTS
33%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Wurzburger Kickers won 6 of the last 9 meetings (2 draws).
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Wurzburger Kickers
Metric
Burghausen
2.7
Goals For / Game
1
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.1
40%
Clean Sheets
50%
7-3-0
W — D — L
3-4-3
Win Rate
70%
30%
2.7
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
B0
B1
B2
B3
B4
B5
W0
0-0 6.7%
0-1 5.4%
0-2 2.2%
0-3 0.6%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
W1
1-0 12.8%
1-1 10.2%
1-2 4.1%
1-3 1.1%
1-4 0.2%
1-5 0.0%
W2
2-0 12.1%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 3.9%
2-3 1.0%
2-4 0.2%
2-5 0.0%
W3
3-0 7.7%
3-1 6.2%
3-2 2.5%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.1%
3-5 0.0%
W4
4-0 3.7%
4-1 2.9%
4-2 1.2%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
W5
5-0 1.4%
5-1 1.1%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(12.8%) 2-0(12.1%) 2-1(9.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip W=Home goals ↓   B=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Wurzburger Kickers Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Burghausen Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Wurzburger Kickers
Overall
7.9
Scoring
9.0
Defence
8.0
Burghausen
Overall
4.2
Scoring
3.3
Defence
6.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 26%
Draw & BTTS Yes 13%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 11%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 31%
Draw & Over 2.5 10%
Draw & Under 2.5 16%
Away Win & Over 2.5 9%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
24.10.25RL
Burghausen1
Wurzburger Kickers1
15.11.24RL
Wurzburger Kickers2
Burghausen0
02.08.24RL
Burghausen2
Wurzburger Kickers0
06.04.24RL
Burghausen0
Wurzburger Kickers1
22.09.23RL
Wurzburger Kickers3
Burghausen0
29.04.23RL
Burghausen0
Wurzburger Kickers2
03.10.22RL
Wurzburger Kickers3
Burghausen1
28.11.14RL
Burghausen0
Wurzburger Kickers0
01.08.14RL
Wurzburger Kickers4
Burghausen0
Recent Form
Wurzburger Kickers
26.04.26RL
Furth II1
Wurzburger Kickers5
W
21.04.26RL
Wurzburger Kickers1
Bayreuth1
D
18.04.26RL
Memmingen1
Wurzburger Kickers5
W
10.04.26RL
Wurzburger Kickers2
Bayern II1
W
06.04.26RL
Schwaben Augsburg0
Wurzburger Kickers2
W
02.04.26RL
Wurzburger Kickers5
Hankofen-Hailing0
W
28.03.26RL
Eichstatt1
Wurzburger Kickers1
D
20.03.26RL
Wurzburger Kickers4
Aschaffenburg0
W
14.03.26RL
Augsburg II0
Wurzburger Kickers1
W
10.03.26RL
Vilzing1
Wurzburger Kickers1
D
Burghausen
28.04.26RL
Burghausen3
Nurnberg II4
L
24.04.26RL
Memmingen0
Burghausen1
W
21.04.26RL
Burghausen1
Furth II3
L
18.04.26RL
Schwaben Augsburg1
Burghausen0
L
14.04.26RL
Augsburg II0
Burghausen0
D
10.04.26RL
Burghausen1
Bayreuth1
D
06.04.26RL
Hankofen-Hailing0
Burghausen1
W
01.04.26RL
Burghausen1
Bayern II0
W
27.03.26RL
Aschaffenburg2
Burghausen2
D
20.03.26RL
Burghausen0
Buchbach0
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 1st May 2026, Wurzburger Kickers host Burghausen in Ger. Regionalliga Bayern. We recommend Wurzburger Kickers to win as the standout selection.

Wurzburger Kickers arrive in strong form, having recorded 7 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Burghausen are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 4D 3L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Wurzburger Kickers, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Burghausen's 1, with 2 draws from 9 encounters. Both teams have scored in 22% of those meetings.

Our verdict: wurzburger kickers to win at odds of 1.34 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Ger. Regionalliga Bayern fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market.

Let’s look at the hosts first. Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer.

A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline. The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today.

History cannot be swept under the rug, either. Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash.

With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious. Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.34 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over.

It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint. Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Wurzburger Kickers vs Burghausen?
Our selection is 1 — Wurzburger Kickers to win, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 61%.
What is Wurzburger Kickers's current form?
Wurzburger Kickers have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches.
How has Burghausen been performing recently?
Burghausen have recorded 3 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Wurzburger Kickers lead with 6 wins versus Burghausen's 1, with 2 draws across 9 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.7 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 22%.
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