Moderate Signal 62% Confidence
Z

Zalgiris 2

Home
W W L L W
3W 1D 6L ▼ Declining
VS
5:00 pm
N/A
F
FK Minija
Away
W W W W W
8W 1D 1L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Tuesday, 28th July 2026
2
Backing FK Minija to win
Zalgiris 2 20%
Draw 30%
FK Minija 50%
H Fair Odds 5
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 78.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -16.7% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — FK Minija to win
1.27
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals80%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Zalgiris 2 vs FK Minija Competition: Lithuania I Lyga Date: Tuesday, 28th July 2026 KO: 5:00 pm Pick: 2 (FK Minija to win) Odds: 1.27 Confidence: 62% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (80%)
Head to Head
Record
3
Zalgiris 2
1
Draws
6
FK Minija
10
Meetings
3.6
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip FK Minija won 6 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Zalgiris 2
Metric
FK Minija
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.8
1.9
Goals Against / Game
0.6
10%
Clean Sheets
40%
3-1-6
W — D — L
8-1-1
Win Rate
30%
80%
2.9
Avg Goals
80%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
60%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
F0
F1
F2
F3
F4
F5
Z0
0-0 5.5%
0-1 10.2%
0-2 9.4%
0-3 5.8%
0-4 2.7%
0-5 1.0%
Z1
1-0 5.8%
1-1 10.7%
1-2 9.9%
1-3 6.1%
1-4 2.8%
1-5 1.0%
Z2
2-0 3.0%
2-1 5.6%
2-2 5.2%
2-3 3.2%
2-4 1.5%
2-5 0.6%
Z3
3-0 1.1%
3-1 2.0%
3-2 1.8%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.2%
Z4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.5%
4-2 0.5%
4-3 0.3%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.1%
Z5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 0-1(10.2%) 1-2(9.9%) 0-2(9.4%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip Z=Home goals ↓   F=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Zalgiris 2 Win
20%
5
Draw
30%
3.33
FK Minija Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Zalgiris 2
Overall
3.3
Scoring
5.0
Defence
3.7
FK Minija
Overall
8.3
Scoring
6.0
Defence
8.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 15%
Home Win & BTTS No 10%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 3%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 40%
Away Win & BTTS No 27%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 8%
Draw & Over 2.5 6%
Draw & Under 2.5 2%
Away Win & Over 2.5 47%
Away Win & Under 2.5 20%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
14.03.26IL
FK Minija4
Zalgiris 20
24.10.25IL
Zalgiris 20
FK Minija1
17.06.25IL
FK Minija1
Zalgiris 24
15.10.23IL
Zalgiris 22
FK Minija3
27.05.23IL
FK Minija3
Zalgiris 20
05.08.22IL
Zalgiris 21
FK Minija3
26.03.22IL
FK Minija0
Zalgiris 20
28.08.21IL
FK Minija3
Zalgiris 22
09.05.21IL
Zalgiris 23
FK Minija1
25.10.20IL
FK Minija1
Zalgiris 24
Recent Form
Zalgiris 2
21.07.26IL
Hegelmann Litauen 20
Zalgiris 22
W
02.07.26IL
Zalgiris 23
Hegelmann Litauen 21
W
26.06.26IL
BE1 NFA2
Zalgiris 21
L
21.06.26IL
Zalgiris 21
Jonava2
L
13.06.26IL
Zalgiris 22
Garliava1
W
30.05.26IL
Atmosfera2
Zalgiris 20
L
22.05.26IL
Zalgiris 23
BFA Vilnius4
L
15.05.26IL
Babrungas3
Zalgiris 20
L
08.05.26IL
Zalgiris 22
Tauras Taurage2
D
02.05.26IL
Neptunas2
Zalgiris 21
L
FK Minija
18.07.26IL
FK Minija2
Jonava1
W
26.06.26IL
Garliava0
FK Minija1
W
23.06.26CUP
FK Minija2
FK Panevezys1
W
20.06.26IL
Atmosfera0
FK Minija1
W
13.06.26IL
FK Minija3
BFA Vilnius0
W
07.06.26IL
Jonava0
FK Minija0
D
29.05.26IL
Babrungas1
FK Minija0
L
23.05.26IL
FK Minija2
Tauras Taurage1
W
19.05.26CUP
Pempininkai1
FK Minija (AET)4
W
16.05.26IL
Neptunas1
FK Minija3
W
Zalgiris 2 (Home)
02.07.26IL
Zalgiris 23
Hegelmann Litauen 21
W
21.06.26IL
Zalgiris 21
Jonava2
L
13.06.26IL
Zalgiris 22
Garliava1
W
22.05.26IL
Zalgiris 23
BFA Vilnius4
L
08.05.26IL
Zalgiris 22
Tauras Taurage2
D
24.04.26IL
Zalgiris 20
Dainava Alytus0
D
03.04.26IL
Zalgiris 24
Siauliai 20
W
17.03.26IL
Zalgiris 21
Ekranas0
W
31.10.25IL
Zalgiris 20
Jonava0
D
24.10.25IL
Zalgiris 20
FK Minija1
L
FK Minija (Away)
26.06.26IL
Garliava0
FK Minija1
W
20.06.26IL
Atmosfera0
FK Minija1
W
07.06.26IL
Jonava0
FK Minija0
D
29.05.26IL
Babrungas1
FK Minija0
L
19.05.26CUP
Pempininkai1
FK Minija (AET)4
W
16.05.26IL
Neptunas1
FK Minija3
W
03.05.26IL
Transinvest 21
FK Minija7
W
19.04.26IL
Kauno Zalgiris 20
FK Minija4
W
22.03.26IL
BE1 NFA2
FK Minija3
W
11.02.26CF
Grobina1
FK Minija1
D
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Tuesday, 28th July 2026, Zalgiris 2 host FK Minija at N/A in Lithuania I Lyga. We recommend FK Minija to win as the standout selection.

Zalgiris 2 arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats from their last 10 outings.

FK Minija are travelling well, with a record of 8W 1D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Zalgiris 2, who lead the head-to-head with 3 wins to FK Minija's 6, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: fk minija to win at odds of 1.27 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Lithuania I Lyga match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into N/A. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 5 wins from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 2 at @1.27, which our model rates near 20,30,50%. The fixture starts at 5:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Zalgiris 2 vs FK Minija?
Our selection is 2 — FK Minija to win, priced at approximately 1.27. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Zalgiris 2's current form?
Zalgiris 2 have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches.
How has FK Minija been performing recently?
FK Minija have recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Zalgiris 2 lead with 3 wins versus FK Minija's 6, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. 24predictiontoday provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.

18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.