WON Tip WON Zenit 2-0 Akhmat Grozny
Z

Zenit

Home
D W D L W
6W 2D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
2-0
A
Akhmat Grozny
Away
D L D L W
3W 5D 2L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Sunday, 26th April 2026
1
Backing Zenit to win
Zenit 50%
Draw 30%
Akhmat Grozny 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 76.9% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -13.9% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
9
Zenit
0
Draws
1
Akhmat Grozny
10
Meetings
3.5
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
90%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Zenit won 9 of the last 10 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Zenit
Metric
Akhmat Grozny
1.3
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.6
Goals Against / Game
1.4
50%
Clean Sheets
20%
6-2-2
W — D — L
3-5-2
Win Rate
60%
30%
2.4
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
Z0
0-0 9.5%
0-1 9.5%
0-2 4.8%
0-3 1.6%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
Z1
1-0 12.9%
1-1 12.9%
1-2 6.4%
1-3 2.2%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
Z2
2-0 8.7%
2-1 8.7%
2-2 4.4%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
Z3
3-0 3.9%
3-1 3.9%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 0.7%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
Z4
4-0 1.3%
4-1 1.3%
4-2 0.7%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
Z5
5-0 0.4%
5-1 0.4%
5-2 0.2%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(12.9%) 2-0(8.7%) 2-1(8.7%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip Z=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Zenit Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Akhmat Grozny Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Zenit
Overall
6.6
Scoring
4.3
Defence
8.0
Akhmat Grozny
Overall
4.5
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 26%
Home Win & BTTS No 22%
Draw & BTTS Yes 15%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 11%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 19%
Home Win & Under 2.5 29%
Draw & Over 2.5 11%
Draw & Under 2.5 17%
Away Win & Over 2.5 10%
Away Win & Under 2.5 14%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
17.09.25CUP
Zenit2
Akhmat Grozny1
09.08.25PL
Akhmat Grozny1
Zenit0
30.07.25CUP
Akhmat Grozny1
Zenit2
24.05.25PL
Zenit3
Akhmat Grozny0
27.11.24CUP
Akhmat Grozny1
Zenit2
10.11.24PL
Akhmat Grozny1
Zenit2
06.11.24CUP
Zenit3
Akhmat Grozny0
19.05.24PL
Akhmat Grozny1
Zenit5
28.10.23PL
Zenit2
Akhmat Grozny1
20.09.23CUP
Akhmat Grozny3
Zenit4
Recent Form
Zenit
22.04.26PL
Lokomotiv Moscow0
Zenit0
D
19.04.26PL
Dynamo Makhachkala0
Zenit1
W
12.04.26PL
Zenit1
Krasnodar1
D
08.04.26CUP
Zenit0
Spartak Moscow (0 - 0)1
L
04.04.26PL
Zenit2
Krylya Sovetov1
W
28.03.26CF
Zenit2
Kairat Almaty0
W
22.03.26PL
Dynamo Moscow1
Zenit3
W
18.03.26CUP
Zenit1
Dynamo Makhachkala0
W
14.03.26PL
Zenit2
Spartak Moscow0
W
08.03.26PL
Orenburg2
Zenit1
L
Akhmat Grozny
23.04.26PL
Akhmat Grozny1
Baltika1
D
19.04.26PL
Spartak Moscow3
Akhmat Grozny1
L
11.04.26PL
Krylya Sovetov2
Akhmat Grozny2
D
04.04.26PL
Akhmat Grozny0
Krasnodar1
L
21.03.26PL
Akhmat Grozny1
FK Rostov0
W
15.03.26PL
Akron Togliatti1
Akhmat Grozny1
D
09.03.26PL
Lokomotiv Moscow2
Akhmat Grozny2
D
01.03.26PL
Akhmat Grozny1
CSKA Moscow0
W
18.02.26CF
Baltika2
Akhmat Grozny2
D
14.02.26CF
Akhmat Grozny3
OKMK2
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Russia Premier League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.30 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Zenit vs Akhmat Grozny?
Our selection is 1 — Zenit to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 63%.
What is Zenit's current form?
Zenit have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Akhmat Grozny been performing recently?
Akhmat Grozny have recorded 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Zenit lead with 9 wins versus Akhmat Grozny's 1, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
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