LOST Tip LOST Dijon 1-2 Chateauroux
D

Dijon

Home
W D W L W
6W 3D 1L ▼ Declining
VS
1-2
C
Chateauroux
Away
L L L D W
1W 2D 7L ▼ Declining
24predictiontoday Selection · Thursday, 30th April 2026
1
Backing Dijon to win
Dijon 50%
Draw 30%
Chateauroux 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 72.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -27.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
2
Dijon
5
Draws
3
Chateauroux
10
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Against Tip Dijon won 2 of the last 10 meetings (5 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Dijon
Metric
Chateauroux
1.6
Goals For / Game
1
1
Goals Against / Game
2.1
40%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-3-1
W — D — L
1-2-7
Win Rate
60%
10%
2.9
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
50%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
C0
C1
C2
C3
C4
C5
D0
0-0 5.8%
0-1 5.8%
0-2 2.9%
0-3 1.0%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.1%
D1
1-0 10.7%
1-1 10.7%
1-2 5.4%
1-3 1.8%
1-4 0.5%
1-5 0.1%
D2
2-0 9.9%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 5.0%
2-3 1.7%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
D3
3-0 6.1%
3-1 6.1%
3-2 3.1%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
D4
4-0 2.8%
4-1 2.8%
4-2 1.4%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
D5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.0%
5-2 0.5%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.7%) 2-0(9.9%) 2-1(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip D=Home goals ↓   C=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Dijon Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Chateauroux Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Dijon
Overall
6.9
Scoring
5.3
Defence
6.7
Chateauroux
Overall
1.6
Scoring
3.3
Defence
3.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 35%
Home Win & BTTS No 28%
Draw & BTTS Yes 14%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 6%
Away Win & BTTS No 5%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 32%
Home Win & Under 2.5 32%
Draw & Over 2.5 13%
Draw & Under 2.5 13%
Away Win & Over 2.5 6%
Away Win & Under 2.5 6%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
12.12.25NAT
Chateauroux0
Dijon0
02.05.25NAT
Chateauroux3
Dijon3
10.01.25NAT
Dijon4
Chateauroux0
09.02.24NAT
Dijon1
Chateauroux1
01.09.23NAT
Chateauroux2
Dijon0
08.05.15L2
Dijon0
Chateauroux1
19.12.14L2
Chateauroux1
Dijon1
06.05.14L2
Dijon2
Chateauroux1
20.12.13L2
Chateauroux3
Dijon1
05.04.13L2
Dijon1
Chateauroux1
Recent Form
Dijon
24.04.26NAT
Valenciennes0
Dijon1
W
17.04.26NAT
Dijon0
Sochaux0
D
10.04.26NAT
Dijon2
Bourg en Bresse0
W
03.04.26NAT
Fleury-Merogis3
Dijon1
L
27.03.26NAT
Dijon3
Versailles1
W
19.03.26NAT
Quevilly Rouen0
Dijon1
W
13.03.26NAT
Dijon2
Aubagne1
W
06.03.26NAT
Concarneau1
Dijon1
D
20.02.26NAT
Villefranche1
Dijon2
W
13.02.26NAT
Dijon3
Caen3
D
Chateauroux
24.04.26NAT
Chateauroux0
Fleury-Merogis2
L
17.04.26NAT
Versailles4
Chateauroux0
L
10.04.26NAT
Chateauroux3
Quevilly Rouen5
L
03.04.26NAT
Aubagne1
Chateauroux1
D
27.03.26NAT
Chateauroux3
Concarneau1
W
17.03.26NAT
Stade Briochin2
Chateauroux0
L
13.03.26NAT
Chateauroux0
Villefranche1
L
06.03.26NAT
Caen2
Chateauroux2
D
27.02.26NAT
Chateauroux0
Paris 13 Atl.1
L
13.02.26NAT
Chateauroux1
Rouen2
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Thursday, 30th April 2026, Dijon host Chateauroux in France National. We recommend Dijon to win as the standout selection.

Dijon arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Chateauroux are struggling away from home, with a record of 1W 2D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Dijon, who lead the head-to-head with 2 wins to Chateauroux's 3, with 5 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 60% of those meetings.

Our verdict: dijon to win at odds of 1.38 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming France National fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.38 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Dijon vs Chateauroux?
Our selection is 1 — Dijon to win, priced at approximately 1.38. Tip confidence rating: 45%.
What is Dijon's current form?
Dijon have won 6, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Chateauroux been performing recently?
Chateauroux have recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Dijon lead with 2 wins versus Chateauroux's 3, with 5 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. 24predictiontoday provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.

18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.