WON Tip WON Viking 3-0 Rosenborg
V

Viking

Home
W W W W W
8W 0D 2L → Steady
VS
3-0
R
Rosenborg
Away
D D W L W
3W 2D 5L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 1st May 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 71.4% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +4.6% Value detected
Kelly % 16% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.40
Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Viking vs Rosenborg Competition: Norway Eliteserien Date: Friday, 1st May 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.40 Confidence: 76% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
5
Viking
1
Draws
4
Rosenborg
10
Meetings
3.8
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
70%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 70% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Viking
Metric
Rosenborg
2.5
Goals For / Game
1.1
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.5
50%
Clean Sheets
10%
8-0-2
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
80%
30%
3
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
50%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
V0
0-0 5.2%
0-1 5.0%
0-2 2.4%
0-3 0.8%
0-4 0.2%
0-5 0.0%
V1
1-0 10.5%
1-1 9.9%
1-2 4.7%
1-3 1.5%
1-4 0.4%
1-5 0.1%
V2
2-0 10.5%
2-1 9.9%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.5%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
V3
3-0 7.0%
3-1 6.6%
3-2 3.2%
3-3 1.0%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.0%
V4
4-0 3.5%
4-1 3.3%
4-2 1.6%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
V5
5-0 1.4%
5-1 1.3%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.5%) 2-0(10.5%) 1-1(9.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip V=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Viking
Overall
8.0
Scoring
8.3
Defence
7.3
Rosenborg
Overall
3.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
5.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Home Win & BTTS No 34%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Away Win & BTTS No 13%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 40%
Home Win & Under 2.5 27%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 15%
Away Win & Under 2.5 10%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
31.08.25ELI
Viking2
Rosenborg1
28.06.25ELI
Rosenborg1
Viking1
16.03.25CF
Viking3
Rosenborg2
18.08.24ELI
Rosenborg2
Viking1
30.06.24ELI
Viking4
Rosenborg2
24.03.24CF
Viking5
Rosenborg0
03.12.23ELI
Viking1
Rosenborg5
10.04.23ELI
Rosenborg1
Viking0
12.03.23NMC
Viking2
Rosenborg0
04.09.22ELI
Rosenborg4
Viking1
Recent Form
Viking
25.04.26ELI
Fredrikstad1
Viking2
W
18.04.26ELI
Viking3
Brann2
W
11.04.26ELI
Viking5
Bodo/Glimt0
W
06.04.26ELI
Valerenga0
Viking1
W
25.03.26CF
Viking3
Haugesund0
W
21.03.26ELI
Viking4
Molde1
W
18.03.26NMC
Viking1
Aalesund2
L
14.03.26ELI
HamKam2
Viking1
L
07.03.26NMC
Bjarg0
Viking3
W
01.03.26CF
Viking2
Sarpsborg 080
W
Rosenborg
25.04.26ELI
Rosenborg1
Brann1
D
18.04.26ELI
Sandefjord0
Rosenborg0
D
12.04.26ELI
Rosenborg2
Sarpsborg 081
W
06.04.26ELI
Tromso2
Rosenborg0
L
26.03.26CF
Rosenborg4
Stjordals Blink1
W
22.03.26ELI
Rosenborg0
Valerenga2
L
14.03.26ELI
Molde2
Rosenborg0
L
08.03.26NMC
Bryne4
Rosenborg - L (aet)2
27.02.26CF
Rosenborg0
Valerenga1
L
24.02.26CF
Rosenborg2
Start1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 1st May 2026, Viking host Rosenborg in Norway Eliteserien. We recommend over 2.5 goals as the standout selection.

Viking arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Rosenborg are struggling away from home, with a record of 3W 2D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Viking, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Rosenborg's 4, with 1 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.40 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Norway Eliteserien fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is Over 2.5, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.40 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Viking vs Rosenborg?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.40. Tip confidence rating: 76%.
What is Viking's current form?
Viking have won 8, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Rosenborg been performing recently?
Rosenborg have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Viking lead with 5 wins versus Rosenborg's 4, with 1 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
⚠️
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