Moderate Signal 59% Confidence
U

Union Gurten

Home
W D W W W
8W 1D 1L ▼ Declining
VS
R
Ried
Away
L L W W W
4W 1D 5L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 1st May 2026
1
Backing Union Gurten to win
Union Gurten 50%
Draw 30%
Ried 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 74.1% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -15.1% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
5
Union Gurten
3
Draws
2
Ried
10
Meetings
1.7
Avg Goals
30%
BTTS
20%
Over 2.5
Neutral Union Gurten won 5 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
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Stats Duel
Comparison
Union Gurten
Metric
Ried
1.5
Goals For / Game
1.4
0.8
Goals Against / Game
1.9
50%
Clean Sheets
30%
8-1-1
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate
80%
40%
2.8
Avg Goals
70%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
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Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
R0
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
U0
0-0 6.1%
0-1 6.7%
0-2 3.7%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.4%
0-5 0.1%
U1
1-0 10.3%
1-1 11.4%
1-2 6.3%
1-3 2.3%
1-4 0.6%
1-5 0.1%
U2
2-0 8.8%
2-1 9.7%
2-2 5.3%
2-3 2.0%
2-4 0.5%
2-5 0.1%
U3
3-0 5.0%
3-1 5.5%
3-2 3.0%
3-3 1.1%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
U4
4-0 2.1%
4-1 2.3%
4-2 1.3%
4-3 0.5%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
U5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.8%
5-2 0.4%
5-3 0.2%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-0(10.3%) 2-1(9.7%) 2-0(8.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip U=Home goals ↓   R=Away →
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Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Union Gurten Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Ried Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
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Team Ratings
Grades
Union Gurten
Overall
8.3
Scoring
5.0
Defence
7.3
Ried
Overall
4.3
Scoring
4.7
Defence
3.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 28%
Home Win & BTTS No 34%
Draw & BTTS Yes 4%
Draw & BTTS No 4%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 14%
Away Win & BTTS No 17%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 25%
Draw & Over 2.5 5%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 12%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
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Match Archives
History
Head to Head
05.10.25RL
Ried (Am)0
Union Gurten1
04.04.25RL
Union Gurten3
Ried (Am)1
05.09.24RL
Ried (Am)4
Union Gurten0
05.04.24RL
Union Gurten1
Ried (Am)0
02.09.23RL
Ried (Am)1
Union Gurten0
05.05.23RL
Ried (Am)0
Union Gurten0
24.09.22RL
Union Gurten1
Ried (Am)0
24.05.22RL
Union Gurten1
Ried (Am)0
16.10.21RL
Ried (Am)1
Union Gurten1
19.09.20RL
Ried (Am)1
Union Gurten1
Recent Form
Union Gurten
24.04.26RL
Treibach0
Union Gurten1
W
17.04.26RL
Union Gurten0
Weindorf St. Anna0
D
11.04.26RL
ASK Voitsberg0
Union Gurten1
W
03.04.26RL
Union Gurten3
Wolfsberger AC (Am)0
W
28.03.26RL
Dietach0
Union Gurten1
W
20.03.26RL
Union Gurten2
LASK (Am)1
W
13.03.26RL
Lafnitz1
Union Gurten2
W
06.03.26RL
Union Gurten2
Gleisdorf1
W
27.02.26RL
Deutschlandsberger4
Union Gurten1
L
21.02.26CF
Schallerbach1
Union Gurten2
L
Ried
26.04.26RL
Ried (Am)0
Oedt3
L
17.04.26RL
Atus Velden3
Ried (Am)2
L
12.04.26RL
Ried (Am)4
Kalsdorf2
W
04.04.26RL
Ried (Am)2
Treibach0
W
28.03.26RL
Weindorf St. Anna0
Ried (Am)2
W
22.03.26RL
Ried (Am)1
ASK Voitsberg4
L
15.03.26RL
Wolfsberger AC (Am)0
Ried (Am)0
D
06.03.26RL
Ried (Am)0
Dietach1
L
27.02.26RL
LASK (Am)4
Ried (Am)0
L
07.02.26CF
Sportunion Mauer2
Ried (Am)3
W
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Match Analysis
Writeup

On Friday, 1st May 2026, Union Gurten host Ried in Austria Regionalliga Central. We recommend Union Gurten to win as the standout selection.

Union Gurten arrive in strong form, having recorded 8 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Ried are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 1D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Union Gurten, who lead the head-to-head with 5 wins to Ried's 2, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 30% of those meetings.

Our verdict: union gurten to win at odds of 1.35 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Austria Regionalliga Central fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.35 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Union Gurten vs Ried?
Our selection is 1 — Union Gurten to win, priced at approximately 1.35. Tip confidence rating: 59%.
What is Union Gurten's current form?
Union Gurten have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ried been performing recently?
Ried have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Union Gurten lead with 5 wins versus Ried's 2, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
⚠️
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