LOST Tip LOST Aalborg 1-3 Middelfart
A

Aalborg

Home
D D W W W
4W 4D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
1-3
M
Middelfart
Away
L L L L L
0W 0D 10L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Friday, 8th May 2026
1
Backing Aalborg to win
Aalborg 50%
Draw 30%
Middelfart 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 76.9% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -16.9% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
5
Aalborg
0
Draws
0
Middelfart
5
Meetings
3.8
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
80%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Aalborg won 5 of the last 5 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Aalborg
Metric
Middelfart
1.8
Goals For / Game
0.7
1.3
Goals Against / Game
3.2
10%
Clean Sheets
0%
4-4-2
W — D — L
0-0-10
Win Rate
40%
0%
3.5
Avg Goals
75%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
M0
M1
M2
M3
M4
M5
A0
0-0 3.0%
0-1 3.0%
0-2 1.5%
0-3 0.5%
0-4 0.1%
0-5 0.0%
A1
1-0 7.6%
1-1 7.6%
1-2 3.8%
1-3 1.3%
1-4 0.3%
1-5 0.1%
A2
2-0 9.4%
2-1 9.4%
2-2 4.7%
2-3 1.6%
2-4 0.4%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 7.9%
3-1 7.9%
3-2 3.9%
3-3 1.3%
3-4 0.3%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 4.9%
4-1 4.9%
4-2 2.5%
4-3 0.8%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 2.5%
5-1 2.5%
5-2 1.2%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-0(9.4%) 2-1(9.4%) 3-0(7.9%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   M=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Aalborg Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Middelfart Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Aalborg
Overall
5.2
Scoring
6.0
Defence
5.7
Middelfart
Overall
0.0
Scoring
2.3
Defence
0.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 44%
Home Win & BTTS No 23%
Draw & BTTS Yes 21%
Draw & BTTS No 12%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 37%
Home Win & Under 2.5 30%
Draw & Over 2.5 18%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
04.04.261D
Middelfart2
Aalborg5
01.11.251D
Middelfart1
Aalborg2
14.09.251D
Aalborg4
Middelfart0
09.11.22CUP
Middelfart1
Aalborg2
20.09.17CUP
Middelfart0
Aalborg2
Recent Form
Aalborg
01.05.261D
Aalborg1
Hobro1
D
26.04.261D
Koge1
Aalborg1
D
23.04.261D
Aalborg3
B.932
W
18.04.261D
Aalborg3
Aarhus Fremad1
W
10.04.261D
Hobro0
Aalborg1
W
04.04.261D
Middelfart2
Aalborg5
W
21.03.261D
Aalborg1
Esbjerg1
D
14.03.261D
Hobro1
Aalborg0
L
06.03.261D
Aalborg0
Aarhus Fremad1
L
27.02.261D
Aalborg3
Hillerod3
D
Middelfart
01.05.261D
Middelfart0
Aarhus Fremad1
L
26.04.261D
B.932
Middelfart1
L
22.04.261D
Aarhus Fremad5
Middelfart1
L
18.04.261D
Middelfart0
Hobro6
L
10.04.261D
Koge2
Middelfart0
L
04.04.261D
Middelfart2
Aalborg5
L
21.03.261D
Middelfart0
Hobro1
L
13.03.261D
Lyngby4
Middelfart1
L
07.03.261D
Middelfart1
Hvidovre IF2
L
28.02.261D
Aarhus Fremad4
Middelfart1
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Denmark 1 Division fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.30 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Aalborg vs Middelfart?
Our selection is 1 — Aalborg to win, priced at approximately 1.30. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is Aalborg's current form?
Aalborg have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Middelfart been performing recently?
Middelfart have recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 10 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Aalborg lead with 5 wins versus Middelfart's 0, with 0 draws across 5 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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