WON Tip WON ACF Fiorentina 2-1 Rakow

ACF Fiorentina

Q: What is the recommended bet for ACF Fiorentina vs Rakow?

Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 84%.

Home

D L L W W

2W 1D 2L ▲ Improving

2-1

Rakow

Away

W W L W D

3W 1D 1L ▼ Declining

Implied Prob 78.1% Bookie's implied odds

Our Edge +5.9% Value detected

Kelly % 26.9% Suggested bankroll %

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Supporting Bets

Extras

Primary Selection

Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals

1.28

BTTS — No70% ACF Fiorentina Clean Sheet60% Rakow Clean Sheet60%

📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder

ACF Fiorentina vs Rakow Competition: UEFA Conference League Date: Thursday, 12th March 2026 Pick: Over 1.5 (over 1.5 goals) Odds: 1.28 Confidence: 84% Also: BTTS — No (70%) Also: ACF Fiorentina Clean Sheet (60%) Also: Rakow Clean Sheet (60%)

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Head to Head

Record

Neutral No head-to-head data found.

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Stats Duel

Comparison

ACF Fiorentina

Metric

Rakow

1.2

Goals For / Game

1.6

1.4

Goals Against / Game

60%

Clean Sheets

60%

2-1-2

W — D — L

3-1-1

Win Rate

40%

60%

2.6

Avg Goals

60%

Over 1.5

50%

Over 2.5

30%

BTTS Rate

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Score Probability Matrix

Poisson Model

0-0 7.4%

0-1 11.1%

0-2 8.4%

0-3 4.2%

0-4 1.6%

0-5 0.5%

1-0 8.2%

1-1 12.3%

1-2 9.2%

1-3 4.6%

1-4 1.7%

1-5 0.5%

2-0 4.5%

2-1 6.7%

2-2 5.1%

2-3 2.5%

2-4 1.0%

2-5 0.3%

3-0 1.7%

3-1 2.5%

3-2 1.9%

3-3 0.9%

3-4 0.4%

3-5 0.1%

4-0 0.5%

4-1 0.7%

4-2 0.5%

4-3 0.3%

4-4 0.1%

4-5 0.0%

5-0 0.1%

5-1 0.2%

5-2 0.1%

5-3 0.1%

5-4 0.0%

5-5 0.0%

Top Scores 1-1(12.3%) 0-1(11.1%) 1-2(9.2%)

■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓ R=Away →

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Team Ratings

Grades

ACF Fiorentina

Overall

4.6 —

Scoring

4.0 —

Defence

5.3 —

Rakow

Overall

6.6 —

Scoring

5.3 —

Defence

6.7 —

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Combination Markets

Smart Picks

Result & BTTS

Home Win & BTTS Yes 10%

Home Win & BTTS No 23%

Draw & BTTS Yes 5%

Draw & BTTS No 12%

Away Win & BTTS Yes 15%

Away Win & BTTS No 35%

Result & Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5 17%

Home Win & Under 2.5 17%

Draw & Over 2.5 9%

Draw & Under 2.5 9%

Away Win & Over 2.5 25%

Away Win & Under 2.5 25%

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Stake Calculator

Bankroll Tool

Bankroll

Decimal Odds

Win Probability %

Kelly Fraction

—

Kelly %

—

Stake

—

Potential Profit

Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.

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Match Archives

History

Head to Head

No data found.

Recent Form

ACF Fiorentina

⚽ SA (08.03.26): Fiorentina0

Parma0

⚽ SA (02.03.26): Udinese3

Fiorentina0

⚽ UECL (26.02.26): Fiorentina2

Jagiellonia (5-4)4

⚽ SA (23.02.26): Fiorentina1

Pisa0

⚽ UECL (19.02.26): Jagiellonia0

Fiorentina3

Rakow

⚽ EKS (08.03.26): Rakow2

Pogon Szczecin0

⚽ CUP (05.03.26): Avia Swidnik1

Rakow (AET)2

⚽ EKS (01.03.26): Lech Poznan4

Rakow3

⚽ EKS (21.02.26): Rakow1

Termalica B-B.0

⚽ EKS (14.02.26): Zaglebie0

Rakow0

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Match Analysis

Writeup

On Thursday, 12th March 2026, ACF Fiorentina host Rakow in UEFA Conference League. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

ACF Fiorentina arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 2 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats from their last 5 outings.

Rakow are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 3W 1D 1L across 5 matches.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.28 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.

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Quick Answers

FAQ

What is the recommended bet for ACF Fiorentina vs Rakow?

Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 84%.

What is ACF Fiorentina's current form?

ACF Fiorentina have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 matches.

How has Rakow been performing recently?

Rakow have recorded 3 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats from 5 recent games.

What does the head-to-head record show?

No recent head-to-head data available.

How many goals are expected in this match?

Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.6 goals per game.

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