WON Tip WON Al Jeel 1-0 Najran
A

Al Jeel

Home
W W W W W
6W 1D 3L ▼ Declining
VS
1-0
N
Najran
Away
W L W D W
6W 2D 2L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Tuesday, 24th March 2026
1X
Backing Al Jeel to win or draw
Implied Prob 84.7% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +5.3% Value detected
Kelly % 34.4% Suggested bankroll %
Head to Head
Record
2
Al Jeel
4
Draws
4
Najran
10
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
50%
Over 2.5
Neutral Insufficient H2H data.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Jeel
Metric
Najran
1.3
Goals For / Game
1.4
1.1
Goals Against / Game
0.8
20%
Clean Sheets
40%
6-1-3
W — D — L
6-2-2
Win Rate
60%
60%
2.3
Avg Goals
65%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
45%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
N0
N1
N2
N3
N4
N5
A0
0-0 10.0%
0-1 12.5%
0-2 7.8%
0-3 3.3%
0-4 1.0%
0-5 0.3%
A1
1-0 10.5%
1-1 13.2%
1-2 8.2%
1-3 3.4%
1-4 1.1%
1-5 0.3%
A2
2-0 5.5%
2-1 6.9%
2-2 4.3%
2-3 1.8%
2-4 0.6%
2-5 0.1%
A3
3-0 1.9%
3-1 2.4%
3-2 1.5%
3-3 0.6%
3-4 0.2%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 0.5%
4-1 0.6%
4-2 0.4%
4-3 0.2%
4-4 0.1%
4-5 0.0%
A5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.0%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-1(13.2%) 1-0(10.5%) 0-0(10.0%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   N=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Jeel
Overall
6.3
Scoring
4.3
Defence
6.3
Najran
Overall
6.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
7.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Home Win & BTTS No 24%
Draw & BTTS Yes 5%
Draw & BTTS No 6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 25%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 18%
Home Win & Under 2.5 26%
Draw & Over 2.5 4%
Draw & Under 2.5 7%
Away Win & Over 2.5 18%
Away Win & Under 2.5 27%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
05.12.25
D2: Najran SC1
Al Jeel2
19.04.22
DIV: Al Jeel0
Najran SC3
08.12.21
DIV: Najran SC2
Al Jeel0
19.04.21
DIV: Najran SC0
Al Jeel0
02.01.21
DIV: Al Jeel1
Najran SC1
16.08.20
DIV: Al Jeel1
Najran SC2
12.11.19
DIV: Najran SC0
Al Jeel2
10.05.19
DIV: Najran SC3
Al Jeel2
25.12.18
DIV: Al Jeel2
Najran SC2
07.04.17
DIV: Najran SC1
Al Jeel1
Recent Form
Al Jeel
14.03.26
D2: Jerash2
Al Jeel3
W
27.02.26
D2: Al-Shoalah1
Al Jeel2
W
21.02.26
D2: Al Jeel2
Al Rawdah1
W
16.02.26
D2: Al Taraji1
Al Jeel2
W
11.02.26
D2: Al-Sadd2
Al Jeel3
W
06.02.26
D2: Al Jeel0
Al Ain0
D
31.01.26
D2: Tuwaiq0
Al Jeel1
W
25.01.26
D2: Al Jeel0
Al-Sahel2
L
20.01.26
D2: Al Jeel0
Al-Washm1
L
15.01.26
D2: Al Entesar1
Al Jeel0
L
Najran
14.03.26
D2: Najran SC2
Al-Sadd1
W
27.02.26
D2: Najran SC0
Al-Sharq1
L
21.02.26
D2: Najran SC1
Al-Shoalah0
W
16.02.26
D2: Tuwaiq2
Najran SC2
D
11.02.26
D2: Jerash0
Najran SC1
W
06.02.26
D2: Najran SC3
Al Rawdah1
W
31.01.26
D2: Al Taraji1
Najran SC1
D
25.01.26
D2: Najran SC2
Afief0
W
20.01.26
D2: Najran SC2
Al Ain0
W
15.01.26
D2: Al-Washm2
Najran SC0
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Saudi Division 2 fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1X, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.18 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Jeel vs Najran?
Our selection is 1X — Al Jeel to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.18. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Al Jeel's current form?
Al Jeel have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Najran been performing recently?
Najran have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Jeel lead with 2 wins versus Najran's 4, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.3 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
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