LOST Tip LOST Gateshead 3-1 York City
G

Gateshead

Home
L W D D W
5W 3D 2L → Steady
VS
3-1
Y
York City
Away
W W W L W
9W 0D 1L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Tuesday, 24th March 2026
2
Backing York City to win
Gateshead 30%
Draw 20%
York City 50%
H Fair Odds 3.33
D Fair Odds 5
A Fair Odds 2
Implied Prob 77.5% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -17.5% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
2 — York City to win
1.29
Over 2.5 Goals70% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Gateshead vs York City Competition: National League Date: Tuesday, 24th March 2026 Pick: 2 (York City to win) Odds: 1.29 Confidence: 60% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (70%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
2
Gateshead
4
Draws
4
York City
10
Meetings
2.6
Avg Goals
50%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Against Tip York City won 4 of 10 meetings.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Gateshead
Metric
York City
1.4
Goals For / Game
2.8
1.4
Goals Against / Game
0.8
20%
Clean Sheets
50%
5-3-2
W — D — L
9-0-1
Win Rate
50%
90%
3.2
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
70%
Over 2.5
55%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
Y0
Y1
Y2
Y3
Y4
Y5
G0
0-0 4.1%
0-1 8.6%
0-2 9.0%
0-3 6.3%
0-4 3.3%
0-5 1.4%
G1
1-0 4.5%
1-1 9.4%
1-2 9.9%
1-3 6.9%
1-4 3.6%
1-5 1.5%
G2
2-0 2.5%
2-1 5.2%
2-2 5.4%
2-3 3.8%
2-4 2.0%
2-5 0.8%
G3
3-0 0.9%
3-1 1.9%
3-2 2.0%
3-3 1.4%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.3%
G4
4-0 0.3%
4-1 0.5%
4-2 0.6%
4-3 0.4%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
G5
5-0 0.1%
5-1 0.1%
5-2 0.1%
5-3 0.1%
5-4 0.0%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 1-2(9.9%) 0-2(9.0%) 0-1(8.6%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip G=Home goals ↓   Y=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Gateshead Win
30%
3.33
Draw
20%
5
York City Win
50%
2
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Gateshead
Overall
5.9
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.3
York City
Overall
9.0
Scoring
9.3
Defence
7.3
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 18%
Home Win & BTTS No 14%
Draw & BTTS Yes 6%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 32%
Away Win & BTTS No 26%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 22%
Home Win & Under 2.5 10%
Draw & Over 2.5 7%
Draw & Under 2.5 3%
Away Win & Over 2.5 41%
Away Win & Under 2.5 17%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
05.11.25
NL: York City4
Gateshead0
18.04.25
NL: Gateshead1
York City3
01.01.25
NL: York City1
Gateshead0
01.01.24
NL: York City2
Gateshead0
26.12.23
NL: Gateshead1
York City1
02.01.23
NL: Gateshead2
York City2
26.12.22
NL: York City0
Gateshead3
29.01.22
NLN: York City1
Gateshead1
07.12.21
NLN: Gateshead2
York City0
26.08.19
NLN: York City1
Gateshead1
Recent Form
Gateshead
21.03.26
NL: Boreham Wood3
Gateshead0
L
17.03.26
NL: Gateshead1
Wealdstone0
W
14.03.26
NL: Gateshead1
Sutton United1
D
10.03.26
NL: Southend United1
Gateshead1
D
07.03.26
NL: Solihull Moors1
Gateshead2
W
04.03.26
NL: Gateshead1
Braintree Town0
W
28.02.26
NL: Gateshead0
Forest Green2
L
25.02.26
NL: Gateshead4
Morecambe4
D
21.02.26
NL: Truro City1
Gateshead2
W
17.02.26
NL: FC Halifax Town1
Gateshead2
W
York City
21.03.26
NL: York City4
Brackley Town0
W
14.03.26
NL: Aldershot Town0
York City3
W
07.03.26
NL: York City3
Eastleigh1
W
03.03.26
NL: Boreham Wood3
York City2
L
28.02.26
NL: Morecambe0
York City1
W
24.02.26
NL: Scunthorpe United0
York City3
W
21.02.26
NL: York City4
FC Halifax Town1
W
14.02.26
NL: Wealdstone0
York City3
W
11.02.26
NL: York City3
Hartlepool United2
W
07.02.26
NL: York City2
Forest Green Rovers1
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming National League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 2, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.29 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Gateshead vs York City?
Our selection is 2 — York City to win, priced at approximately 1.29. Tip confidence rating: 60%.
What is Gateshead's current form?
Gateshead have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has York City been performing recently?
York City have recorded 9 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Gateshead lead with 2 wins versus York City's 4, with 4 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
⚠️
Bet Responsibly. 24predictiontoday provides predictions for informational and entertainment purposes only. Predictions are statistical models, not guaranteed outcomes. Never bet more than you can afford to lose. If gambling is affecting your life, contact BeGambleAware.org or call 0808 8020 133 (UK). 18+ only.

18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.