WON Tip WON Al Mosul 3-0 Al-Qassim
A

Al Mosul

Home
D L D D L
1W 7D 2L ▼ Declining
VS
3-0
A
Al-Qassim
Away
L L D L D
0W 4D 6L → Steady
24predictiontoday Selection · Monday, 1st June 2026
1
Backing Al Mosul to win
Al Mosul 50%
Draw 30%
Al-Qassim 20%
H Fair Odds 2
D Fair Odds 3.33
A Fair Odds 5
Implied Prob 75.2% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -30.2% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Al Mosul to win
1.33
Over 1.5 Goals90% BTTS — Yes85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al Mosul vs Al-Qassim Competition: Iraq Stars League Date: Monday, 1st June 2026 Pick: 1 (Al Mosul to win) Odds: 1.33 Confidence: 45% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (90%) Also: BTTS — Yes (85%)
Head to Head
Record
1
Al Mosul
0
Draws
0
Al-Qassim
1
Meetings
5
Avg Goals
100%
BTTS
100%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Al Mosul won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Mosul
Metric
Al-Qassim
1.4
Goals For / Game
1.4
1.3
Goals Against / Game
2.7
10%
Clean Sheets
0%
1-7-2
W — D — L
0-4-6
Win Rate
10%
0%
3.4
Avg Goals
90%
Over 1.5
60%
Over 2.5
85%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
A0
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A0
0-0 3.3%
0-1 4.5%
0-2 3.0%
0-3 1.4%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 6.8%
1-1 9.2%
1-2 6.2%
1-3 2.8%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
A2
2-0 7.0%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 6.4%
2-3 2.9%
2-4 1.0%
2-5 0.3%
A3
3-0 4.8%
3-1 6.5%
3-2 4.4%
3-3 2.0%
3-4 0.7%
3-5 0.2%
A4
4-0 2.5%
4-1 3.3%
4-2 2.2%
4-3 1.0%
4-4 0.3%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 1.0%
5-1 1.4%
5-2 0.9%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.5%) 2-0(7.0%) 1-0(6.8%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   A=Away →
📉
Market Odds Intelligence
Value Finder
Al Mosul Win
50%
2
Draw
30%
3.33
Al-Qassim Win
20%
5
Fair value decimal odds based on probability model. Compare against your bookmaker's line to identify value.
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Al Mosul
Overall
3.1
Scoring
4.7
Defence
5.7
Al-Qassim
Overall
1.2
Scoring
4.7
Defence
1.0
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 13%
Home Win & BTTS No 2%
Draw & BTTS Yes 72%
Draw & BTTS No 13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 0%
Away Win & BTTS No 0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 9%
Home Win & Under 2.5 6%
Draw & Over 2.5 51%
Draw & Under 2.5 34%
Away Win & Over 2.5 0%
Away Win & Under 2.5 0%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
28.01.26SL
Al-Qassim2
Al Mosul3
Recent Form
Al Mosul
27.05.26SL
Newroz1
Al Mosul1
D
20.05.26SL
Al Minaa1
Al Mosul0
L
15.05.26SL
Al Mosul3
Duhok3
D
11.05.26SL
Al Mosul2
Al Talaba2
D
06.05.26SL
Al Quwa Al Jawiya2
Al Mosul1
L
02.05.26SL
Al Mosul1
Al Gharraf1
D
26.04.26SL
Diyala1
Al Mosul4
W
22.04.26SL
Al Mosul0
Al Naft0
D
17.04.26SL
Al Mosul1
Baghdad1
D
13.04.26SL
Naft Missan1
Al Mosul1
D
Al-Qassim
28.05.26SL
Al-Qassim1
Al Najaf2
L
19.05.26SL
Al-Qassim2
Naft Missan5
L
14.05.26SL
Al Zawraa1
Al-Qassim1
D
10.05.26SL
Duhok2
Al-Qassim1
L
06.05.26SL
Al-Qassim3
Al Minaa3
D
02.05.26SL
Baghdad2
Al-Qassim2
D
26.04.26SL
Al-Qassim2
Al-Karma2
D
22.04.26SL
Al Shorta3
Al-Qassim1
L
18.04.26SL
Erbil2
Al-Qassim0
L
14.04.26SL
Al-Qassim1
Al Gharraf5
L
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

On Monday, 1st June 2026, Al Mosul host Al-Qassim in Iraq Stars League. We recommend Al Mosul to win as the standout selection.

Al Mosul arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Al-Qassim are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 4D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Al Mosul, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Al-Qassim's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 100% of those meetings.

Our verdict: al mosul to win at odds of 1.33 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Iraq Stars League fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is 1, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.33 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Mosul vs Al-Qassim?
Our selection is 1 — Al Mosul to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 45%.
What is Al Mosul's current form?
Al Mosul have won 1, drawn 7 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has Al-Qassim been performing recently?
Al-Qassim have recorded 0 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Mosul lead with 1 wins versus Al-Qassim's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.4 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 100%.
⚠️
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