LOST Tip LOST Elva 0-2 Tartu Welco
E

Elva

Home
W W L W L
4W 1D 5L ▲ Improving
VS
0-2
T
Tartu Welco
Away
W W D L W
6W 2D 2L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Monday, 1st June 2026
Over 2.5
Backing over 2.5 goals
Implied Prob 74.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge +0.4% Value detected
Kelly % 1.5% Suggested bankroll %
Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals
1.34
Over 2.5 Goals65% Over 1.5 Goals85%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Elva vs Tartu Welco Competition: Estonia Esiliiga Date: Monday, 1st June 2026 Pick: Over 2.5 (over 2.5 goals) Odds: 1.34 Confidence: 75% Also: Over 2.5 Goals (65%) Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%)
Head to Head
Record
4
Elva
3
Draws
3
Tartu Welco
10
Meetings
3.3
Avg Goals
60%
BTTS
60%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Over 2.5 in 60% of H2H.
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Elva
Metric
Tartu Welco
1.8
Goals For / Game
2.4
1.8
Goals Against / Game
1.6
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-1-5
W — D — L
6-2-2
Win Rate
40%
60%
3.8
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
65%
Over 2.5
65%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
T0
T1
T2
T3
T4
T5
E0
0-0 2.2%
0-1 4.7%
0-2 4.9%
0-3 3.5%
0-4 1.8%
0-5 0.8%
E1
1-0 3.8%
1-1 8.0%
1-2 8.4%
1-3 5.9%
1-4 3.1%
1-5 1.3%
E2
2-0 3.2%
2-1 6.8%
2-2 7.1%
2-3 5.0%
2-4 2.6%
2-5 1.1%
E3
3-0 1.8%
3-1 3.9%
3-2 4.0%
3-3 2.8%
3-4 1.5%
3-5 0.6%
E4
4-0 0.8%
4-1 1.6%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 1.2%
4-4 0.6%
4-5 0.3%
E5
5-0 0.3%
5-1 0.6%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.4%
5-4 0.2%
5-5 0.1%
Top Scores 1-2(8.4%) 1-1(8.0%) 2-2(7.1%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip E=Home goals ↓   T=Away →
📈
Team Ratings
Grades
Elva
Overall
4.3
Scoring
6.0
Defence
4.0
Tartu Welco
Overall
6.6
Scoring
8.0
Defence
4.7
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 23%
Home Win & BTTS No 12%
Draw & BTTS Yes 8%
Draw & BTTS No 5%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 34%
Away Win & BTTS No 18%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 23%
Home Win & Under 2.5 12%
Draw & Over 2.5 8%
Draw & Under 2.5 5%
Away Win & Over 2.5 34%
Away Win & Under 2.5 18%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
Kelly %
Stake
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
27.04.26ESI
Tartu Welco3
Elva3
27.10.25ESI
Tartu Welco3
Elva2
04.08.25ESI
Elva1
Tartu Welco2
14.06.25ESI
Tartu Welco2
Elva5
15.03.25ESI
Elva3
Tartu Welco1
28.09.24ESI
Elva0
Tartu Welco1
24.08.24ESI
Tartu Welco0
Elva0
02.06.24ESI
Tartu Welco0
Elva0
02.03.24ESI
Elva1
Tartu Welco0
11.09.21ESI
Elva4
Tartu Welco2
Recent Form
Elva
28.05.26ESI
Levadia U211
Elva3
W
24.05.26ESI
Elva3
Tallinna Kalev1
W
16.05.26ESI
Nomme Utd U211
Elva0
L
07.05.26ESI
Elva2
FC Tallinn0
W
02.05.26ESI
Elva2
Nomme Kalju U214
L
27.04.26ESI
Tartu Welco3
Elva3
D
23.04.26ESI
Flora U213
Elva2
L
19.04.26ESI
Elva1
Nomme Utd U213
L
09.04.26ESI
Tallinna Kalev2
Elva1
L
03.04.26ESI
Elva1
Viimsi JK0
W
Tartu Welco
28.05.26ESI
Tartu Welco4
Nomme Kalju U212
W
24.05.26ESI
Maardu0
Tartu Welco1
W
17.05.26ESI
Tartu Welco3
Flora U213
D
09.05.26ESI
Tallinna Kalev2
Tartu Welco0
L
01.05.26ESI
FC Tallinn0
Tartu Welco2
W
27.04.26ESI
Tartu Welco3
Elva3
D
23.04.26ESI
Viimsi JK2
Tartu Welco0
L
17.04.26ESI
Tartu Welco3
Levadia U212
W
11.04.26ESI
Nomme Kalju U211
Tartu Welco5
W
03.04.26ESI
Nomme Utd U211
Tartu Welco3
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Beating the oddsmakers requires a careful, steady approach, and this upcoming Estonia Esiliiga fixture is a textbook case for why data analysis works. The key is to take the emotion out of the game and focus on the hard numbers that actually move the market. Let’s look at the hosts first.

Their general form establishes their market expectation. Yet, seasoned bettors know to look a lot closer. A deep dive into their recent performances uncovers the clear reality of their current attacking rhythm and their defensive discipline.

The traveling team possesses a unique profile that we need to unpack. Comparing their long-term form with the immediate spark shown in their latest games is essential to finding out if they hold hidden betting value today. History cannot be swept under the rug, either.

Evaluating the head-to-head data frequently highlights recurring dominance or tactical setups that regularly cause problems for one side. Mixing these past encounters with the latest form metrics yields a strong pick for the clash. With all variables considered, the optimal path is obvious.

Our highlighted choice is Over 2.5, which is where the sharp money is heading, boosted by the current @1.34 odds available. Once the whistle blows, the talking is over. It will all come down to the final score to validate our statistical blueprint.

Make sure to review our other daily predictions.

Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Elva vs Tartu Welco?
Our selection is Over 2.5 — over 2.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.34. Tip confidence rating: 75%.
What is Elva's current form?
Elva have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Tartu Welco been performing recently?
Tartu Welco have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Elva lead with 4 wins versus Tartu Welco's 3, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.8 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 60%.
⚠️
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