WON Tip WON Al Nahda 5-1 Sur Club
A

Al Nahda

Home
L W D D D
4W 5D 1L ▲ Improving
VS
5-1
2:00 pm
N/A
S
Sur Club
Away
L W W L L
3W 2D 5L ▲ Improving
24predictiontoday Selection · Monday, 19th October 2026
1
Backing Al Nahda to win
Implied Prob 80.6% Bookie's implied odds
Our Edge -27.6% Overpriced
Kelly % 0% Suggested bankroll %
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Supporting Bets
Extras
Primary Selection
1 — Al Nahda to win
1.24
Over 1.5 Goals85% BTTS — Yes70%
📋 Betting Slip / Acca Builder
Al Nahda vs Sur Club Competition: Oman Professional League Date: Monday, 19th October 2026 KO: 2:00 pm Pick: 1 (Al Nahda to win) Odds: 1.24 Confidence: 53% Also: Over 1.5 Goals (85%) Also: BTTS — Yes (70%)
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Head to Head
Record
7
Al Nahda
3
Draws
0
Sur Club
10
Meetings
3.2
Avg Goals
70%
BTTS
40%
Over 2.5
Supports Tip Al Nahda won 7 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
📊
Stats Duel
Comparison
Al Nahda
Metric
Sur Club
1.3
Goals For / Game
1.6
1
Goals Against / Game
2.3
20%
Clean Sheets
0%
4-5-1
W — D — L
3-2-5
Win Rate
40%
30%
3.1
Avg Goals
85%
Over 1.5
55%
Over 2.5
70%
BTTS Rate
🎯
Score Probability Matrix
Poisson Model
S0
S1
S2
S3
S4
S5
A0
0-0 4.5%
0-1 5.9%
0-2 3.8%
0-3 1.7%
0-4 0.5%
0-5 0.1%
A1
1-0 8.1%
1-1 10.5%
1-2 6.9%
1-3 3.0%
1-4 1.0%
1-5 0.3%
A2
2-0 7.3%
2-1 9.5%
2-2 6.2%
2-3 2.7%
2-4 0.9%
2-5 0.2%
A3
3-0 4.4%
3-1 5.7%
3-2 3.7%
3-3 1.6%
3-4 0.5%
3-5 0.1%
A4
4-0 2.0%
4-1 2.6%
4-2 1.7%
4-3 0.7%
4-4 0.2%
4-5 0.1%
A5
5-0 0.7%
5-1 0.9%
5-2 0.6%
5-3 0.3%
5-4 0.1%
5-5 0.0%
Top Scores 2-1(9.5%) 1-0(8.1%) 2-0(7.3%)
■ Best match ■ Possible ■ Low · ■ Contradicts tip A=Home goals ↓   S=Away →
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Team Ratings
Grades
Al Nahda
Overall
5.5 ▲
Scoring
4.3 ▲
Defence
6.7 ▲
Sur Club
Overall
3.6 ▼
Scoring
5.3 ▼
Defence
2.3 ▼
🔀
Combination Markets
Smart Picks
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes 27%
Home Win & BTTS No 11%
Draw & BTTS Yes 23%
Draw & BTTS No 10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes 20%
Away Win & BTTS No 9%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.5 21%
Home Win & Under 2.5 17%
Draw & Over 2.5 18%
Draw & Under 2.5 15%
Away Win & Over 2.5 16%
Away Win & Under 2.5 13%
🧮
Stake Calculator
Bankroll Tool
—
Kelly %
—
Stake
—
Potential Profit
Uses Kelly Criterion at selected fraction. Half Kelly (0.5) is recommended for reduced variance. Not financial advice.
📜
Match Archives
History
Head to Head
31.03.26FAC
Al Nahda3
Sur Club2
17.03.26DIV
Sur Club1
Al Nahda1
11.01.26SC
Al Nahda4
Sur Club2
03.01.26SC
Sur Club0
Al Nahda2
29.10.25DIV
Al Nahda4
Sur Club2
07.03.25DIV
Al Nahda1
Sur Club1
15.09.24DIV
Sur Club0
Al Nahda1
04.04.24DIV
Al Nahda1
Sur Club1
19.10.23SC
Al Nahda1
Sur Club0
07.10.23DIV
Sur Club2
Al Nahda3
Recent Form
Al Nahda
14.10.26CL2
Al Faisaly Amman2
Al Nahda0
L
02.10.26FAC
Al Nahda2
Sohar1
W
25.09.26FAC
Ibri0
Al Nahda0
D
21.09.26FAC
Al Nahda1
Saham1
D
16.09.26CL2
Al Nahda1
Al Taawon1
D
10.09.26DIV
Al Nahda1
Al Seeb1
D
05.09.26DIV
Al Shabab2
Al Nahda3
W
30.08.26DIV
Al Nahda1
Al Msnaa0
W
24.08.26FAC
Al Shabab1
Al Nahda1
D
19.08.26FAC
Al Nahda3
Al Msnaa1
W
Sur Club
10.10.26DIV
Saham1
Sur Club0
L
24.09.26FAC
Oman Club1
Sur Club2
W
20.09.26FAC
Sur Club3
Al Samail1
W
11.09.26DIV
Sur Club1
Bahla3
L
06.09.26DIV
Al Seeb2
Sur Club0
L
31.08.26DIV
Sur Club2
Al Shabab3
L
24.08.26FAC
Fanja SC2
Sur Club2
D
18.08.26FAC
Sur Club0
Bahla5
L
23.05.26DIV
Sur Club3
Sohar3
D
18.05.26DIV
Oman Club2
Sur Club3
W
📝
Match Analysis
Writeup

Some people think betting well means knowing football inside out. It helps, but it is not the heart of it. The heart of it is process — applying the same method, without shortcuts, to every fixture you take seriously. Here is the method, walked through for this Oman Professional League match.

First, the current state of both teams — not their reputation, not their league position, but their form right now. The home side comes in on 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games, and those recent games tell us the attacking shape, the defensive resilience, and the momentum, or lack of it, they will carry into N/A. The table can flatter or mislead; the recent run rarely does.

Second, the same scrutiny for the visitors, who arrive on 2 wins, 3 losses from their last 5 games. We focus on how they have handled the road lately, because travelling to a hostile ground and coming away with something demands a different kind of discipline than playing at home. The recent away record is the clearest read on whether they have that discipline at the moment.

Third, the conclusion. With both sides measured the same way, everything points toward 1 at @1.24, which our model rates near 52%. The fixture starts at 2:00 pm.

That is where the method lands us — no guesswork, no favouritism, just the same steps applied honestly. We have run today’s full card through the identical process, so take a look at the other selections before you close out. Consistency in approach is what separates a good week from a lucky one.

 

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Quick Answers
FAQ
What is the recommended bet for Al Nahda vs Sur Club?
Our selection is 1 — Al Nahda to win, priced at approximately 1.24. Tip confidence rating: 53%.
What is Al Nahda's current form?
Al Nahda have won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches.
How has Sur Club been performing recently?
Sur Club have recorded 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show?
Al Nahda lead with 7 wins versus Sur Club's 0, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match?
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
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